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Dutch Books Arguments and Learning in a Nonexpected Utility Framework

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  • Kelsey, David

Abstract

If an individual follows maximin expected utility theory, then a smart outsider cannot, in general, make a bet with him/her that is certain to win in a single time period. However, the author shows that, when there are many time periods, this is possible in his model unless the decisionmaker uses strategic behavior. There are some exceptions, in particular for small deviations from expected utility profits may be less than the transactions costs. Copyright 1995 by Economics Department of the University of Pennsylvania and the Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association.

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  • Kelsey, David, 1995. "Dutch Books Arguments and Learning in a Nonexpected Utility Framework," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 36(1), pages 187-206, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:ier:iecrev:v:36:y:1995:i:1:p:187-206
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    Cited by:

    1. Edward SchleeE, 1997. "The sure thing principle and the value of information," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 21-36, January.
    2. J L Ford & David Kelsey & W Pang, 2005. "Ambiguity in Financial Markets: Herding and Contrarian Behaviour," Discussion Papers 05-11, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    3. Cubitt, Robin P. & Sugden, Robert, 2001. "On Money Pumps," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 121-160, October.

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