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Citations for "The out-of-sample failure of empirical exchange rate models: sampling error or misspecification?" by Richard Meese & Kenneth Rogoff
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Cited by (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.): Rituparna Kar & Nityananda Sarkar, 2006.
"Mean and volatility dynamics of Indian rupee/US dollar exchange rate series: an empirical investigation ,"
Asia-Pacific Financial Markets ,
Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 41-69, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Kenneth S. Rogoff & Vania Stavrakeva, 2008.
"The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting ,"
NBER Working Papers
14071, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Barbara Rossi, 2005.
"Are Exchange Rates Really Random Walks? Some Evidence Robust to Parameter Instability ,"
International Finance
0503006, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Barbara Rossi, 2005.
"Are Exchange Rates Really Random Walks? Some Evidence Robust to Parameter Instability ,"
Data
0503001, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Rossi, Barbara, 2006.
"Are Exchange Rates Really Random Walks? Some Evidence Robust To Parameter Instability ,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(01), pages 20-38, February.
[Downloadable!] Richard Meese & Kenneth Rogoff, 1989.
"Was it Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Relation, 1973-1984 ,"
NBER Working Papers
1732, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Richard Meese & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 1985.
"Was it real? : the exchange rate-interest differential relation, 1973 - 1984 ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
268, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] Meese, Richard & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1986.
"Was it real? The exchange rate -- Interest differential relation: 1973-1984 ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 10(1-2), pages 297-298, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) L. Copeland, Ping Wang, 2000.
"Forecasting the returns on UK investment trusts: a comparison ,"
European Journal of Finance ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 298-310, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Juan Ángel Jiménez Martín & Rafael Flores de Frutos, 2004.
"The Fit of Dynamic Equilibrium Models of Exchange Rate ,"
Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico
0411, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales.
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Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2009.
"On the Unstable Relationship between Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Fundamentals ,"
Working Papers
272009, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
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Other versions: HeeJoon Kang, 1992.
"Forward exchange rates as unbiased predictors of future spot rates a review and re-interpretation ,"
Open Economies Review ,
Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 215-232, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Rowena A. Pecchenino & Patricia S. Pollard, 2003.
"A simple model of international capital flows, exchange rate risk, and portfolio choice ,"
Working Papers
2000-009, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
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Emmanuel Davradakis, 2005.
"Macroeconomic fundamentals and exchange rates: a non-parametric cointegration analysis ,"
Applied Financial Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(7), pages 439-446, April.
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Sergio Da Silva, 2004.
"International Finance, Levy Distributions, and the Econophysics of Exchange Rates ,"
International Finance
0405018, EconWPA.
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Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop & Toni Beutler, 2009.
"Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle? ,"
Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'Econométrie et d'Economie politique (DEEP)
09.08, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP.
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Other versions:
Bacchetta, Philippe & Beutler, Toni & van Wincoop, Eric, 2009.
"Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle? ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7383, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop & Toni Beutler, 2009.
"Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle? ,"
Working Papers
09.04, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
[Downloadable!] Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn, 1997.
"Integration, Cointegration and the Forecast Consistency of Structural Exchange Rate Models ,"
NBER Working Papers
5943, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions:
Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie Chinn, 1995.
"Integration, cointegration and the forecast consistency of structural exchange rate models ,"
International Finance
9508002, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Cheung, Y. -W. & Chinn, M. D., 1998.
"Integration, cointegration and the forecast consistency of structural exchange rate models ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 813-830, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Rowland, .
"Forecasting the USD/COP Exchange Rate: A Random Walk a Variable Drift ,"
Borradores de Economia
253, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
[Downloadable!]
Hau, Harald & Rey, Hélène, 2003.
"Exchange Rates, Equity Prices and Capital Flows ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3735, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Harald Hau & Helene Rey, 2002.
"Exchange Rate, Equity Prices and Capital Flows ,"
NBER Working Papers
9398, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Harald Hau & Hélène Rey, 2006.
