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The commodity-consumer price connection: fact or fable?

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Eduardo Morales Ramos, 2009. "La evolución de la pobreza difusa multidimensional en México, 1994-2006," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 209-270, abril-jun.
  2. Browne, Frank & Cronin, David, 2010. "Commodity prices, money and inflation," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 62(4), pages 331-345, July.
  3. Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2012. "Oil prices, exchange rates and emerging stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 227-240.
  4. Stephen G. Cecchetti & Rita S. Chu & Charles Steindel, 2000. "The unreliability of inflation indicators," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 6(Apr).
  5. Williams Corey J. M., 2023. "Unraveling Producer Price Inflation Pass-Through: Quantification, Structural Breaks, and Causal Direction," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-16, January.
  6. Guglielmo Caporale & Luca Onorante & Paolo Paesani, 2012. "Inflation and inflation uncertainty in the euro area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 597-615, October.
  7. Onder BUBERKOKU, 2017. "ABD Dolarinin Emtia Fiyatlari Uzerindeki Etkisinin Incelenmesi," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 17(3), pages 323-336.
  8. Nigar Huseynli, 2023. "The Effect of World Oil Price on Türkiye’s Exchange Rate," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 304-310, November.
  9. Goto, Shingo, 2000. "The Fed's Effect on Excess Returns and Inflation is Much Bigger Than You Think," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt04f1z5hb, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
  10. Gökhan Cebiroğlu & Kujtim Avdiu & Stephan Unger, 2022. "On the dynamic price pass-through effect of commodities to CPI constituents," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 1-12, March.
  11. Sidaoui José Julián & Capistrán Carlos & Chiquiar Daniel & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2009. "A Note on the Predictive Content of PPI over CPI Inflation: The Case of Mexico," Working Papers 2009-14, Banco de México.
  12. Chen, Yu-chin & Turnovsky, Stephen J. & Zivot, Eric, 2014. "Forecasting inflation using commodity price aggregates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 183(1), pages 117-134.
  13. Marek Szturo & Bogdan Włodarczyk & Ireneusz Miciuła & Karolina Szturo, 2021. "The Essence of Relationships between the Crude Oil Market and Foreign Currencies Market Based on a Study of Key Currencies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-17, November.
  14. Gert Peersman, 2022. "International Food Commodity Prices and Missing (Dis)Inflation in the Euro Area," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(1), pages 85-100, March.
  15. Calista Cheung, 2009. "Are Commodity Prices Useful Leading Indicators of Inflation?," Discussion Papers 09-5, Bank of Canada.
  16. Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Rivera-Castro, Miguel A. & Zebende, Gilney F., 2014. "Oil and US dollar exchange rate dependence: A detrended cross-correlation approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 132-139.
  17. Sadorsky, Perry, 2000. "The empirical relationship between energy futures prices and exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 253-266, April.
  18. Ciner, Cetin, 2011. "Commodity prices and inflation: Testing in the frequency domain," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 229-237, September.
  19. Gianluigi Ferrucci & Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez & Luca Onorantea, 2012. "Food Price Pass-Through in the Euro Area: Non-Linearities and the Role of the Common Agricultural Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(1), pages 179-218, March.
  20. Michael Pedersen, 2009. "Un indicador líder compuesto para la actividad económica en Chile," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 181-208, abril-jun.
  21. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Awodimila, Crystal P., 2020. "Are commodity prices good predictors of inflation? The African perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  22. Jiang, Yong & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Narayan, Seema & Ma, Chao-Qun & Yang, Xiao-Guang, 2022. "Heterogeneity dependence between oil prices and exchange rate: Evidence from a parametric test of Granger causality in quantiles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  23. Kunkler, Michael & MacDonald, Ronald, 2019. "The multilateral relationship between oil and G10 currencies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 444-453.
  24. Sri Utami Ady, 2021. "The Effect of World Oil Prices, Gold Prices, and Other Energy Prices on the Indonesian Mining Sector with Exchange Rate of Indonesian Rupiah as the Moderating Effect," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 369-376.
  25. Florian Verheyen, 2010. "Monetary Policy, Commodity Prices and Infl ation – Empirical Evidence from the US," Ruhr Economic Papers 0216, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
  26. Ramon Moreno, 2010. "Some issues in measuring and tracking prices in emerging market exonomies," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy and the measurement of inflation: prices, wages and expectations, volume 49, pages 13-51, Bank for International Settlements.
  27. Verheyen, Florian, 2010. "Monetary Policy, Commodity Prices and Infl ation – Empirical Evidence from the US," Ruhr Economic Papers 216, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  28. Khalid M. Kisswani & Mahelet G. Fikru, 2023. "A Review of Econometric Approaches for the Oil Price-Exchange Rate Nexus: Lessons for ASEAN-5 Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-15, April.
