# Santa Fe Institute

# Working Papers

**Contact information of Santa Fe Institute:**

Postal: 1399 Hyde Park Road, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87501

Web page: http://www.santafe.edu/sfi/publications/working-papers.html

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(Thomas Krichel)** **Series handle:** repec:wop:safiwp
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### 1994

**94-07-045 Non-Linear Time-Series Prediction by Systematic Data Exporation on a Massively Parallel Computer***by*Xiru Zhang & Kurt Thearling**94-07-044 Temporally Asymmetric Fluctuations are Sufficient for the Operation of a Correlation Ratchet***by*Dante R. Chialvo & Mark M. Millonas**94-06-042 The Dynamics of Adaptive Parties under Spatial Voting***by*John H. Miller & Peter F. Stadler**94-06-040 Coarse-Grained Entropy Rates for Characterization of Complex Time Series***by*Milan Palu\v s**94-06-039 Evolving Muti-Cellular Artificial Life***by*Kurt Thearling & Thomas S. Ray**94-06-038 Self-Nonself Discrimination in a Computer***by*Stephanie Forrest & Alan S. Perelson & Lawrence Allen & Rajesh Cherukuri**94-06-034 Simple and Complex Models in Science***by*John L. Casti**94-06-033 Random Chemistry***by*Stuart A. Kauffman**94-06-032 Traffic at the Edge of Chaos***by*Kai Nagel & Steen Rasmussen**94-06-031 Divide to Coordinate: Coevolutionary Problem Solving***by*Stuart Kauffman & William G. Macready & Emily Dickinson**94-05-028 Permanence of Sparse Autocatalytic Networks***by*Peter F. Stadler & Peter Schuster**94-04-21 Program Search with a Hierarchical Variable Length Representation: Genetic Programming, Simulated Annealing and Hill Climbing***by*Una-May O'Reilly & Franz Oppacher**94-04-027 Efficient Computer Morphogenesis: A Pictorial Demonstration***by*Fr\'ed\'eric Gruau**94-04-025 Complexity in One-D Cellular Automata: Gliders, Basins of Attraction and the Z Parameter***by*Andrew Wuensche**94-04-023 Generating Surrogate Data for Time Series with Several Simultaneously Measured Variables***by*Dean Prichard & James Theiler**94-04-022 Catching a Baseball: A Reinforcement Learning Perspective Using a Neural Network***by*Rajarshi Das**94-04-020 Using Building Block Functions to Investigate a Building Block Hypothesis for Genetic***by*Una-May O'Reilly & Franz Oppacher**94-04-019 Bayesian Backpropagation Over I-O Functions Rather Than Weights***by*David H. Wolpert**94-04-018 Dynamics of Economic Choices Involving Pollution***by*G\'erard Weisbuch & Howard Gutowitz & Guillemette Duchateau-Nguyen**94-04-017 On the Speed of Quantum Computation***by*Tino Gramss**94-03-013 Self-Orgainzed Market in a Decentralized Economy***by*Nicholaas J. Vriend**94-03-010 Contrarians and Volatility Clustering***by*E.R. Grannan & G.H. Swindle**94-02-009 Anti-Stable Points and the Dynamics of Extended Systems***by*P.-M. Binder**94-02-008 Evolving Better Representations Through Selective Genome Growth***by*Lee Altenberg**94-02-007 The Evolution of Evolvability in Genetic Programming***by*Lee Altenberg**94-02-006 Dynamics of Small Autocatalytic Reaction Networks II: Replication, Mutation and Catalysis***by*Peter F. Stadler & Wolfgang Schnabl & Christian V. Forst & Peter Schuster**94-02-004 A Model of Individual Adaptive Behavior in a Fluctuating Environment***by*Lev A Zhivotovsky & Aviv Bergman & Marcus W. Feldman**94-02-003 Vulnerability to Noise of A Phase-Locked Oscillator Array***by*James Theiler & Steve Nichols & Kurt Wiesenfeld**94-02-002 A Model of Landscapes***by*Terry Jones**94-02-001 The Trouble Aspects of a Building Block Hypothesis for Genetic Programming***by*Una-May O'Reilly**94-12-064 Modeling Complex Adaptive Systems with Echo***by*Stephanie Forrest & Terry Jones**94-11-057 On the Evidence for Low-Dimensional Chaos in an Epileptic Electroencephalogram***by*James Theiler**94-10-053 Detection of Nonlinearity and Chaos in Time Series***by*Milan Palu\v s**94-09-048 Lattice Polymer Automata***by*Steen Rasmussen & Joshua R. Smith**94-08-046 Emergence, Self-Organization, and Social Interaction: Arousal-Dependent Structure in Social Systems***by*Thomas S. Smith & Gregory Stevens**94-07-043 Testing for Nonlinearity in Weather Records***by*Milan Palu\v s**94-06-041 Value and Information (A Profit Maximizing Strategy for Maxwell's Demon)***by*Randall Morck & Harold Morowitz**94-05-030 Economies with Interacting Agents***by*Alan P. Kirman**94-04-026 Combinatorics of RNA Secondary Structures***by*Ivo L. Hofacker & Peter Schuster & Peter F. Stadler**94-03-014 Inductive Reasoning, Bounded Rationality and the Bar Problem***by*W. Brian Arthur**94-02-005 On the Evolution of Learning***by*Aviv Bergman & Marcus Feldman

