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Citations for "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes" by Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W
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Cited by (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.): Carlo A. Favero, 2007.
"Model Evaluation in Macroeconometrics: from early empirical macroeconomic models to DSGE models ,"
Working Papers
327, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008.
"Factor-augmented Error Correction Models ,"
Working Papers
335, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005.
"Monetary Policy in Real Time ,"
Working Papers
284, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca, 2005.
"Monetary Policy in Real Time ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4981, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2005.
"Monetary Policy in Real Time ,"
NBER Chapters ,
in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19, pages 161-224
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] Mario Forni & Marc Hallin & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2003.
"The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model. One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting ,"
LEM Papers Series
2003/13, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Forni M. & Hallin M., 2003.
"The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2003
143, Society for Computational Economics.
Forni, Mario & Hallin, Marc & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2002.
"The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3432, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Forni, Mario & Hallin, Marc & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2005.
"The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting ,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 830-840, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Kirstin Hubrich & David F. Hendry, 2005.
"Forecasting Aggregates by Disaggregates ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005
270, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Kurz, Mordecai & Motolese, Maurizio, 2006.
"Risk Premia, diverse belief and beauty contests ,"
MPRA Paper
247, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Alonso Gomez & John M Maheu & Alex Maynard, 2008.
"Improving Forecasts of Inflation using the Term Structure of Interest Rates ,"
Working Papers
tecipa-319, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Kaaresvirta, Juuso & Mehrotra, Aaron, 2009.
"Business surveys and inflation forecasting in China ,"
BOFIT Discussion Papers
22/2008, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Simone Elmer & Thomas Maag, 2009.
"The Persistence of Inflation in Switzerland: Evidence from Disaggregate Data ,"
KOF Working papers
09-235, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
[Downloadable!]
Eickmeier, Sandra, 2005.
"Common stationary and non-stationary factors in the euro area analyzed in a large-scale factor model ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2005,02, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009.
"Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2009,03, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009.
"UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So? ,"
Working Papers
09-17, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Silvio Colarossi & Andrea Zaghini, 2007.
"Gradualism, Transparency and Improved Operational Framework: A Look at the Overnight Volatility Transmission ,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2007/16, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!]
Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008.
"Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP ,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2008/16, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008.
"Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1 ,"
Working Papers
333, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!] Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2007.
"Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2007,34, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2008.
"Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6708, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Curran, Declan & Funke, Michael, 2006.
"Taking the temperature – forecasting GDP growth for mainland China ,"
BOFIT Discussion Papers
6/2006, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: David F. Hendry & Kirstin Hubrich, 2006.
"Forecasting economic aggregates by disaggregates ,"
Working Paper Series
589, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: George Kapetanios & M. Hashem Pesaran & Takashi Yamagata, 2006.
"Panels with Nonstationary Multifactor Error Structures ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Kapetanios, G. & Pesaran, M.H. & Yamagata, T., 2006.
"Panels with Nonstationary Multifactor Error Structures ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0651, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!] George Kapetanios & M. Hashem Pesaran & Takashi Yamagata, 2006.
"Panels with Nonstationary Multifactor Error Structures ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
2243, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
[Downloadable!] George Kapetanios & M. Hashem Pesaran & Takashi Yamagata, 2006.
"Panels with Nonstationary Multifactor Error Structures ,"
Working Papers
569, Queen Mary, University of London, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Dees, S. & di Mauro, F. & Pesaran, M.H. & Smith, L.V., 2005.
"Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: a Global VAR Analysis ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0518, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Stephane Dees & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith, 2004.
"Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: A Global VAR Analysis ,"
IEPR Working Papers
04.6, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR).
[Downloadable!] Stephane Dees & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith, 2006.
"Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: a Global VAR Analysis ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
47, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!] Stéphane Dées & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith, 2005.
"Exploring the international linkages of the euro area - a global VAR analysis ,"
Working Paper Series
568, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!] Stephane Dees & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith, 2005.
"Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: a Global VAR Analysis ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] Filippo di Mauro & L. Vanessa Smith & Stephane Dees & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2007.
"Exploring the international linkages of the euro area: a global VAR analysis ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 1-38.
[Downloadable!] Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2009.
"Model selection criteria for factor-augmented regressions ,"
Staff Reports
363, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Massimiliano Marcellino & James Stock & Mark Watson, 2005.
"A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series ,"
Working Papers
285, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 2005.
