Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
International Finance Discussion Papers
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1994
- 478 On risk, rational expectations, and efficient asset markets
by Guy V.G. Stevens & Dara Akbarian - 477 Finance and growth: a synthesis and interpretation of the evidence
by Alexander Galetovic - 476 Trade barriers and trade flows across countries and industries
by Jong-Wha Lee & Phillip Swagel - 475 The constancy of illusions or the illusion of constancies: income and price elasticities for U.S. imports, 1890-1992
by Jaime Marquez - 474 The dollar as an official reserve currency under EMU
by Michael P. Leahy - 473 Inflation targeting in the 1990s: the experiences of New Zealand, Canada, and the United Kingdom
by John Ammer & Richard T. Freeman - 472 International capital mobility in the 1990s
by Maurice Obstfeld - 471 The effect of changes in reserve requirements on investment and GNP
by Prakash Loungani & Mark Rush - 470 International economic implications of the end of the Soviet Union
by William L. Helkie & David H. Howard & Jaime Marquez - 469 International dimension of European Monetary Union: implications for the dollar
by Karen H. Johnson - 468 European monetary arrangements: implications for the dollar, exchange rate variability and credibility
by Hali J. Edison & Linda S. Kole - 467 Fiscal policy coordination and flexibility under European Monetary Union: implications for macroeconomic stabilization
by Jay H. Bryson - 466 The federal funds rate and the implementation of monetary policy: estimating the Federal Reserve's reaction function
by Allan D. Brunner - 465 Understanding the empirical literature on purchasing power parity: the post-Bretton Woods era
by Hali J. Edison & Joseph E. Gagnon & William R. Melick - 464 Inflation, inflation risk, and stock returns
by John Ammer - 463 Are apparent productive spillovers a figment of specification error?
by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald - 462 When do long-run identifying restrictions give reliable results?
by Jon Faust & Eric M. Leeper
1993
- 461 Fluctuating confidence and stock-market returns
by Alexander David - 460 Dollarization in Argentina
by Steven B. Kamin & Neil R. Ericsson - 459 Union behavior, industry rents, and optimal policies
by Phillip Swagel - 458 A comparison of some basic monetary policy regimes for open economies: implications of different degrees of instrument adjustment and wage persistence
by Dale W. Henderson & Warwick J. McKibbin - 457 Cointegration, seasonality, encompassing, and the demand for money in the United Kingdom
by Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry & Hong-Anh Tran - 456 Exchange rates, prices, and external adjustment in the United States and Japan
by Peter Hooper & Jaime Marquez - 455 Political and economic consequences of alternative privatization strategies
by Catherine L. Mann & Stefanie Lenway & Derek Utter - 454 Is there a world real interest rate?
by Joseph E. Gagnon & Mark D. Unferth - 453 Macroeconomic stabilization through monetary and fiscal policy coordination: implications for European Monetary Union
by Jay H. Bryson - 452 Long-term banking relationships in general equilibrium
by Michael S. Gibson - 451 The role of fiscal policy in an incomplete markets framework
by Charles P. Thomas - 450 Internal funds and the investment function
by Guy V.G. Stevens - 449 Measuring international economic linkages with stock market data
by John Ammer & Jianping Mei - 448 Macroeconomic risk and asset pricing: estimating the apt with observable factors
by John Ammer - 447 Near observational equivalence and unit root processes: formal concepts and implications
by Jon Faust - 446 Market share and exchange rate pass-through in world automobile trade