### 1993

**93-12-076 Testing For Nonlinearity Using Redundancies: Quantitiative and Qualitative Aspects***by*Milan Palu\v s**93-12-074 An Introduction to SFI Echo***by*Terry Jones & Stephanie Forrest**93-12-073 Perceptual-Cognitive Universals as Reflections of the World***by*Roger N. Shepard**93-11-072 Genetic Algorithms and Artificial Life***by*Melanie Mitchell & Stephanie Forrest**93-11-070 On the Evolution of Complexity***by*W. Brian Arthur**93-11-068 A Model of the Emergence of New Political Actors***by*Robert Axelrod**93-10-066 Beyond Digital Naturalism***by*Walter Fontana & G\"unter Wagner & Leo W. Buss**93-10-065 On The Bayesian Occam Factors Argument For Occam's Razor***by*David H. Wolpert**93-10-060 Capacity of a Model Immune Network***by*G\'erard Weisbuch & Mihaela Oprea**93-09-059 Common Knowledge***by*John Geanakoplos**93-09-056 A Computational Universal Field Computer That is Purely Linear***by*David H. Wolpert & Bruce J. MacLennan**93-09-055 The Arrival of the Fittest: Toward a Theory of Biological Organization***by*Walter Fontana & Leo W. Buss**93-09-054 Reconciling Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Analysis***by*David H. Wolpert**93-08-052 Approaches to Artificial Intelligence***by*Nils Nilsson & David Rumelhart**93-08-051 Th1/Th2 Cross-Regulation***by*Michael A. Fishman & Alan S. Perelson**93-08-050 Modeling Defective Interfering Virus Therapy for AIDS Conditions for DIV Survival***by*George W. Nelson & Alan S. Perelson**93-08-049 Perspective and Growth Areas of Basic Research in Germany***by*Prof. Dr. Siegfried Grossmann**93-07-048 Immune Networks Modeled by Replicator Equations***by*Peter F. Stadler & Peter Schuster & Alan S. Perelson**93-07-047 Estimating Functions of Probability Distributions From A Finite Set of Samples***by*David R. Wolf & David H. Wolpert**93-07-045 From Sequences to Shapes and Back: A Case Study in RNA Secondary Structures***by*Peter Schuster & Walter Fontana & Peter F. Stadler & Ivo L. Hofacker**93-07-044 Fast Folding and Comparison of RNA Secondary Structures***by*Ivo L. Hofacker & Walter Fontana & Peter F. Stadler & L. Sebastian Bonhoeffer & Manfred Tacker & Peter Schuster**93-06-043 Statistics of RNA Melting Kinectics***by*Manfred Tacker & Walter Fontana & Peter F. Stadler & Peter Schuster**93-06-042 Linear Operators on Correlated Landscapes***by*Peter F. Stadler**93-06-041 Prediction and Adaptation in an Evolving Chaotic Environment***by*Alfred H\"ubler & David Pines**93-06-037 When Will a Genetic Algorithm Outperform Hill-Climbing?***by*Melanie Mitchell & John H. Holland**93-06-034 Mogollon Manos, Metates and Agricultural Dependence: Pithouse Villages, A.D. 200--1000***by*Michael A. Diehl**93-06-033 The Calculus of Self Interest in the Development of Cooperation: Sociopolitical Development and Risk among the Northern Anasazi***by*Timothy A. Kohler**93-05-031 Random Walks and Orthogonal Functions Associated with Highly Symmetric Graphs***by*Peter F. Stadler**93-05-030 The Cognitive Revolution?