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Citations for "Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle" by Chang-Jin Kim & Charles R. Nelson
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Cited by (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.): Brian M. Doyle & Jon Faust, 2003.
"Breaks in the variability and co-movement of G-7 economic growth ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
786, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Steven J. Davis & James A. Kahn, 2008.
"Interpreting the Great Moderation: changes in the volatility of economic activity at the macro and micro Levels ,"
Staff Reports
334, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Steven J. Davis & James A. Kahn, 2008.
"Interpreting the Great Moderation: Changes in the Volatility of Economic Activity at the Macro and Micro Levels ,"
NBER Working Papers
14048, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Steven J. Davis & James A. Kahn, 2008.
"Interpreting the Great Moderation: Changes in the Volatility of Economic Activity at the Macro and Micro Levels ,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives ,
American Economic Association, vol. 22(4), pages 155-80, Fall.
Chang-Jin Kim & James C. Morley & Charles Nelson, 2000.
"Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? ,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
0024, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
[Downloadable!]
Massimiliano Marcellino & James Stock & Mark Watson, 2005.
"A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series ,"
Working Papers
285, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 2005.
"A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4976, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2006.
"A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 499-526.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Xavier Debrun & Jean Pisani-Ferry & André Sapir, 2008.
"Government Size and Output Volatility: Should We Forsake Automatic Stabilization? ,"
IMF Working Papers
08/122, International Monetary Fund.
[Downloadable!]
P J Perez & D R Osborn & M Artis, 2003.
"The International Business Cycle in a Changing World: Volatility and the Propagation of Shocks ,"
Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series
37, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico, 2006.
"The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models ,"
Working Paper
06-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
[Downloadable!]
John C. Williams, 2006.
"Robust estimation and monetary policy with unobserved structural change ,"
Economic Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 1-16.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy Piger & Howard J. Wall & Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2006.
"A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
131, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall, 2007.
"A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation ,"
Working Papers
2007-003, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!] Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J., 2008.
"A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation ,"
Regional Science and Urban Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 578-589, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Fiess, Norbert & Shankar, Rashmi, 2005.
"Regime-switching in exchange rate policy and balance sheet effects ,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
3653, The World Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Robert A Buckle & David Haugh & Peter Thomson, 2001.
"Calm after the Storm?: Supply-side contributions to New Zealand’s GDP volatility decline ,"
Treasury Working Paper Series
01/33, New Zealand Treasury.
[Downloadable!]
Olaf Posch, 2006.
"Explaining Output Volatility: the Case of Taxation ,"
Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers
20608, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Timothy Cogley & Thomas J. Sargent, 2003.
"Drifts and volatilities: monetary policies and outcomes in the post WWII U.S ,"
Working Paper
2003-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Timothy Cogley & Thomas Sargent, .
"Drifts and Volatilities: Monetary Policies and Outcomes in the Post WWII US ,"
Working Papers
2133503, Department of Economics, W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University.
[Downloadable!] Timothy Cogley & Thomas J. Sargent, 2005.
"Drift and Volatilities: Monetary Policies and Outcomes in the Post WWII U.S ,"
Review of Economic Dynamics ,
Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 8(2), pages 262-302, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) F. Owen Irvine & Scott Schuh, 2005.
"Interest sensitivity and volatility reductions: cross-section evidence ,"
Working Papers
05-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
[Downloadable!]
Marco Del Negro & Christopher Otrok, 2008.
"Dynamic factor models with time-varying parameters: measuring changes in international business cycles ,"
Staff Reports
326, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Antonello D’Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2006.
"(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability ,"
Working Paper Series
605, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
D''Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico & Surico, Paolo, 2007.
"(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6594, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006.
"(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability ,"
Research Technical Papers
5/RT/06, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI).
[Downloadable!] Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2005.
"(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability ,"
Macroeconomics
0510024, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Marco Cipriani & Graciela L. Kaminsky, 2006.
"Volatility in International Financial Market Issuance: The Role of the Financial Center ,"
NBER Working Papers
12587, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Ricardo Reis, 2004.
"Inattentive Consumers ,"
NBER Working Papers
10883, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Ricardo Reis, 2004.
"Inattentive Consumers ,"
Working Papers
135, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Discussion Papers in Economics..
[Downloadable!] Reis, Ricardo, 2005.
"Inattentive Consumers ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5053, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Reis, Ricardo, 2006.
"Inattentive consumers ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 53(8), pages 1761-1800, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) F. Owen Irvine, 2004.
"Sales persistence and the reductions in GDP volatility ,"
Working Papers
05-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
[Downloadable!]
Wiliam Branch & George W. Evans, 2005.
"Model Uncertainty and Endogenous Volatility ,"
University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers
2005-21, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 26 Oct 2006.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Chang-Jin Kim & Charles Nelson, 1999.
"A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models ,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
0035, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Chang-Jin Kim & Charles Nelson, 1998.
"A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models ,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
0059, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
[Downloadable!] Kim, Chang-Jin & Nelson, Charles R, 2001.
"A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 42(4), pages 989-1013, November.
Tommaso PROIETTI & Alberto MUSSO & Thomas WESTERMANN, 2002.
"Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap for the Euro Area: a Model-Based Production Function Approach ,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2002/09, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Luca Benati, .
"Evolving post-World War II UK economic performance ,"
Bank of England working papers
232, Bank of England.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Marcus Hagedorn, 2007.
"A Monetary Model with Strong Liquidity Effects ,"
IEW - Working Papers
iewwp353, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW.
[Downloadable!]
Tao Wu & Glenn Rudebusch, 2005.