by Robert C. Feenstra & Joseph E. Gagnon & Michael M. Knetter. - 445 Industry restructuring and export performance: evidence on the transition in Hungary
by Valerie J. Chang & Catherine L. Mann - 444 Exchange rates and foreign direct investment: a note
by Guy V.G. Stevens - 443 Global versus country-specific productivity shocks and the current account
by Reuven Glick & Kenneth Rogoff - 442 The GATT's contribution to economic recovery in post-war Western Europe
by Douglas A. Irwin - 441 A utility based comparison of some models of exchange rate volatility
by Kenneth D. West & Hali J. Edison & Dongchul Cho - 440 Cointegration tests in the presence of structural breaks
by Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry
1992
- 439 Life expectancy of international cartels: an empirical analysis
by Jaime Marquez - 438 Daily Bundesbank and Federal Reserve intervention and the conditional variance tale in DM/$-returns
by Geert J. Almekinders & Sylvester C.W. Eijffinger - 437 War and peace: recovering the market's probability distribution of crude oil futures prices during the Gulf crisis
by William R. Melick & Charles P. Thomas - 436 Growth, political instability, and the defense burden
by Stephen Brock Blomberg - 435 Foreign exchange policy, monetary policy, and capital market liberalization in Korea
by Deborah J. Lindner - 434 The political economy of the won: U.S. - Korean bilateral negotiations on exchange rates
by Deborah J. Lindner - 433 Import demand and supply with relatively few theoretical or empirical puzzles
by Andrew M. Warner - 432 The liquidity premium in average interest rates
by Wilbur John Coleman II & Christian Gilles & Pamela Labadie - 431 The power of cointegration tests
by Jeroen J.M. Kremers & Neil R. Ericsson & Juan J. Dolado - 430 The adequacy of the data on U.S. international financial transactions: a Federal Reserve perspective
by Lois E. Stekler & Edwin M. Truman - 429 Whom can we trust to run the Fed? Theoretical support for the founders' views
by Jon Faust - 428 Stochastic behavior of the world economy under alternative policy regimes
by Joseph E. Gagnon & Ralph W. Tryon - 427 Real exchange rates: measurement and implications for predicting U.S. external imbalances
by Jaime Marquez - 426 Central banks' use in East Asia of money market instruments in the conduct of monetary policy
by Robert F. Emery - 425 Purchasing power parity and uncovered interest rate parity: the United States 1974-1990
by Hali J. Edison & William R. Melick - 424 Fiscal implications of the transition from planned to market economy
by R. Sean Craig & Catherine L. Mann - 423 Does world investment demand determine U.S. exports?
by Andrew M. Warner - 422 The autonomy of trade elasticities: choice and consequences
by Jaime Marquez - 421 German unification and the European monetary system: a quantitative analysis
by Gwyn Adams & Lewis Alexander & Joseph Gagnon - 420 Taxation and inflation: a new explanation for current account imbalances
by Tamim Bayoumi & Joseph Gagnon
1991
- 419 A primer on the Japanese banking system
by Allen B. Frankel & Paul B. Morgan - 418 Did the debt crisis cause the investment crisis?
by Andrew M. Warner - 417 External adjustment in selected developing countries in the 1990s
by William L. Helkie & David H. Howard - 416 Did the debt crisis or the oil price decline cause Mexico's investment collapse?
by Andrew M. Warner - 415 Cointegration, exogeneity, and policy analysis: an overview
by Neil R. Ericsson - 414 The usefulness of P* measures for Japan and Germany
by Linda S. Kole & Michael P. Leahy - 413 Comments on the evaluation of policy models
by Clive W. J. Granger & Melinda Deutsch - 412 Parameter constancy, mean square forecast errors, and measuring forecast performance: an exposition, extensions, and illustration
by Neil R. Ericsson - 411 Explaining the volume of intraindustry trade: are increasing returns necessary?