***by*John L. Casti**93-05-027 Evolution of Recombination Among Multiple Selected Loci: A Generalized Reduction Principle***by*Lev A. Zhivotovsky & Marcus W. Feldman & Freddy B. Christiansen**93-05-026 Don't Bleach Chaotic Data***by*James Theiler & Stephen Eubank**93-05-025 Implications of Creation***by*David E. Hiebeler**93-04-024 Reverse Hillclimbing, Genetic Algorithms and the Busy Beaver Problem***by*Terry Jones & Gregory J. E. Rawlins**93-04-023 Echoing Emergence***by*John H. Holland**93-04-022 A Model for the Immune System Response to HIV: AZT Treatment Studies***by*Denise E. Kirschner & Alan S. Perelson**93-04-021 News from the Northern American Southwest: Prehistory on the Edge of Chaos***by*Timothy A. Kohler**93-04-019 Predicting the Size of the T-Cell Receptor and Antibody Combining Region from Consideration of Efficient Self-Nonself Discrimination***by*Jerome K. Percus & Ora E. Percus & Alan S. Perelson**93-04-018 Real-Valued, Continuous-Time Computers: A Model of Analog Computations, Part I***by*Christopher Moore**93-03-016 On Overfitting Avoidance as Bias***by*David H. Wolpert**93-03-013 Generic Excitable Dynamics on a Two-Dimensional Map***by*Dante R. Chialvo**93-03-012 Some Advantages and Disadvantages of Recombination***by*Sarah P. Otto & Marcus W. Feldman & Freddy B. Christiansen**93-03-011 The Evolution of Interface: Reduction of Recombination Among Three Loci***by*David B. Goldstein & Aviv Bergman & Marcus W. Feldman**93-02-007 On the Use of Evidence in Neural Networks***by*David H. Wolpert**93-02-006 Pathways to Randomness in the Economy: Emergent Nonlinearity and Chaos in Economics and Finance***by*W. A. Brock**93-02-005 The Quasi-Periodic Oscillations and Low-Frequency Noise of Scorpius X-1 as Transient Chaos: A Dripping Handrail?***by*Jeffrey D. Scargle & David L. Donoho & James P. Crutchfield & Thomas Steiman-Cameron & James Imamura & Karl Young**93-01-003 Political Parties and Electoral Landscapes***by*Ken Kollman & John H. Miller & Scott E. Page**93-01-002 The Evolution of Secondary Organization in Immune System Gene Libraries***by*Ron Hightower & Stephanie Forrest & Alan S. Perelson**93-12-075 The Influence of Mutation on Autocatalytic Reaction Networks***by*Peter F. Stadler & Juan Carlos Nu\~no**93-11-069 Landscapes Complex Optimization Problems and Biopolymer Structures***by*Peter Schuster & Peter F. Stadler**93-10-067 What Would Be Conserved If ``The Tape Were Played Twice''?***by*Walter Fontana & Leo W. Buss**93-09-058 Reverse Engineering A Model For T-Cell Vaccination***by*Lee A. Segel & Eva J\"ager**93-08-053 The Future of Time Series: Learning and Understanding***by*Neil A. Gershenfeld & Andreas S. Weigend**93-07-046 Estimating Functions of Probability Distributions From A Finite Set of Samples***by*David H. Wolpert & David R. Wolf**93-06-039 Swarms, Phase Transitions, and Collective Intelligence (Paper 1); and A Nonequilibrium Statistical Field Theory of Swarms and Other Spatially Extended Complex Systems (Paper 2)***by*Mark M. Millonas**93-05-032 The Theoretician Grapples with Complex Systems***by*Lee A. Segel**93-04-020 How Diverse Should the Immune System Be?***by*Rob J. De Boer & Alan S. Perelson**93-03-015 Memory in Idiotypic Networks due to Competition Between Proliferation and Differentiation***by*Bernhard Sulzer & Avidan U. Neumann & J. Leo van Hemmen & Ulrich Behn**93-02-009 Combining Generalizers Using Partitions of the Learning Set***by*David H. Wolpert**93-01-001 Smooth Maps of the Interval and the Real Line Capable of Universal Computation***by*Christopher Moore