"A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4976, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2006.
"A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 499-526.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Min Fan, 2006.
"Heterogeneous Beliefs, the Term Structure and Time-varying Risk Premia ,"
Annals of Finance ,
Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 259-285, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
George Pasdirtz, 2007.
"Controlling the US health care system with policy wedges ,"
Health Care Management Science ,
Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 311-329, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Boriss Siliverstovs & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2006.
"On Selection of Components for a Diffusion Index Model: It's not the Size, It's How You Use It ,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
598, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2007.
"Estimating Multi-country VAR models ,"
Discussion Papers
7_2007, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2002.
"Estimating Multi-country VAR models ,"
Economics Working Papers
920, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 2008.
[Downloadable!] Matteo Ciccarelli & Fabio Canova, 2006.
"Estimating Multi-country VAR models ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
478, Society for Computational Economics.
Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2006.
"Estimating multi-country VAR models ,"
Working Paper Series
603, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!] Troy Matheson, 2005.
"Factor model forecasts for New Zealand ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2005/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Matheson, Troy D, 2006.
"Factor Model Forecasts for New Zealand ,"
MPRA Paper
807, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!] Troy D. Matheson, 2006.
"Factor Model Forecasts for New Zealand ,"
International Journal of Central Banking ,
International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(2), May.
[Downloadable!] Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2005.
"Global Inflation ,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
357, Central Bank of Chile.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Schumacher, Christian, 2009.
"Factor forecasting using international targeted predictors: the case of German GDP ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2009,10, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
Chris Higson & Sean Holly & Ivan Petrella, 2009.
"The Financial Integration of the European Union: Common and Idiosyncratic Drivers ,"
Working Paper / FINESS
1.1d, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2005.
"On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence ,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
522, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Beyer, Andreas & Farmer, Roger E A & Henry, Jérôme & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2005.
"Factor Analysis in a New-Keynesian Model ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5266, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Matteo Manera & Massimiliano Serati & Michele Plotegher, 2008.
"Modeling Electricity Prices: From the State of the Art to a Draft of a New Proposal ,"
Working Papers
2008.9, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Kenneth N Kuttner, 2008.
"Equity prices as leading indicators: the Asian experience ,"
BIS Papers chapters ,
in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial market developments and their implications for monetary policy, volume 39, pages 167-192
Bank for International Settlements.
[Downloadable!]
David Jamieson Bolder & Yuliya Romanyuk, 2008.
"Combining Canadian Interest-Rate Forecasts ,"
Working Papers
08-34, Bank of Canada.
[Downloadable!]
Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2008.
"Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore ,"
Economic Growth centre Working Paper Series
0802, Nanyang Technolgical University, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Economic Growth centre.
[Downloadable!]
Bušs, Ginters, 2009.
"Comparing forecasts of Latvia's GDP using simple seasonal ARIMA models and direct versus indirect approach ,"
MPRA Paper
16684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Hansson, Jesper & Jansson, Per & Löf, Mårten, 2003.
"Business Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting the Macro Economy? ,"
Working Paper Series
151, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change ,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2008/17, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2008.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6706, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change ,"
Working Papers
334, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!] Marie Brière & Florian Ielpo, 2007.
"Yield curve reaction to macroeconomic news in Europe : disentangling the US influence ,"
Working Papers CEB
07-038.RS, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management, Centre Emile Bernheim (CEB).
[Downloadable!]
Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2006.
"Generalized Dynamic Factor Model + GARCH Exploiting Multivariate Information for Univariate Prediction ,"
LEM Papers Series
2006/13, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
[Downloadable!]
Elena Angelini & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007.
"Econometric analyses with backdated data - unified Germany and the euro area ,"
Working Paper Series
752, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Oliver Hülsewig & Johannes Mayr & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008.
"Forecasting Euro Area Real GDP: Optimal Pooling of Information ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2009.
"Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models ,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2009/31, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Carlo A. Favero, 2007.
"The Econometrics of Monetary Policy: an Overview ,"
Working Papers
329, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2003.
"Forecasting in large macroeconomic panels using Bayesian Model Averaging ,"
Staff Reports
163, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2005.
"Pooling-based data interpolation and backdating ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5295, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Massimiliano Marcellino, 2005.
"Pooling-based Data Interpolation and Backdating ,"
Working Papers
299, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!] Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007.
