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Asymptotically efficient autoregressive model selection for multistep prediction

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Guillaume Chevillon, 2006. "Multi-step Forecasting in Unstable Economies: Robustness Issues in the Presence of Location Shifts," Economics Series Working Papers 257, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  2. Chevillon, Guillaume, 2009. "Multi-step forecasting in emerging economies: An investigation of the South African GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 602-628, July.
  3. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2006. "A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 499-526.
  4. Chevillon, Guillaume & Hendry, David F., 2005. "Non-parametric direct multi-step estimation for forecasting economic processes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 201-218.
  5. Hansen, Bruce E., 2010. "Averaging estimators for autoregressions with a near unit root," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 158(1), pages 142-155, September.
  6. Bhansali, R. J. & Kokoszka, P. S., 2002. "Computation of the forecast coefficients for multistep prediction of long-range dependent time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 181-206.
  7. Guillaume Chevillon, 2007. "Direct Multi‐Step Estimation And Forecasting," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 746-785, September.
  8. Eliana González Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007. "Pronósticos directos de la inflación colombiana," Borradores de Economia 458, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  9. Hendry, David F., 2006. "Robustifying forecasts from equilibrium-correction systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 399-426.
  10. Liao, Jun & Zou, Guohua & Gao, Yan & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021. "Model averaging prediction for time series models with a diverging number of parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 190-221.
  11. Greenaway-McGrevy, Ryan, 2015. "Evaluating panel data forecasts under independent realization," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 108-125.
  12. De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
  13. Mathias Drton & Martyn Plummer, 2017. "A Bayesian information criterion for singular models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 79(2), pages 323-380, March.
  14. Schorfheide, Frank, 2005. "VAR forecasting under misspecification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 99-136, September.
  15. Òscar Jordà, 2005. "Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 161-182, March.
  16. Sourav Das & Suhasini Subba Rao & Junho Yang, 2021. "Spectral methods for small sample time series: A complete periodogram approach," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(5-6), pages 597-621, September.
  17. Kang, In-Bong, 2003. "Multi-period forecasting using different models for different horizons: an application to U.S. economic time series data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 387-400.
  18. Proietti, Tommaso, 2011. "Direct and iterated multistep AR methods for difference stationary processes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 266-280.
  19. Greenaway-McGrevy, Ryan, 2022. "Forecast combination for VARs in large N and T panels," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 142-164.
  20. Hitesh Doshi & Kris Jacobs & Rui Liu, 2021. "Information in the Term Structure: A Forecasting Perspective," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(8), pages 5255-5277, August.
  21. Bhansali, Rajendra J., 2020. "Model specification and selection for multivariate time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
  22. Eliana González Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007. "Pronósticos directos de la inflación colombiana," Borradores de Economia 4246, Banco de la Republica.
  23. Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2006. "Forecasting 1 to h steps ahead using partial least squares," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2006-47, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  24. Ing, Ching-Kang & Wei, Ching-Zong, 2003. "On same-realization prediction in an infinite-order autoregressive process," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(1), pages 130-155, April.
  25. Chevillon, Guillaume, 2016. "Multistep forecasting in the presence of location shifts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 121-137.
  26. John Haywood & Granville Tunnicliffe Wilson, 2009. "A test for improved multi‐step forecasting," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(6), pages 682-707, November.
  27. Alonso Fernández, Andrés Modesto & Peña, Daniel & Romo, Juan, 2000. "Forecasting time series with sieve bootstrap," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 9858, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  28. Hansen, Bruce E., 2008. "Least-squares forecast averaging," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 342-350, October.
  29. Sanchez, Ismael, 2006. "Short-term prediction of wind energy production," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 43-56.
  30. Philip Hans Franses & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "A Unifying View On Multi‐Step Forecasting Using An Autoregression," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(3), pages 389-401, July.
  31. Kley, Tobias & Preuss, Philip & Fryzlewicz, Piotr, 2019. "Predictive, finite-sample model choice for time series under stationarity and non-stationarity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101748, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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