"The Recent Shift in Term Structure Behavior from a No-Arbitrage Macro-Finance Perspective ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005
3, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: James Morley & Jeremy M. Piger, 2005.
"The importance of nonlinearity in reproducing business cycle features ,"
Working Papers
2004-032, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Pau Rabanal & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Vicente Tuesta, 2009.
"Cointegrated TFP processes and international business cycles ,"
Working Paper
2009-23, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!]
Don H. Kim & Athanasios Orphanides, 2005.
"Term structure estimation with survey data on interest rate forecasts ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2005-48, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Sean D. Campbell, 2004.
"Macroeconomic volatility, predictability and uncertainty in the Great Moderation: evidence from the survey of professional forecasters ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2004-52, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Peter M. Summers, 2005.
"What caused the Great Moderation? : some cross-country evidence ,"
Economic Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q III, pages 5-32.
[Downloadable!]
Gerald Carlino & Robert DeFina & Keith Sill, 2005.
"On the stability of employment growth: a postwar view from the U.S. states ,"
Working Papers
04-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
Hyunbae Chun & Jung-Wook Kim & Jason Lee & Randall Morck, 2004.
"Patterns of Comovement: The Role of Information Technology in the U.S. Economy ,"
NBER Working Papers
10937, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Tatiana Cesaroni & Louis Maccini & Marco Malgarini, 2009.
"Business cycle volatility and inventories behavior:new evidence for the Euro Area ,"
ISAE Working Papers
108, ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses - (Rome, ITALY).
[Downloadable!]
Valerie A. Ramey & Daniel J. Vine, 2005.
"Tracking the source of the decline in GDP volatility: an analysis of the automobile industry ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2005-14, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Xavier Gabaix, 2004.
"Power laws and the origins of aggregate fluctuations ,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings
484, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
Todd E. Clark & Taisuke Nakata, 2006.
"The trend growth rate of employment : past, present, and future ,"
Economic Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q I, pages 43-85.
[Downloadable!]
James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2003.
"Has the business cycle changed? ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 9-56.
[Downloadable!]
Steven J. Davis & James A. Kahn, 2007.
"Macroeconomic implications of changes in micro volatility ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
[Downloadable!]
Jordi Galí & Luca Gambetti, 2006.
"On the Sources of the Great Moderation ,"
Economics Working Papers
1041, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jun 2007.
[Downloadable!]
Gerald Carlino & Robert DeFina & Keith Sill, 2002.
"The cyclical behavior of state employment during the postwar period ,"
Working Papers
02-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
Hanck, Christoph, 2008.
"Nonstationary-Volatility Robust Panel Unit Root Tests and the Great Moderation ,"
MPRA Paper
11988, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Chang-Jin Kim & James Morley & Jeremy M. Piger, 2006.
"A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change ,"
Working Papers
2004-014, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Owen Irvine & Scott Schuh, 2002.
"Inventory investment and output volatility ,"
Working Papers
02-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
[Downloadable!]
Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2000.
"Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed since the Early 1980's? ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1464-1476, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez Quiros, 1998.
"Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s? ,"
Staff Reports
41, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!] Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez Quiros, 1997.
"Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s? ,"
Research Paper
9735, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!] Margaret McConnell & Gabriel Perez Quiros, 2000.
"Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s? ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
[Downloadable!] Kevin J. Stiroh, 2006.
"Volatility accounting: a production perspective on increased economic stability ,"
Staff Reports
245, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Keith Kuester, 2007.
"Real price and wage rigidities in a model with mataching frictions ,"
Working Paper Series
720, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Gerald Carlino & Robert DeFina & Keith Sill, 2003.
"Postwar period changes in employment volatility: new evidence from state/industry panel data ,"
Working Papers
03-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
Owen Irvine & Scott Schuh, 2007.
"The roles of comovement and inventory investment in the reduction of output volatility ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
[Downloadable!]
Dennis Gaertner, 2007.
"Why Bayes Rules: A Note on Bayesian vs. Classical Inference in Regime Switching Models ,"
Working Papers
0719, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Marcelle Chauvet & James D. Hamilton, 2005.
"Dating Business Cycle Turning Points ,"
NBER Working Papers
11422, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Valerie A. Ramey & Daniel J. Vine, 2005.
"Declining Volatility in the U.S. Automobile Industry ,"
NBER Working Papers
11596, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: James Feigenbaum & Geng Li, 2008.
"A Nonparametric Characterization of Income Uncertainty over the Lifecycle ,"
Working Papers
359, University of Pittsburgh, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2008.
[Downloadable!]
Todd E. Clark & Taisuke Nakata, 2008.
"Has the behavior of inflation and long-term inflation expectations changed? ,"
Economic Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q I, pages 17-50.
[Downloadable!]
Christophe Boucher, 2003.
"Stock Market Valuation : the Role of the Macroeconomic Risk Premium ,"
Finance
0305011, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Florin Ovidiu Bilbiie & André Meier & Gernot J. Müller, 2006.
"Bank interest rate pass-through in the euro area: a cross country comparison ,"
Working Paper Series
582, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2006.
"Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better? ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2006-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2005.
"Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better? ,"
NBER Working Papers
11538, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert & Wei, Min, 2007.
"Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better? ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1163-1212, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Tulip, 2005.
"Has output become more predictable? changes in Greenbook forecast accuracy ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2005-31, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Gerald Carlino & Robert DeFina & Keith Sill, 2007.
"The long and large decline in state employment growth volatility ,"
Working Papers
07-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Ryan R. Brady, 2006.
"Structural Breaks and Consumer Credit: Is Consumption Smoothing Finally a Reality? ,"
Departmental Working Papers
13, United States Naval Academy Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-12.
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