"Pooling-Based Data Interpolation and Backdating ,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 28(1), pages 53-71, 01.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Ilian Mihov, 2007.
"Sticky Prices and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Disaggregated U.S. Data ,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2007/14, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!]
Andreas Beyer & Roger E. A. Farmer & Jérôme Henry & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007.
"Factor Analysis in a Model with Rational Expectations ,"
NBER Working Papers
13404, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman & Michel van der Wel, 2009.
"Dynamic Factor Models with Smooth Loadings for Analyzing the Term Structure of Interest Rates ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-39, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008.
"Real-time measurement of business conditions ,"
Working Papers
08-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008.
"Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions ,"
NBER Working Papers
14349, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007.
"Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
07-028, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Chiara Scotti & S.Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & University of Maryland, 2006.
"Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
387, Society for Computational Economics.
S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007.
"Real-time measurement of business conditions ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
901, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2007.
"A Multivariate Perspective for Modeling and Forecasting Inflation's Conditional Mean and Variance ,"
LEM Papers Series
2007/21, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
[Downloadable!]
Fushang Liu & Kajal Lahiri, 2006.
"Modelling multi-period inflation uncertainty using a panel of density forecasts ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(8), pages 1199-1219.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Kenneth D. West & Todd Clark, 2006.
"Approximately Normal Tests for Equal Predictive Accuracy in Nested Models ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2005.
"Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models ,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 05-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!] Clark, Todd E. & West, Kenneth D., 2007.
"Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 291-311, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Viktors Ajevskis & Gundars Davidsons, 2008.
"Dynamic Factor Models in Forecasting Latvia's Gross Domestic Product ,"
Working Papers
2008/02, Latvijas Banka.
[Downloadable!]
Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2003.
"Tests of conditional predictive ability ,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
572, Boston College Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2004.
"Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2003-09, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2003.
"Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability ,"
Econometrics
0308001, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2006.
"Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 74(6), pages 1545-1578, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) A. Espasa & E. Senra & R. Albacete, 2002.
"Forecasting inflation in the European Monetary Union: A disaggregated approach by countries and by sectors ,"
European Journal of Finance ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 402-421, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Barhoumi, K. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L. & Pluyaud, B. & Rouvreau, B., 2008.
"Monthly forecasting of French GDP: A revised version of the OPTIM model ,"
Documents de Travail
222, Banque de France.
[Downloadable!]
Chudik , A. & Pesaran, M.H., 2007.
"Infinite Dimensional VARs and Factor Models ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0757, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: William T. Gavin & Kevin L. Kliesen, 2008.
"Forecasting inflation and output: comparing data-rich models with simple rules ,"
Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 175-192.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: John M Maheu & Stephen Gordon, 2007.
"Learning, Forecasting and Structural Breaks ,"
Working Papers
tecipa-284, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
John M. Maheu & Stephen Gordon, 2004.
"Learning, Forecasting and Structural Breaks ,"
Cahiers de recherche
0422, CIRPEE.
[Downloadable!] John M. Maheu & Stephen Gordon, 2008.
"Learning, forecasting and structural breaks ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 553-583.
[Downloadable!] Roberto S. Mariano & Yasutomo Murasawa, 2004.
"Constructing a Coincident Index of Business Cycles without Assuming a One-factor Model ,"
Working Papers
22-2004, Singapore Management University, School of Economics, revised Oct 2004.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Lorena Saiz & Universidad de Murcia, 2006.
"Do european business cycles look like one $\_?$ ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
175, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Kapetanios, G. & Pesaran, M.H., 2005.
"Alternative Approaches to Estimation and Inference in Large Multifactor Panels: Small Sample Results with an Application to Modelling of Asset Returns ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0520, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: L.A. Gil-Alana & G.M. caporale, 2004.
"Long-run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market ,"
Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings
344, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2004.
"Long-run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market ,"
Economics Series
155, Institute for Advanced Studies.
[Downloadable!] Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2007.
"Long Run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2005.
"Long Run And Cyclical Dynamics In The Us Stock Market ,"
Economics and Finance Discussion Papers
05-09, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!] Antonello D’Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2006.
"(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability ,"
Working Paper Series
605, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
D''Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico & Surico, Paolo, 2007.
"(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6594, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006.
"(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability ,"
Research Technical Papers
5/RT/06, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI).
[Downloadable!] Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2005.
