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Non-monotonic hazard functions and the autoregressive conditional duration model

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Cited by:

  1. Herrera, Rodrigo & Schipp, Bernhard, 2013. "Value at risk forecasts by extreme value models in a conditional duration framework," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 33-47.
  2. Dungey, Mardi & Henry, Olan & McKenzie, Michael, 2010. "From Trade-to-Trade in US Treasuries," Working Papers 10446, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, revised 01 May 2010.
  3. Harvey,Andrew C., 2013. "Dynamic Models for Volatility and Heavy Tails," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107630024.
  4. Filip Žikeš & Jozef Baruník & Nikhil Shenai, 2017. "Modeling and forecasting persistent financial durations," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(10), pages 1081-1110, November.
  5. Pyrlik, Vladimir, 2013. "Autoregressive conditional duration as a model for financial market crashes prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 6041-6051.
  6. Bauwens, Luc & Giot, Pierre & Grammig, Joachim & Veredas, David, 2004. "A comparison of financial duration models via density forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 589-609.
  7. Patrick W. Saart & Jiti Gao & David E. Allen, 2015. "Semiparametric Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model: Theory and Practice," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6-10), pages 849-881, December.
  8. Bhatti, Chad R., 2009. "On the interday homogeneity in the intraday rate of trading," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(7), pages 2250-2257.
  9. Anthony D. Hall & Nikolaus Hautsch, 2008. "Order aggressiveness and order book dynamics," Studies in Empirical Economics, in: Luc Bauwens & Winfried Pohlmeier & David Veredas (ed.), High Frequency Financial Econometrics, pages 133-165, Springer.
  10. Dionne, Georges & Pacurar, Maria & Zhou, Xiaozhou, 2015. "Liquidity-adjusted Intraday Value at Risk modeling and risk management: An application to data from Deutsche Börse," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 202-219.
  11. Perera, Indeewara & Silvapulle, Mervyn J., 2021. "Bootstrap based probability forecasting in multiplicative error models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 1-24.
  12. Meitz, Mika & Terasvirta, Timo, 2006. "Evaluating Models of Autoregressive Conditional Duration," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 104-124, January.
  13. Siakoulis, Vasilios, 2015. "Modeling bank default intensity in the USA using autoregressive duration models," MPRA Paper 64526, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Araichi, Sawssen & Peretti, Christian de & Belkacem, Lotfi, 2016. "Solvency capital requirement for a temporal dependent losses in insurance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 588-598.
  15. Roman Huptas, 2014. "Bayesian Estimation and Prediction for ACD Models in the Analysis of Trade Durations from the Polish Stock Market," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 6(4), pages 237-273, December.
  16. Dungey, Mardi & Long, Xiangdong & Ullah, Aman & Wang, Yun, 2014. "A semiparametric conditional duration model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 362-366.
  17. Herrera, Rodrigo & Schipp, Bernhard, 2014. "Statistics of extreme events in risk management: The impact of the subprime and global financial crisis on the German stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 218-238.
  18. Bhatti, Chad R., 2009. "Intraday trade and quote dynamics: A Cox regression analysis," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(7), pages 2240-2249.
  19. Herrera, Rodrigo & González, Nicolás, 2014. "The modeling and forecasting of extreme events in electricity spot markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 477-490.
  20. Frazier, David T. & Liu, Xiaochun, 2016. "A new approach to risk-return trade-off dynamics via decomposition," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 43-55.
  21. Johannes Prix & Otto Loistl & Michael Huetl, 2007. "Algorithmic Trading Patterns in Xetra Orders," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(8), pages 717-739.
  22. BAUWENS, Luc & VEREDAS, David, 1999. "The stochastic conditional duration model: a latent factor model for the analysis of financial durations," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 1999058, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  23. Zhang, Yaohua & Zou, Jian & Ravishanker, Nalini & Thavaneswaran, Aerambamoorthy, 2019. "Modeling financial durations using penalized estimating functions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 145-158.
  24. Helton Saulo & Jeremias Leão & Víctor Leiva & Robert G. Aykroyd, 2019. "Birnbaum–Saunders autoregressive conditional duration models applied to high-frequency financial data," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 60(5), pages 1605-1629, October.
  25. Lee Tae-Hwy & Wang He & Xi Zhou & Zhang Ru, 2023. "Density Forecast of Financial Returns Using Decomposition and Maximum Entropy," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 57-83, January.
  26. Bhatti, Chad R., 2010. "The Birnbaum–Saunders autoregressive conditional duration model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 80(10), pages 2062-2078.
  27. Stanislav Anatolyev & Dmitry Shakin, 2006. "Trade intensity in the Russian stock market:dynamics, distribution and determinants," Working Papers w0070, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
  28. Saulo, Helton & Balakrishnan, Narayanaswamy & Vila, Roberto, 2023. "On a quantile autoregressive conditional duration model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 425-448.
  29. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Marcel Scharth, 2016. "Predicting Time-Varying Parameters with Parameter-Driven and Observation-Driven Models," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 98(1), pages 97-110, March.