by Donald Davis - 410 How pervasive is the product cycle? The empirical dynamics of American and Japanese trade flows
by Joseph E. Gagnon & Andrew K. Rose - 409 Anticipations of foreign exchange volatility and bid-ask spreads
by Shang-Jin Wei - 408 Re-assessment of the relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rates: 1974-1990
by Hali J. Edison & B. Dianne Pauls - 407 Argentina's experience with parallel exchange markets: 1981-1990
by Steven B. Kamin - 406 PC-give and David Hendry's econometric methodology
by Neil R. Ericsson & Julia Campos & Hong-Anh Tran - 405 EMS interest rate differentials and fiscal policy: a model with an empirical application to Italy
by R. Sean Craig - 404 The statistical discrepancy in the U.S. international transactions accounts: sources and suggested remedies
by Lois E. Stekler - 403 In search of the liquidity effect
by Eric M. Leeper & David B. Gordon - 402 Exchange rate rules in support of disinflation programs in developing countries
by Steven B. Kamin - 401 The adequacy of U.S. direct investment data
by Lois E. Stekler & Guy V. G. Stevens - 400 Determining foreign exchange risk and bank capital requirements
by Michael P. Leahy - 399 Precautionary money balances with aggregate uncertainty
by Wilbur John Coleman II - 398 Using external sustainability to forecast the dollar
by Ellen E. Meade & Charles P. Thomas - 397 Terms of trade, the trade balance, and stability: the role of savings behavior
by Michael Gavin - 396 The econometrics of elasticities or the elasticity of econometrics: an empirical analysis of the behavior of U.S. imports
by Jaime Marquez - 395 Expected and predicted realignments: the FF/DM exchange rate during the EMS
by Andrew K. Rose & Lars E.O. Svensson - 394 Market segmentation and 1992: toward a theory of trade in financial services
by John D. Montgomery
1990
- 393 Post econometric policy evaluation: a critique
by Beth Ingram & Eric M. Leeper - 392 Mercantilism as strategic trade policy: the Anglo-Dutch rivalry for the East India trade
by Douglas A. Irwin - 391 Free trade at risk? An historical perspective
by Douglas A. Irwin - 390 Why has trade grown faster than income?
by Andrew K. Rose - 389 Pricing to market in international trade: evidence from panel data on automobiles and total merchandise
by Joseph E. Gagnon & Michael M. Knetter - 388 Is the EMS the perfect fix? An empirical exploration of exchange rate target zones
by Robert P. Flood & Andrew K. Rose & Donald J. Mathieson - 387 Estimating pass-through: structure and stability
by William R. Melick - 386 International capital mobility: direct evidence from long-term currency swaps
by Helen Popper - 385 Is national treatment still viable? U.S. policy in theory and practice
by Sydney J. Key - 384 Three-factor general equilibrium models: a dual, geometric approach
by Douglas A. Irwin - 383 Modeling the demand for narrow money in the United Kingdom and the United States
by David F. Hendry & Neil R. Ericsson - 382 The term structure of interest rates in the onshore markets of the United States, Germany, and Japan
by Helen Popper - 381 Financial structure and economic development
by Ross Levine - 380 Foreign currency operations: an annotated bibliography
by Hali J. Edison - 379 The global economic implications of German unification
by Lewis S. Alexander & Joseph E. Gagnon - 378 Computers and the trade deficit: the case of the falling prices
by Ellen E. Meade - 377 Evaluating the predictive performance of trade-account models
by Jaime Marquez & Neil R. Ericsson - 376 Towards the next generation of newly industrializing economies: the roles for macroeconomic policy and the manufacturing sector
by Catherine L. Mann - 375 The dynamics of interest rate and tax rules in a stochastic model
by Eric M. Leeper - 374 Stock markets, growth, and policy
by Ross Levine - 373 Prospects for sustained improvement in U.S. external balance: structural change versus policy change
by Catherine L. Mann - 372 International financial markets and the U.S. external imbalance
by Deborah Danker & Peter Hooper - 371 Why hasn't trade grown faster than income? Inter-industry trade over the past century
by Joseph E. Gagnon & Andrew K. Rose - 370 Contractionary devaluation with black markets for foreign exchange
by Steven B. Kamin
1989
- 369 Exchange rate variability and the level of international trade
by Joseph E. Gagnon - 368 A substitute for the capital stock variable in investment functions
by Guy V.G. Stevens - 367 An empirical assessment of non-linearities in models of exchange rate determination
by Richard A. Meese & Andrew K. Rose - 366 Equilibrium in a production economy with an income tax