"(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability ,"
Macroeconomics
0510024, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Fabio Busetti & Juri Marcucci & Giovanni Veronese, 2009.
"Comparing forecast accuracy: A Monte Carlo investigation ,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
723, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department.
[Downloadable!]
Bank for International Settlements and Bank Negara Malaysia, 2008.
"Financial market developments and their implications for monetary policy ,"
BIS Papers ,
Bank for International Settlements, number 39, Janvier-M.
[Downloadable!]
Agostino Consolo & Carlo A. Favero & Alessia Paccagnini, 2007.
"On the Statistical Identification of DSGE Models ,"
Working Papers
324, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Consolo, Agostino & Favero, Carlo A & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2009.
"On the Statistical Identification of DSGE Models ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7176, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Consolo, Agostino & Favero, Carlo A. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2009.
"On the statistical identification of DSGE models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 99-115, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M.H. & Tosetti, E., 2007.
"Large Panels with Common Factors and Spatial Correlations ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0743, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Carlo A. Favero & Linlin Niu & Luca Sala, 2007.
"Term Structure Forecasting: No-arbitrage Restrictions vs. Large Information Set ,"
Working Papers
318, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Craig S. Hakkio, 2009.
"Global inflation dynamics ,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 09-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
Alain N. Kabundi & Francisco Nadal-De Simone, 2007.
"France in the Global Economy: A Structural Approximate Dynamic Factor Model Analysis ,"
IMF Working Papers
07/129, International Monetary Fund.
[Downloadable!]
Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008.
"Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting ,"
Staff Reports
327, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Laurent Maurin & Matthieu Darracq Pariès, 2008.
"The role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro area manufacturing production. Perspective from Large Panel factor models ,"
Working Paper Series
894, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Troy Matheson, 2006.
"Phillips curve forecasting in a small open economy ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2006/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Benoît Mojon, 2008.
"How Has the Euro Changed the Monetary Transmission? ,"
NBER Working Papers
14190, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Andrew McCallum & Frank Smets, 2007.
"Real wages and monetary policy transmission in the euro area ,"
Kiel Working Papers
1360, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
[Downloadable!]
Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Boriss Siliverstovs & Stefan Kooths, 2007.
"A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder ,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
664, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Marc P. Giannoni & Jean Boivin, 2005.
"DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005
431, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006.
"DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0332, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Boivin, J. & Giannoni, M., 2007.
"DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment ,"
Documents de Travail
162, Banque de France.
[Downloadable!] Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006.
"DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment ,"
NBER Working Papers
12772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dong Fu, 2007.
"National, regional and metro-specific factors of the U.S. housing market ,"
Working Papers
0707, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
[Downloadable!]
Simonetta Longhi & Peter Nijkamp, 2005.
"Forecasting Regional Labour Market Developments Under Spatial Heterogeneity and Spatial Autocorrelation ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
05-041/3, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Peter Kugler & Beatrice Weder, 2004.
"International Portfolio Holdings and Swiss Franc Asset Returns ,"
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES) ,
Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 140(III), pages 301-325, September.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Huiyu Huang & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2006.
"To Combine Forecasts or to Combine Information? ,"
Working Papers
200806, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2009.
[Downloadable!]
Francesco Belviso & Fabio Milani, 2005.
"Structural Factor-Augmented VAR (SFAVAR) and the Effects of Monetary Policy ,"
Macroeconomics
0503023, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Hjalmarsson, Erik, 2005.
"On the Predictability of Global Stock Returns ,"
Working Papers in Economics
161, Göteborg University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira & Herman Bierens & Ivan Castelar, 2005.
"Forecasting Quarterly Brazilian GDP Growth Rate With Linear and NonLinear Diffusion Index Models ,"
Economia ,
ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 6(3), pages 261-292.
[Downloadable!]
Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2006.
"A generalised dynamic factor model for the Belgian economy - Useful business cycle indicators and GDP growth forecasts ,"
Research series
200603-2, National Bank of Belgium.
[Downloadable!]
Bork, Lasse, 2009.
"Estimating US Monetary Policy Shocks Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression: An EM Algorithm Approach ,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2009-03, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!]
Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2008.
"Combining forecasts from nested models ,"
Working Papers
2008-037, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2006.
"Combining forecasts from nested models ,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 06-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!] Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2007.
"Combining forecasts from nested models ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2007-43, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2009.