  30. Fernandes, Marcelo & Grammig, Joachim, 2005. "Nonparametric specification tests for conditional duration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 35-68, July.
  31. Danúbia R. Cunha & Roberto Vila & Helton Saulo & Rodrigo N. Fernandez, 2020. "A General Family of Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models Applied to High-Frequency Financial Data," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, March.
  32. Katarzyna Bien-Barkowska, 2012. ""Does it take volume to move fx rates?" Evidence from quantile regressions," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 12, pages 35-52.
  33. Fatima Sol Murta, 2007. "The Money Market Daily Session :an UHF-GARCH Model Applied to the Portuguese Case Before and After the Introduction Of the Minimum Reserve System of the Single Monetary Policy," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 50(3), pages 285-314.
  34. Andres, P. & Harvey, A., 2012. "The Dyanamic Location/Scale Model: with applications to intra-day financial data," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1240, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  35. Myriam Ben Ayed & Adel Karaa & Jean‐Luc Prigent, 2018. "Duration Models For Credit Rating Migration: Evidence From The Financial Crisis," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(3), pages 1870-1886, July.
  36. Pérez-Rodríguez, Jorge V. & Gómez-Déniz, Emilio & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2021. "Testing unobserved market heterogeneity in financial markets: The case of Banco Popular," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 151-160.
  37. Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Katarzyna Lasak & André Lucas, 2015. "In-Sample Bounds for Time-Varying Parameters of Observation Driven Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-027/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 07 Sep 2015.
  38. BAUWENS, Luc & HAUTSCH, Nikolaus, 2003. "Dynamic latent factor models for intensity processes," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2003103, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  39. Ma, Boyuan & Chu, Tingjin & Jin, Zhuo, 2022. "Frequency and severity estimation of cyber attacks using spatial clustering analysis," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 33-45.
  40. Vasileios Siakoulis & Ioannis Venetis, 2015. "On inter-arrival times of bond market extreme events. An application to seven European markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 39(4), pages 717-741, October.
  41. Anatolyev, Stanislav, 2009. "Dynamic modeling under linear-exponential loss," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 82-89, January.
  42. Rodrigues, Bruno Dore & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Stevenson, Maxwell J., 2012. "An analysis of intraday market behaviour before takeover announcements," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 23-32.
  43. Yiing Fei Tan & Kok Haur Ng & You Beng Koh & Shelton Peiris, 2022. "Modelling Trade Durations Using Dynamic Logarithmic Component ACD Model with Extended Generalised Inverse Gaussian Distribution," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-20, May.
  44. Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2002. "Modelling Intraday Trading Activity Using Box-Cox-ACD Models," CoFE Discussion Papers 02/05, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
  45. Andres, Philipp, 2014. "Maximum likelihood estimates for positive valued dynamic score models; The DySco package," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 34-42.
  46. Katarzyna Bień-Barkowska, 2012. "A Bivariate Copula-based Model for a Mixed Binary-Continuous Distribution: A Time Series Approach," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 4(2), pages 117-142, June.
  47. Gómez-Déniz, E. & Pérez-Rodríguez, J.V., 2019. "Modelling bimodality of length of tourist stay," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 131-151.
  48. Chun Liu & John M Maheu, 2010. "Intraday Dynamics of Volatility and Duration: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Market," Working Papers tecipa-401, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
  49. Jorge Pérez-Rodríguez & Emilio Gómez-Déniza & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2019. "“Testing for private information using trade duration models with unobserved market heterogeneity: The case of Banco Popular”," IREA Working Papers 201907, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Apr 2019.
  50. Volodymyr Korniichuk, 2012. "Forecasting extreme electricity spot prices," Cologne Graduate School Working Paper Series 03-14, Cologne Graduate School in Management, Economics and Social Sciences.
  51. Dionne, Georges & Duchesne, Pierre & Pacurar, Maria, 2009. "Intraday Value at Risk (IVaR) using tick-by-tick data with application to the Toronto Stock Exchange," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 777-792, December.
  52. De Luca, Giovanni & Zuccolotto, Paola, 2006. "Regime-switching Pareto distributions for ACD models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 2179-2191, December.
  53. Liu, Chun & Maheu, John M., 2012. "Intraday dynamics of volatility and duration: Evidence from Chinese stocks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 329-348.
  54. Tony S. Wirjanto & Adam W. Kolkiewicz & Zhongxian Men, 2013. "Stochastic Conditional Duration Models with Mixture Processes," Working Paper series 29_13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
  55. Maria Pacurar, 2008. "Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models In Finance: A Survey Of The Theoretical And Empirical Literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(4), pages 711-751, September.
  56. BAUWENS, Luc & GALLI, Fausto & GIOT, Pierre, 2003. "The moments of Log-ACD models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2003011, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  57. Roman Huptas, 2019. "Point forecasting of intraday volume using Bayesian autoregressive conditional volume models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 293-310, July.
