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Entwicklung von Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt in Sachsen und Ostdeutschland 2004/2005

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  • Michael Berlemann
  • Beate Henschel
  • Gerit Vogt

Abstract

Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt in Deutschland wird im Jahresdurchschnitt 2005 um 1,2 % steigen, nach Ausschaltung von Kalenderschwankungen sogar um 1,4 %. Die Investitionen werden wieder steigen, auch der private Konsum dürfte sich beleben. Die Exporte bleiben angesichts des immer noch günstigen internationalen Umfelds weiterhin eine wichtige Stütze der Konjunktur; ihr Anstiegstempo wird sich aber verringern. Die Arbeitsmarktsituation wird jedoch desolat bleiben; in der Spitze wird die Arbeitslosenzahl bei Einrechnung der Hartz-IV-Reform sogar auf 5,1 Mill. klettern.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Berlemann & Beate Henschel & Gerit Vogt, 2005. "Entwicklung von Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt in Sachsen und Ostdeutschland 2004/2005," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 12(01), pages 3-13, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:12:y:2005:i:01:p:3-13
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hans-Werner Sinn & Christian Holzner & Wolfgang Meister & Wolfgang Ochel & Martin Werding, 2002. "Active Welfare - A path to higher employment and growth," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(09), pages 03-52, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gerit Vogt, 2009. "Konjunkturprognose in Deutschland. Ein Beitrag zur Prognose der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung auf Bundes- und Länderebene," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 36.
    2. Gerit Vogt, 2010. "Zur Güte der ifo Dresden Konjunkturprognosen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 17(01), pages .28-32, February.
    3. Gerit Vogt, 2010. "Zur Güte der ifo Dresden Konjunkturprognosen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 17(01), pages 28-32, 02.
    4. Gerit Vogt, 2008. "Ein Beschäftigungsbarometer für die sächsische Wirtschaft," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 15(01), pages .41-43, February.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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