  29. Alola, Andrew Adewale & Özkan, Oktay & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2023. "Examining crude oil price outlook amidst substitute energy price and household energy expenditure in the USA: A novel nonparametric multivariate QQR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  30. Cara S. Lown & Robert W. Rich, 1997. "Is there an inflation puzzle?," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 3(Dec), pages 51-77.
  31. Sherine Al-Shawarby & Hoda Selim, 2013. "Are International Food Price Spikes the Source of Egypt’s High Inflation?," Financial and Monetary Policy Studies, in: Marga Peeters & Nidal Sabri & Wassim Shahin (ed.), Financial Integration, chapter 0, pages 61-83, Springer.
  32. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Dar, Arif Billah & Bhanja, Niyati, 2013. "Oil price and exchange rates: A wavelet based analysis for India," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 414-422.
  33. Jalal, Rubia & Gopinathan, R., 2023. "Time-frequency relationship between energy imports, energy prices, exchange rate, and policy uncertainties in India: Evidence from wavelet quantile correlation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
  34. Chul-Yong Lee & Sung-Yoon Huh, 2017. "Forecasting Long-Term Crude Oil Prices Using a Bayesian Model with Informative Priors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-15, January.
  35. George, Edward I. & Sun, Dongchu & Ni, Shawn, 2008. "Bayesian stochastic search for VAR model restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 553-580, January.
  36. Frederick T. Furlong & Robert Ingenito, 1996. "Commodity prices and inflation," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 27-47.
  37. César Castro & Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez, 2020. "Dynamic interactions between oil price and exchange rate," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(8), pages 1-20, August.
  38. Sarit Maitra, 2023. "Impact of Economic Uncertainty, Geopolitical Risk, Pandemic, Financial & Macroeconomic Factors on Crude Oil Returns -- An Empirical Investigation," Papers 2310.01123, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
  39. Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez & Amalia Morales-Zumaquero, 2022. "Commodity price pass-through along the pricing chain," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(1), pages 109-125, February.
  40. Marie Brière & Ombretta Signori, 2011. "Inflation hedging portfolios in different regimes," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Portfolio and risk management for central banks and sovereign wealth funds, volume 58, pages 139-163, Bank for International Settlements.
  41. Tayfur Bayat & Saban Nazlioglu & Selim Kayhan, 2015. "Exchange Rate and Oil Price Interactions in Transition Economies: Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(3), pages 267-285, June.
  42. Agya Atabani Adi & Samuel Paabu Adda & Amadi Kingsley Wobilor, 2022. "Shocks and volatility transmission between oil price and Nigeria’s exchange rate," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(6), pages 1-17, June.
  43. Zied Ftiti & Aviral Tiwari & Ibrahim Fatnassi, 2014. "Oil price and macroeconomy in India – An evolutionary cospectral coherence approach," Working Papers 2014-68, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  44. Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship, 2022. "The relationship between oil prices and exchange rates in South Africa," MPRA Paper 113209, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  45. Ayad Hicham, 2021. "Oil Prices and the Algerian Exchange Rate: Is there any Difference with Hidden Co-Integration?," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 21(1), pages 1-17, June.
  46. Jiang, Jiaqi & Gu, Rongbao, 2016. "Asymmetrical long-run dependence between oil price and US dollar exchange rate—Based on structural oil shocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 75-89.
  47. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Ibrahim D. Raheem & Seref Bozoklu & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2022. "The Oil Price‐Macroeconomic fundamentals nexus for emerging market economies: Evidence from a wavelet analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1569-1590, January.
  48. Mensah, Lord & Obi, Pat & Bokpin, Godfred, 2017. "Cointegration test of oil price and us dollar exchange rates for some oil dependent economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 304-311.
  49. Nenubari Ikue John & Emeka Nkoro & Jeremiah Anietie, 2021. "Time-Gap effects of crude oil prices on the foreign exchange rates: Evidence from Nigeria," Bussecon Review of Social Sciences (2687-2285), Bussecon International Academy, vol. 3(3), pages 31-44, July.
  50. Roy, Rudra Prosad & Sinha Roy, Saikat, 2022. "Commodity futures prices pass-through and monetary policy in India: Does asymmetry matter?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
  51. Hussain, Muntazir & Zebende, Gilney Figueira & Bashir, Usman & Donghong, Ding, 2017. "Oil price and exchange rate co-movements in Asian countries: Detrended cross-correlation approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 338-346.
  52. Michael S. Hanson, 2004. "Monetary Factors in the Long-Run Co-movement of Consumer and Commodity Prices," Wesleyan Economics Working Papers 2004-001, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics.
  53. Alola, Andrew Adewale & Özkan, Oktay & Obekpa, Hephzibah Onyeje, 2023. "Examining the patterns of disaggregate energy security risk and crude oil price: the USA scenario over 1970–2040," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  54. Frank Browne & David Cronin, 2009. "Una perspectiva monetaria de la relación entre los precios de productos básicos y los precios al consumidor," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 271-296, abril-jun.