  58. Patrick W Saart & Jiti Gao & Nam Hyun Kim, 2014. "Econometric Time Series Specification Testing in a Class of Multiplicative Error Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/14, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  59. Hira L. Koul & Indeewara Perera & Narayana Balakrishna, 2023. "A class of Minimum Distance Estimators in Markovian Multiplicative Error Models," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 85(1), pages 87-115, May.
  60. Allen, David & Lazarov, Zdravetz & McAleer, Michael & Peiris, Shelton, 2009. "Comparison of alternative ACD models via density and interval forecasts: Evidence from the Australian stock market," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2535-2555.
  61. Wei Sun & Svetlozar Rachev & Frank Fabozzi & Petko Kalev, 2008. "Fractals in trade duration: capturing long-range dependence and heavy tailedness in modeling trade duration," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 217-241, March.
  62. Anthony Tay & Christopher Ting & Yiu Kuen Tse & Mitch Warachka, 2007. "Modeling Transaction Data of Trade Direction and Estimation of Probability of Informed Trading," Finance Working Papers 22483, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  63. Liu, Xiaochun, 2017. "Can macroeconomic dynamics explain the time variation of risk–return trade-offs in the U.S. financial market?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 275-293.
  64. Wanbo Lu & Rui Ke, 2019. "A generalized least squares estimation method for the autoregressive conditional duration model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 123-146, February.
  65. Giovanni Luca & Giampiero Gallo, 2009. "Time-Varying Mixing Weights in Mixture Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1-3), pages 102-120.
  66. Henryk Gurgul & Robert Syrek, 2016. "The logarithmic ACD model: The microstructure of the German and Polish stock markets," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 17(1), pages 77-92.
  67. Fernandes, Marcelo, 2004. "Bounds for the probability distribution function of the linear ACD process," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 169-176, June.
  68. Francisco Blasques & Vladim'ir Hol'y & Petra Tomanov'a, 2018. "Zero-Inflated Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model for Discrete Trade Durations with Excessive Zeros," Papers 1812.07318, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  69. Hautsch, Nikolaus & Pohlmeier, Winfried, 2001. "Econometric Analysis of Financial Transaction Data: Pitfalls and Opportunities," CoFE Discussion Papers 01/05, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
  70. Dungey, Mardi & Jeyasreedharan, Nagaratnam & Li, Tuo, 2010. "Modelling the Time Between Trades in the After-Hours Electronic Equity Futures Market," Working Papers 10451, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, revised 30 May 2012.
  71. Rodrigo Herrera & Bernhard Schipp, 2011. "Extreme value models in a conditional duration intensity framework," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-022, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
  72. Grammig, Joachim & Wellner, Marc, 2002. "Modeling the interdependence of volatility and inter-transaction duration processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 106(2), pages 369-400, February.
  73. Hujer, Reinhard & Vuletic, Sandra, 2007. "Econometric analysis of financial trade processes by discrete mixture duration models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 635-667, February.
  74. Pipat Wongsaart & Jiti Gao, 2011. "Nonparametric Kernel Testing in Semiparametric Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 18/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  75. Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Łasak, Katarzyna & Lucas, André, 2016. "In-sample confidence bands and out-of-sample forecast bands for time-varying parameters in observation-driven models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 875-887.
  76. Gao, Jiti & Kim, Nam Hyun & Saart, Patrick W., 2015. "A misspecification test for multiplicative error models of non-negative time series processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(2), pages 346-359.
  77. Gerhard, Frank & Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2002. "Volatility estimation on the basis of price intensities," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 57-89, January.
  78. Hujer Reinhard & Grammig Joachim & Kokot Stefan, 2000. "Time Varying Trade Intensities and the Deutsche Telekom IPO / Zeitvariable Handelsintensitaten und die Deutsche Telekom IPO," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 220(6), pages 689-714, December.
  79. Trojan, Sebastian, 2014. "Modeling Intraday Stochastic Volatility and Conditional Duration Contemporaneously with Regime Shifts," Economics Working Paper Series 1425, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  80. Zhang, Michael Yuanjie & Russell, Jeffrey R. & Tsay, Ruey S., 2001. "A nonlinear autoregressive conditional duration model with applications to financial transaction data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 104(1), pages 179-207, August.
  81. N. Taylor & Y. Xu, 2017. "The logarithmic vector multiplicative error model: an application to high frequency NYSE stock data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 1021-1035, July.
  82. Allen, David & Ng, K.H. & Peiris, Shelton, 2013. "The efficient modelling of high frequency transaction data: A new application of estimating functions in financial economics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 117-122.
  83. Roman Huptas, 2016. "The UHF-GARCH-Type Model in the Analysis of Intraday Volatility and Price Durations – the Bayesian Approach," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-20, March.
  84. Simos G. Meintanis & Bojana Milošević & Marko Obradović, 2020. "Goodness-of-fit tests in conditional duration models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 123-140, February.
  85. Katarzyna Bien-Barkowska, 2011. "Distribution Choice for the Asymmetric ACD Models," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 11, pages 55-72.
  86. Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos & Tsionas, Mike G. & Aknouche, Abdelhakim, 2020. "Ordinal-response models for irregularly spaced transactions: A forecasting exercise," MPRA Paper 103250, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Oct 2020.
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