"Exchange Rates, Equity Prices, and Capital Flows ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(1), pages 273-317.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Garry J. Schinasi & P.A.V.B. Swamy, 1987.
"The out-of-sample forecasting performance of exchange rate models when coefficients are allowed to change ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
301, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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Other versions:
Garry J. Schinasi & P.A.V.B. Swamy, 1987.
"The out-of-sample forecasting performance of exchange rate models when coefficients are allowed to change ,"
Special Studies Papers
212, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Schinasi, Garry J. & Swamy, P. A. V. B., 1989.
"The out-of-sample forecasting performance of exchange rate models when coefficients are allowed to change ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 375-390, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Mariam Camarero & Cecilio Tamarit, .
"A panel cointegration approach to the estimation of the peseta real exchange rate ,"
Working Papers on International Economics and Finance
01-08, FEDEA.
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Other versions: Fabio Canova & Takatoshi Ito, 1991.
"On Time-Series Properties of Time-Varying Risk Premium in the Yen/Dollar Exchange Market ,"
NBER Working Papers
2678, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Takatoshi Ito, 1989.
"Use of (Time-Domain) Vector Autoregressions to Test Uncovered Interest Parity ,"
NBER Working Papers
1493, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Bofinger, Peter & Leitner, Johannes & Schmidt, Robert, 2004.
"Biases of Professional Exchange Rate Forecasts: Psychological Explanations and an Experimentally-Based Comparison to Novices ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4230, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Moura, Marcelo L. & Lima, Adauto R. S., 2007.
"Empirical exchange rate models fit: Evidence from the Brazilian economy ,"
Ibmec Working Papers
wpe_85, Ibmec Working Paper, Ibmec São Paulo.
[Downloadable!]
repec:fip:fedreq:y:1987:i:mar:p:12-30:n:v.73no.2 is not listed on IDEAS
Flood, Robert P & Rose, Andrew K, 2008.
"Why so Glum? The Meese-Rogoff Methodology Meets the Stock Market ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6714, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Sarmidi, Tamat, 2008.
"Exchange Rates Predictability in Developing Countries ,"
MPRA Paper
16580, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 1998.
"Risk and Exchange Rates ,"
NBER Working Papers
6694, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Francis Vitek, 2005.
"The Exchange Rate Forecasting Puzzle ,"
International Finance
0509005, EconWPA.
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John D. Jackson & Henry Thompson & Juliet Zheng, 2005.
"Third country news in the monetary model of the exchange rate ,"
Applied Financial Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(11), pages 757-764, July.
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Daniela Federici & Giancarlo Gandolfo, 2002.
"Chaos and the exchange rate ,"
Journal of International Trade & Economic Development ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 111-142, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Kenneth D. West, 1986.
"A Standard Monetary Model and the Variability of the Deutschemark-DollarExchange Rate ,"
NBER Working Papers
2102, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions: John Pippenger, 2004.
"The Modern Theory of the LOP and PPP: Some Implications ,"
University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series
03-04, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
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Ken Johnston & David Carter & John Hatem, 2005.
"Exchange rates, and fundamental variables: a semi-parametric analysis of binary choice ,"
Applied Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(16), pages 1915-1924, September.
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Charles Engel & Nelson C. Mark & Kenneth D. West, 2007.
"Exchange Rate Models Are Not as Bad as You Think ,"
NBER Working Papers
13318, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions: Christopher J. Neely & Lucio Sarno, 2002.
"How well do monetary fundamentals forecast exchange rates? ,"
Working Papers
2002-007, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
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Other versions: Ahmad Baharumshah & Venus Liew, 2006.
"Forecasting Performance of Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive Exchange Rate Models ,"
Open Economies Review ,
Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 235-251, April.
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Robert J. Hodrick, 1989.
"Risk, Uncertainty and Exchange Rates ,"
NBER Working Papers
2429, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions: Walter Wasserfallen & Hans Kyburz, 1985.