  55. Bai, Shuming & Koong, Kai S., 2018. "Oil prices, stock returns, and exchange rates: Empirical evidence from China and the United States," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 12-33.
  56. Kwon, Dae-Heum & Koo, Won W., 2013. "Price Transmission Mechanism among Disaggregated Processing Stages of Food: Demand-Pull or Cost-Push?," Journal of Rural Development/Nongchon-Gyeongje, Korea Rural Economic Institute, vol. 35(5), pages 1-17, January.
  57. Bu, Hui, 2014. "Effect of inventory announcements on crude oil price volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 485-494.
  58. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2012. "An empirical investigation of causality between producers' price and consumers' price indices in Australia in frequency domain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1571-1578.
  59. repec:zbw:rwirep:0216 is not listed on IDEAS
  60. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mutascu, Mihai & Andries, Alin Marius, 2013. "Decomposing time-frequency relationship between producer price and consumer price indices in Romania through wavelet analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 151-159.
  61. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric, 2013. "On the relationship between oil price and exchange rates: A wavelet analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 502-507.
  62. Turhan, M. Ibrahim & Sensoy, Ahmet & Hacihasanoglu, Erk, 2014. "A comparative analysis of the dynamic relationship between oil prices and exchange rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 397-414.
  63. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-068 is not listed on IDEAS
  64. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu, 2016. "Oil price and exchange rate in India: Fresh evidence from continuous wavelet approach and asymmetric, multi-horizon Granger-causality tests," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 272-283.
  65. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7744 is not listed on IDEAS
  66. Chowdhury, Kushal Banik & Garg, Bhavesh, 2022. "Has COVID-19 intensified the oil price–exchange rate nexus?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 280-298.
  67. Castro Rozo, César & Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca, 2018. "Time-varying relationship between oil price and exchange rate," MPRA Paper 87879, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  68. Laura D’Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Fernando Blanco, 2009. "Pronóstico de inflación en Argentina: ¿modelos individuales o pooling de pronósticos?," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 151-179, abril-jun.
  69. Zhu, Huiming & Li, Shuang & Huang, Zishan, 2023. "Frequency domain quantile dependence and connectedness between crude oil and exchange rates: Evidence from oil-importing and exporting countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-30.
  70. Browne, Frank & Cronin, David, 2008. "A Monetary Perspective on the Relationship between Commodity and Consumer Prices," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 77-90, February.
  71. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-456 is not listed on IDEAS
  72. Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Olebogeng David Daw & Leeto Shogole & Selinah Ribese, 2022. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Oil Prices in South Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 315-322, May.
  73. Xiangyun Gao & Haizhong An & Weiqiong Zhong, 2013. "Features of the Correlation Structure of Price Indices," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(4), pages 1-9, April.
  74. Wang, Qing & Hu, Yiming, 2015. "Cross-correlation between interest rates and commodity prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 428(C), pages 80-89.
  75. Sukati, Mphumuzi, 2013. "Cointegration Analysis of Oil Prices and Consumer Price Index in South Africa using STATA Software," MPRA Paper 49797, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  76. Afees A. Salisu & Raymond Swaray & Idris Adediran, 2018. "Improving the predictability of commodity prices in US inflation: The role of coffee price," Working Papers 041, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
  77. Ephraim Ugwu & Emma-Ebere Obiajulu, 2018. "An Interaction Between Monetary Policy, Commodity Prices And Inflation In Nigeria, 1980-2015," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 17-31, March.
  78. Jung, Young Cheol & Das, Anupam & McFarlane, Adian, 2020. "The asymmetric relationship between the oil price and the US-Canada exchange rate," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 198-206.
  79. Fernandez, Viviana, 2014. "Linear and non-linear causality between price indices and commodity prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 40-51.
  80. Wang, Lu & Ruan, Hang & Hong, Yanran & Luo, Keyu, 2023. "Detecting the hidden asymmetric relationship between crude oil and the US dollar: A novel neural Granger causality method," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  81. Wei Qiang & Aimei Lin & Chao Zhao & Zhenhua Liu & Manzhi Liu & Xiaozhen Wang, 2019. "The impact of international crude oil price fluctuation on the exchange rate of petroleum-importing countries: a summary of recent studies," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 95(1), pages 227-239, January.
  82. Le, Thai-Ha & Chang, Youngho, 2013. "Oil price shocks and trade imbalances," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 78-96.
  83. Moayad Al Rasasi & Goblan Algahtani & Abdulrahman Alqahtani, 2017. "The Effects of Global Commodity Prices on Domestic Prices in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 590-594.
  84. Sadorsky, Perry, 2001. "Risk factors in stock returns of Canadian oil and gas companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 17-28, January.
  85. Jose Sidaoui & Carlos Capistran & Daniel Chiquiar & Manuel Ramos-Francia, 2010. "On the predictive content of the PPI on CPI inflation: the case of Mexico," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy and the measurement of inflation: prices, wages and expectations, volume 49, pages 249-257, Bank for International Settlements.
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