"Combining Forecasts from Nested Models ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(3), pages 303-329, 06.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2006.
"A Parametric Estimation Method for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5620, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Marc Hallin & Charles Mathias & Hugues Pirotte & David Veredas, 2009.
"Market Liquidity as Dynamic Factors ,"
ECARES Working Papers
2009_004, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Ecares.
[Downloadable!]
Lasse Bork, 2009.
"Estimating US Monetary Policy Shocks Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression: An EM Algorithm Approach ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-11, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
Jens Carsten Jackwerth & James E. Hodder & Olga Kolokolova, 2008.
"Recovering Delisting Returns of Hedge Funds ,"
CoFE Discussion Paper
08-09, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Mehrotra, Aaron & Rautava, Jouko, 2007.
"Do sentiment indicators help to assess and predict actual developments of the Chinese economy? ,"
BOFIT Discussion Papers
11/2007, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Stéphane Dées & Matthias Burgert, 2008.
"Forecasting world trade. Direct versus "bottom-up" approaches ,"
Working Paper Series
882, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Marlene Amstad & Andreas M. Fischer, 2009.
"Do macroeconomic announcements move inflation forecasts? ,"
Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 507-518.
[Downloadable!]
Massimiliano Marcellino & George Kapetanios, 2006.
"The Role of Search Frictions and Bargaining for Inflation Dynamics ,"
Working Papers
305, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Nii Ayi Armah & Norman R. Swanson, 2008.
"Seeing inside the black box: Using diffusion index methodology to construct factor proxies in large scale macroeconomic time series environments ,"
Working Papers
08-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
Antonio García-Ferrer & Ester González-Prieto & Daniel Peña, 2008.
"A multivariate generalized independent factor GARCH model with an application to financial stock returns ,"
Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers
ws087528, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría.
[Downloadable!]
Silvio Colarossi & Andrea Zaghini, 2009.
"Gradualism, transparency and the improved operational framework: a look at the overnight volatility transmission ,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
710, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department.
[Downloadable!]
Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A., 2004.
"‘Real Time Econometrics’ ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0432, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Pesaran, M Hashem & Timmermann, Allan G, 2004.
"Real Time Econometrics ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4402, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2004.
"Real Time Econometrics ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
1108, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
[Downloadable!] M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann, 2004.
"Real Time Econometrics ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] Pesaran, Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2005.
"Real-Time Econometrics ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(01), pages 212-231, February.
[Downloadable!] Günter W. Beck & Kirstin Hubrich & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2006.
"Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US ,"
Working Paper Series
681, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Máximo Camacho & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Lorena Saiz, 2005.
"Do european business cycles look like one? ,"
Banco de España Working Papers
0518, Banco de España.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2007.
"Information combination and forecast (st)ability. Evidence from vintages of time-series data ,"
Working Paper Series
846, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2006.
"Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Evaluation ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5621, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Longhi, Simonetta & Nijkamp, Peter, 2006.
"Forecasting regional labor market developments under spatial heterogeneity and spatial correlation ,"
Serie Research Memoranda
0015, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
[Downloadable!]
Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2009.
"The Feldstein-Horioka fact ,"
NBER Working Papers
15519, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2008.
"The Feldstein-Horioka fact ,"
Working Paper Series
873, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!] Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2009.
"The Feldstein-Horioka Fact ,"
ECARES Working Papers
2009_022, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Ecares.
[Downloadable!] Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2004.
"The Feldstein-Horioka Fact ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Chris Bloor & Troy Matheson, 2008.
"Analysing shock transmission in a data-rich environment: A large BVAR for New Zealand ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2008/09, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
[Downloadable!]
Wei-Choun Yu, 2008.
"Macroeconomic and financial market volatilities: an empirical evidence of factor model ,"
Economics Bulletin ,
Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(33), pages 1-18.
[Downloadable!]
Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Franz C. Palm, 2008.
"Studying Co-Movements in Large Multivariate Data Prior to Multivariate Modelling ,"
CEIS Research Paper
125, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 14 Jul 2008.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Domenico Giannone & Troy D. Matheson, 2007.
"A New Core Inflation Indicator for New Zealand ,"
International Journal of Central Banking ,
International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 145-180, December.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Altissimo, Filippo & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Forni, Mario & Lippi, Marco & Veronese, Giovanni, 2006.
"New EuroCOIN: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5633, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Lutz Kilian & Atsushi Inoue, 2004.
