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How Futures Trading Changed Bitcoin Prices

Author

Listed:
  • Galina Hale
  • Arvind Krishnamurthy
  • Marianna Kudlyak
  • Patrick Shultz

Abstract

From Bitcoin?s inception in 2009 through mid-2017, its price remained under $4,000. In the second half of 2017, it climbed dramatically to nearly $20,000, but descended rapidly starting in mid-December. The peak price coincided with the introduction of bitcoin futures trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. The rapid run-up and subsequent fall in the price after the introduction of futures does not appear to be a coincidence. Rather, it is consistent with trading behavior that typically accompanies the introduction of futures markets for an asset.

Suggested Citation

  • Galina Hale & Arvind Krishnamurthy & Marianna Kudlyak & Patrick Shultz, 2018. "How Futures Trading Changed Bitcoin Prices," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:00163
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aleksander Berentsen & Fabian Schär, 2018. "A Short Introduction to the World of Cryptocurrencies," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 100(1), pages 1-16.
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