by Wilbur John Coleman II - 365 Tariffs and the macroeconomy: evidence from the USA
by Andrew K. Rose & Jonathan D. Ostry - 364 European integration, exchange rate management, and monetary reform: a review of the major issues
by Garry J. Schinasi - 363 Savings rates and output variability in industrial countries
by Garry J. Schinasi & Joseph E. Gagnon - 362 Determinants of Japanese direct investment in U.S. manufacturing industries
by Catherine L. Mann - 361 The U.S. and U.K. activities of Japanese banks: 1980-1988
by Henry S. Terrell & Robert S. Dohner & Barbara R. Lowrey - 360 Policy rules, information and fiscal effects in a "Ricardian" model
by Eric M. Leeper - 359 A forward-looking multicountry model: MX3
by Joseph E. Gagnon - 358 Implications for future U.S. net investment payments of growing U.S. net international indebtedness
by Lois E. Stekler & William L. Helkie - 357 U.S. policy on the problems of international debt
by Edwin M. Truman - 356 International economic policy: the role of exchange rates
by Edwin M. Truman - 355 An econometric analysis of UK money demand in MONETARY TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE UNITED KINGDOM by Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz
by David F. Hendry & Neil R. Ericsson - 354 Encompassing and rational expectations: how sequential corroboration can imply refutation
by Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry - 353 The United States as a heavily indebted country
by David H. Howard - 352 External debt and developing country growth
by Steven B. Kamin & Robert B. Kahn & Ross Levine - 351 An algorithm to solve dynamic models
by Wilbur John Coleman II - 350 Implications of the U.S. current account deficit
by David H. Howard - 349 Financial integration in the European Community
by Sydney J. Key - 348 Exact and approximate multi-period mean-square forecast errors for dynamic econometric models
by Neil R. Ericsson & Jaime R. Marquez - 347 Macroeconomic policies, competitiveness, and U.S. external adjustment
by Peter Hooper - 346 Exchange rates and U.S. external adjustment in the short run and the long run
by Peter Hooper - 345 U.S. external adjustment: progress and prospects
by William L. Helkie & Peter Hooper - 344 Domestic and cross-border consequences of U.S. macroeconomic policies
by Ralph C. Bryant & John Helliwell & Peter Hooper - 343 The profitability of U.S. intervention
by Michael P. Leahy - 342 Approaches to managing external equilibria: where we are, where we might be headed, and how we might get there
by Edwin M. Truman - 341 A note on "transfers"
by David B. Gordon & Ross Levine - 340 A new interpretation of the coordination problem and its empirical significance
by Matthew B. Canzoneri & Hali J. Edison - 339 A long-run view of the european monetary system
by Hali J. Edison & Eric Fisher
1988
- 338 The forward exchange rate bias: a new explanation
by Ross Levine - 337 Adequacy of international transactions and position data for policy coordination
by Lois Stekler - 336 Nominal interest rate pegging under alternative expectations hypotheses
by Joseph E. Gagnon & Dale W. Henderson - 335 The dynamics of uncertainty or the uncertainty of dynamics: stochastic J-curves
by Jaime Marquez - 334 Devaluation, exchange controls, and black markets for foreign exchange in developing countries
by Steven B. Kamin - 333 International banking facilities
by Sydney J. Key & Henry S. Terrell - 332 Panic, liquidity and the lender of last resort: a strategic analysis
by R. Glen Donaldson - 331 Real interest rates during the disinflation process in developing countries
by Steven B. Kamin & David F. Spigelman - 330 International comparisons of labor costs in manufacturing
by Peter Hooper & Kathryn A. Larin - 329 Interactions between domestic and foreign investment
by Guy V.G. Stevens & Robert E. Lipsey - 328 The timing of consumer arrivals in Edgeworth's duopoly model
by Marc Dudey - 327 Competition by choice
by Marc Dudey - 326 The determinants of the growth of multinational banking organizations: 1972-86
by Robert S. Dohner & Henry S. Terrell - 325 Econometric modeling of consumers' expenditure in Venezuela
by Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson - 324 Income and price elasticities of foreign trade flows: econometric estimation and analysis of the U.S. trade deficit
by Jaime Marquez - 323 Money, interest, and capital in a cash-in-advance economy
by Wilbur John Coleman II - 322 The simultaneous equations model with generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity: the SEM-GRACH model
by Richard Harmon - 321 Adjustment costs and international trade dynamics
by Joseph E. Gagnon - 320 The capital flight "problem."