"The behavior of flexible exchange rates in the short run — A systematic investigation ,"
Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv) ,
Springer, vol. 121(4), pages 646-660, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Richard Clarida & Lucio Sarno & Mark Taylor & Giorgio Valente, 2001.
"The Out-of-Sample Success of Term Structure Models as Exchange Rate Predictors: A Step Beyond ,"
NBER Working Papers
8601, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions:
Clarida, Richard & Sarno, Lucio & Taylor, Mark P & Valente, Giorgio, 2002.
"The Out-of-Sample Success of Term Structure Models as Exchange Rate Predictors: A Step Beyond ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3281, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Clarida, Richard H. & Sarno, Lucio & Taylor, Mark P. & Valente, Giorgio, 2003.
"The out-of-sample success of term structure models as exchange rate predictors: a step beyond ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 61-83, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Fariña Gómez, Beatriz & Rojo García, José Luis, 2006.
"Características de las Distribuciones Mensuales del "Ciclo de Ambiente" de la Economia Española ,"
Estudios de Economía Aplicada ,
Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 24, pages 397-425, Abril.
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Lutz Kilian & Mark P. Taylor, 2001.
"Why is it so difficult to beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates? ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
01-031/4, Tinbergen Institute.
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Other versions:
Kilian, Lutz & Taylor, Mark P, 2001.
"Why is it so Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates? ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3024, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lutz Kilian & Mark P. Taylor, 2001.
"Why Is It So Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates? ,"
Working Papers
464, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan.
[Downloadable!] Lutz Kilian & Mark P. Taylor, 2001.
"Why is it so difficult to beat the random walk forecast of exchange rates ,"
Working Paper Series
088, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!] Kilian, Lutz & Taylor, Mark P., 2003.
"Why is it so difficult to beat the random walk forecast of exchange rates? ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 85-107, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Charles Engel & James D. Hamilton, 1989.
"Long Swings in the Exchange Rate: Are they in the Data and Do Markets Know It? ,"
NBER Working Papers
3165, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Kenneth Rogoff, 2009.
"Exchange rates in the modern floating era: what do we really know? ,"
Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv) ,
Springer, vol. 145(1), pages 1-12, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ray C. Fair, 1997.
"Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1168, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Shang-Jin Wei & Jeffrey A. Frankel, 1991.
"Are Option-Implied Forecasts of Exchange Rate Volatility Excessively Variable? ,"
NBER Working Papers
3910, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Menzie Chinn, 1995.
"Whither the Yen? Implications of an intertemporal model of the Yen/Dollar rate ,"
International Finance
9508001, EconWPA, revised 28 Aug 1995.
[Downloadable!]
Alexius, Annika & Post, Erik, 2005.
"Exchange Rates and Asymmetric Shocks in Small Open Economies ,"
Working Paper Series
2005:10, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Arturo José Galindo, 1998.
"Estimating Credibility In Colombia'S Exchange Rate Target Zone ,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
002604, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Arturo José Galindo, .
"Estimating Credibility in Colombia's Exchange Rate Target Zone ,"
Borradores de Economia
103, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
[Downloadable!] Galindo, Arturo J., 2000.
"Estimating credibility in Colombia's exchange-rate target zone ,"
Journal of Development Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 473-484, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Rowland, 2003.
"Forecasting The Usd/Cop Exchange Rate: A Random Walk With A Variable Drift ,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
002736, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
[Downloadable!]
Moura, Marcelo L. , & Lima, Adauto R. S. & Mendonça, Rodrigo M., 2008.
"Exchange Rate and Fundamentals: The Case of Brazil ,"
Ibmec Working Papers
wpe_112, Ibmec Working Paper, Ibmec São Paulo.
[Downloadable!]
Michael Kühl, 2008.
"Strong comovements of exchange rates: Theoretical and empirical cases when currencies become the same asset ,"
cege â Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers
76, cege – Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research, University of Goettingen (Germany)., revised 03 Sep 2008.
[Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-9.
This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics , College of Liberal Arts and Sciences , University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics .