IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/econom/v237y2023i2s0304407623002403.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Some impossibility results for inference with cluster dependence with large clusters

Author

Listed:
  • Kojevnikov, Denis
  • Song, Kyungchul

Abstract

This paper focuses on a setting with observations having a cluster dependence structure and presents two main impossibility results. First, we show that when there is only one large cluster, i.e., the researcher does not have any knowledge on the dependence structure of the observations, it is not possible to consistently discriminate the mean. When within-cluster observations satisfy the uniform central limit theorem, we also show that a sufficient condition for consistent n-discrimination of the mean is that we have at least two large clusters. This result shows some limitations for inference when we lack information on the dependence structure of observations. Our second result provides a necessary and sufficient condition for the cluster structure that the long run variance is consistently estimable. Our result implies that when there is at least one large cluster, the long run variance is not consistently estimable.

Suggested Citation

  • Kojevnikov, Denis & Song, Kyungchul, 2023. "Some impossibility results for inference with cluster dependence with large clusters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:237:y:2023:i:2:s0304407623002403
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105524
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407623002403
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105524?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. MacKinnon, James G. & Webb, Matthew D., 2020. "Randomization inference for difference-in-differences with few treated clusters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 435-450.
    2. Michael P. Leung, 2022. "Dependence‐robust inference using resampled statistics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 270-285, March.
    3. A. Colin Cameron & Jonah B. Gelbach & Douglas L. Miller, 2008. "Bootstrap-Based Improvements for Inference with Clustered Errors," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(3), pages 414-427, August.
    4. Bertanha, Marinho & Moreira, Marcelo J., 2020. "Impossible inference in econometrics: Theory and applications," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 247-270.
    5. Djogbenou, Antoine A. & MacKinnon, James G. & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2019. "Asymptotic theory and wild bootstrap inference with clustered errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 393-412.
    6. Benedikt M. Poetscher, 2002. "Lower Risk Bounds and Properties of Confidence Sets for Ill-Posed Estimation Problems with Applications to Spectral Density and Persistence Estimation, Unit Roots, and Estimation of Long Memory Parame," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(3), pages 1035-1065, May.
    7. Kojevnikov, Denis & Marmer, Vadim & Song, Kyungchul, 2021. "Limit theorems for network dependent random variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 882-908.
    8. Ivan A. Canay & Joseph P. Romano & Azeem M. Shaikh, 2017. "Randomization Tests Under an Approximate Symmetry Assumption," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 1013-1030, May.
    9. Stephen G. Donald & Kevin Lang, 2007. "Inference with Difference-in-Differences and Other Panel Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 89(2), pages 221-233, May.
    10. Nicholas M. Kiefer & Timothy J. Vogelsang, 2002. "Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Standard Errors Using The Bartlett Kernel Without Truncation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(5), pages 2093-2095, September.
    11. Michael P. Leung, 2020. "Treatment and Spillover Effects Under Network Interference," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(2), pages 368-380, May.
    12. Nathan Canen & Jacob Schwartz & Kyungchul Song, 2020. "Estimating local interactions among many agents who observe their neighbors," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(3), pages 917-956, July.
    13. Guido W. Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2009. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 5-86, March.
    14. James G. MacKinnon & Matthew D. Webb, 2017. "Wild Bootstrap Inference for Wildly Different Cluster Sizes," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 233-254, March.
    15. Hagemann, Andreas, 2019. "Placebo inference on treatment effects when the number of clusters is small," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 190-209.
    16. Rustam Ibragimov & Ulrich K. Müller, 2016. "Inference with Few Heterogeneous Clusters," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 98(1), pages 83-96, March.
    17. Hansen, Bruce E. & Lee, Seojeong, 2019. "Asymptotic theory for clustered samples," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 268-290.
    18. Jean-Marie Dufour, 1997. "Some Impossibility Theorems in Econometrics with Applications to Structural and Dynamic Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(6), pages 1365-1388, November.
    19. Joseph P. Romano, 2004. "On Non‐parametric Testing, the Uniform Behaviour of the t‐test, and Related Problems," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 31(4), pages 567-584, December.
    20. Konrad Menzel, 2021. "Bootstrap With Cluster‐Dependence in Two or More Dimensions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2143-2188, September.
    21. Bester, C. Alan & Conley, Timothy G. & Hansen, Christian B., 2011. "Inference with dependent data using cluster covariance estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 165(2), pages 137-151.
    22. Kyungchul Song, 2018. "Measuring the Graph Concordance of Locally Dependent Observations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(3), pages 535-549, July.
    23. Yixiao Sun, 2014. "Fixed‐Smoothing Asymptotics in a Two‐Step Generalized Method of Moments Framework," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82, pages 2327-2370, November.
    24. Ibragimov, Rustam & Müller, Ulrich K., 2010. "t-Statistic Based Correlation and Heterogeneity Robust Inference," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(4), pages 453-468.
    25. Ivan A. Canay & Andres Santos & Azeem M. Shaikh, 2021. "The Wild Bootstrap with a “Small†Number of “Large†Clusters," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 103(2), pages 346-363, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. MacKinnon, James G. & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Webb, Matthew D., 2023. "Cluster-robust inference: A guide to empirical practice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 272-299.
    2. Hwang, Jungbin, 2021. "Simple and trustworthy cluster-robust GMM inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 993-1023.
    3. Andreas Hagemann, 2019. "Permutation inference with a finite number of heterogeneous clusters," Papers 1907.01049, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    4. Wang, Wenjie, 2021. "Wild Bootstrap for Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments and Few Clusters," MPRA Paper 106227, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Hansen, Bruce E. & Lee, Seojeong, 2019. "Asymptotic theory for clustered samples," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 268-290.
    6. MacKinnon, James G. & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Webb, Matthew D., 2023. "Testing for the appropriate level of clustering in linear regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 2027-2056.
    7. Ivan A. Canay & Andres Santos & Azeem M. Shaikh, 2018. "The wild bootstrap with a "small" number of "large" clusters," CeMMAP working papers CWP27/18, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    8. Matthew D. Webb, 2023. "Reworking wild bootstrap‐based inference for clustered errors," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(3), pages 839-858, August.
    9. Andreas Hagemann, 2020. "Inference with a single treated cluster," Papers 2010.04076, arXiv.org.
    10. James G. MacKinnon & Matthew D. Webb, 2020. "When and How to Deal with Clustered Errors in Regression Models," Working Paper 1421, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    11. Bruno Ferman, 2023. "Inference in difference‐in‐differences: How much should we trust in independent clusters?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 358-369, April.
    12. MacKinnon, James G. & Webb, Matthew D., 2020. "Randomization inference for difference-in-differences with few treated clusters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 435-450.
    13. Hagemann, Andreas, 2019. "Placebo inference on treatment effects when the number of clusters is small," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 190-209.
    14. Michael P. Leung, 2022. "Dependence‐robust inference using resampled statistics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 270-285, March.
    15. James G. MacKinnon & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Matthew D. Webb, 2023. "Leverage, influence, and the jackknife in clustered regression models: Reliable inference using summclust," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 23(4), pages 942-982, December.
    16. James G. MacKinnon & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Matthew D. Webb, 2023. "Fast and reliable jackknife and bootstrap methods for cluster‐robust inference," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 671-694, August.
    17. Wenjie Wang & Yichong Zhang, 2021. "Wild Bootstrap for Instrumental Variables Regressions with Weak and Few Clusters," Papers 2108.13707, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    18. Michael P. Leung, 2023. "Network Cluster‐Robust Inference," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(2), pages 641-667, March.
    19. Jungbin Hwang, 2017. "Simple and Trustworthy Cluster-Robust GMM Inference," Working papers 2017-19, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2020.
    20. Yong Cai, 2021. "A Modified Randomization Test for the Level of Clustering," Papers 2105.01008, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consistent discrimination; Local dependence; Unknown dependence structure; Consistent estimation of long-run variance; Cluster dependence; Log likelihood process;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:237:y:2023:i:2:s0304407623002403. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.