"Bagging Time Series Models ,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings
110, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Proietti, Tommaso, 2008.
"Estimation of Common Factors under Cross-Sectional and Temporal Aggregation Constraints: Nowcasting Monthly GDP and its Main Components ,"
MPRA Paper
6860, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
De Bandt. O. & Bruneau, C. & Flageollet, B., 2006.
"Assessing Aggregate Comovements in France, Germany and Italy. Using a Non Stationary Factor Model of the Euro Area ,"
Documents de Travail
145, Banque de France.
[Downloadable!]
Álvaro Aguirre R. & Luis Felipe Céspedes C., 2004.
"Uso de Análisis Factorial Dinámico para Proyecciones Macroeconómicas ,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
274, Central Bank of Chile.
[Downloadable!]
Marc Hallin & Roman Liska, 2008.
"Dynamic Factors in the Presence of Block Structure ,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2008/22, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Dreger, Christian & Schumacher, Christian, 2002.
"Estimating Large-Scale Factor Models for Economic Activity in Germany: Do They Outperform Simpler Models? ,"
Discussion Paper Series
26321, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Lanne, Markku & Luoma, Arto & Luoto, Jani, 2008.
"A Naïve Sticky Information Model of Households’ Inflation Expectations ,"
MPRA Paper
8663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Marta Banbura & Gerhard Rünstler, 2007.
"A look into the factor model black box - publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP ,"
Working Paper Series
751, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Andrea Cipollini & George Kapetanios, 2006.
"Forecasting Financial Crises and Contagion in Asia using Dynamic Factor Analysis ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
477, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Andrea Cipollini & George Kapetanios, 2008.
"Forecasting Financial Crises and Contagion in Asia using Dynamic Factor Analysis ,"
Center for Economic Research (RECent)
014, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Andrea Cipollini & George Kapetanios, 2005.
"Forecasting Financial Crises and Contagion in Asia Using Dynamic Factor Analysis ,"
Working Papers
538, Queen Mary, University of London, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Cipollini, A. & Kapetanios, G., 2009.
"Forecasting financial crises and contagion in Asia using dynamic factor analysis ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 188-200, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman, 2008.
"Likelihood-based Analysis for Dynamic Factor Models ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
08-007/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Geetesh Bhardwaj & Norman Swanson, 2004.
"An Empirical Investigation of the Usefulness of ARFIMA Models for Predicting Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series ,"
Departmental Working Papers
200422, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Eickmeier, Sandra & Breitung, Jörg, 2005.
"How synchronized are central and east European economies with the euro area? : Evidence from a structural factor model ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2005,20, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
Vojtech Benda & Lubos Ruzicka, 2007.
"Short-term Forecasting Methods Based on the LEI Approach: The Case of the Czech Republic ,"
Research and Policy Notes
2007/01, Czech National Bank, Research Department.
[Downloadable!]
Amstad, Marlene & Fischer, Andreas M, 2005.
"Shock Identification of Macroeconomic Forecasts Based on Daily Panels ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5008, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: James B. Ang & Warwick J. McKibbin, 2005.
"Financial Liberalization, Financial Sector Development And Growth: Evidence From Malaysia ,"
CAMA Working Papers
2005-05, Australian National University, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Forni, Mario & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2003.
"Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models versus Structural VARs ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4133, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Charles L. Evans & David A. Marshall, 2005.
"Fundamental Economic Shocks and The Macroeconomy ,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
351, Central Bank of Chile.
[Downloadable!]
Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Elisa Tosetti, 2009.
"Weak and Strong Cross Section Dependence and Estimation of Large Panels ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Chudik, A. & Pesaran, M.H. & Tosetti, E., 2009.
"Weak and Strong Cross Section Dependence and Estimation of Large Panels ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0924, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!] Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Elisa Tosetti, 2009.
"Weak and Strong Cross Section Dependence and Estimation of Large Panels ,"
Working Paper Series
1100, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!] Andrew J. Patton & Allan Timmermann, 2008.
"The Resolution of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Survey Forecast ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-54, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2006.
"Dynamic Factor GARCH: Multivariate Volatility Forecast for a Large Number of Series ,"
LEM Papers Series
2006/25, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
[Downloadable!]
Michal Brzoza-Brzezina & Jacek Kotlowski, 2009.
"Estimating pure inflation in the Polish economy ,"
Working Papers
37, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
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