by David B. Gordon & Ross Levine
1987
- 319 Modeling investment income and other services in the U.S. international transactions accounts
by William Helkie & Lois Stekler - 318 Improving the forecast accuracy of provisional data: an application of the Kalman filter to retail sales estimates
by B. Dianne Pauls - 317 Monte Carlo methodology and the finite sample properties of statistics for testing nested and non-nested hypotheses
by Neil R. Ericsson - 316 The U.S. external deficit: its causes and persistence
by Peter Hooper & Catherine L. Mann - 315 Debt conversions: economic issues for heavily indebted developing countries
by Lewis S. Alexander - 314 Exchange rate regimes and macroeconomic stabilization in a developing country
by David H. Howard - 313 Monetary policy in Taiwan, China
by Robert F. Emery - 312 The pricing of forward exchange rates
by Ross Levine - 311 Realignment of the yen-dollar exchange rate: aspects of the adjustment process in Japan
by Bonnie E. Loopesko & Robert A. Johnson - 310 The effect of multilateral trade clearinghouses on the demand for international reserves
by Ellen E. Meade - 309 Protection and retaliation: changing the rules of the game
by Catherine L. Mann - 308 International duopoly with tariffs
by Eric O'N Fisher & Charles A. Wilson - 307 A simple simulation model of international bank lending
by Henry S. Terrell & Robert S. Dohner - 306 A reassessment of measures of the dollar's effective exchange value
by B. Dianne Pauls & William L. Helkie - 305 Macroeconomic instability of the less developed country economy when bank credit is rationed
by David F. Spigelman - 304 The U.S. external deficit in the 1980s: an empirical analysis
by William L. Helkie & Peter Hooper - 303 An analogue model of phase-averaging procedures
by Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry - 302 A model of exchange rate pass-through
by Eric O'N. Fisher - 301 The out-of-sample forecasting performance of exchange rate models when coefficients are allowed to change
by Garry J. Schinasi & P.A.V.B. Swamy - 300 Financial concentration and development: an empirical analysis of the Venezuelan case
by Jaime Marquez & Janice Shack-Marquez - 299 Deposit insurance assessments on deposits at foreign branches of U.S. banks
by Jeffrey C. Marquardt
1986
- 298 The international debt situation
by Edwin M. Truman - 297 The cost competitiveness of the Europaper market
by Rodney H. Mills - 296 Germany and the European disease
by John Davis & Patrick Minford - 295 The United States international asset and liability position: a comparison of flow of funds and Commerce department presentations
by Guido E. van der Ven & John F. Wilson - 294 An international arbitrage pricing model with PPP deviations
by Ross Levine - 293 The structure and properties of the FRB multicountry model.Part I: Model description and simulation results
by Hali J. Edison & Jaime R. Marquez & Ralph W. Tryon - 292 Short-term and long-term expectations of the yen/dollar exchange rate: evidence from survey data
by Jeffrey A. Frankel & Kenneth A. Froot - 291 Anticipated fiscal contraction: the economic consequences of the announcement of Gramm-Rudman-Hollings
by Robert A. Johnson - 290 Tests of the foreign exchange risk premium using the expected second moments implied by option pricing
by Richard K. Lyons - 289 Incomplete insurance, irreversible investment, and the microfoundations of financial intermediation
by Robert A. Johnson - 288 The yen-dollar relationship: a recent historical perspective
by Manuel H. Johnson & Bonnie E. Loopesko - 287 Should fixed coefficients be reestimated every period for extrapolation?
by P.A.V.B. Swamy & Garry J. Schinasi - 286 An empirical analysis of policy coordination in the United States, Japan and Europe
by Hali J. Edison & Ralph Tryon - 285 Comovements in aggregate and relative prices: some evidence on neutrality
by B. Dianne Pauls - 284 Labor market rigidities and unemployment: the case of severance costs
by Michael K. Gavin - 283 A framework for analyzing the process of financial innovation
by Allen B. Frankel & Catherine L. Mann - 282 Is the ECU an optimal currency basket?
by Hali J. Edison - 281 Are foreign exchange forecasts rational? New evidence from survey data
by Kathryn M. Dominguez - 280 Taxation of capital gains on foreign exchange transactions and the non- neutrality of changes in anticipated inflation
by Garry J. Schinasi - 279 The prospect of a depreciating dollar and possible tension inside the EMS
by Jacques Melitz

