Citations for "Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors"
by Stock J.H. & Watson M.W.
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- Massimiliano Serati & Matteo Manera & Michele Plotegher, 2008.
"Modelling electricity prices: from the state of the art to a draft of a new proposal,"
LIUC Papers in Economics
210, Cattaneo University (LIUC).
- Dong Fu, 2007.
"National, regional and metro-specific factors of the U.S. housing market,"
Working Papers
0707, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008.
"Factor-augmented Error Correction Models,"
Working Papers
335, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2005.
"Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new member states of the European Union,"
Working Paper Series
482, European Central Bank.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008.
"Large Bayesian VARs,"
Working Papers ECARES
2008_033, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Martha Banbura & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008.
"Bayesian VARs with large panels,"
ULB Institutional Repository
2013/13388, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marta Bańbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008.
"Large Bayesian VARs,"
Working Paper Series
966, European Central Bank.
- Marta Bańbura, 2008.
"Large Bayesian VARs,"
2008 Meeting Papers
334, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Banbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2007.
"Bayesian VARs with Large Panels,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6326, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Asgharian, Hossein & Hou, Ai Jun & Javed, Farrukh, 2013.
"Importance of the macroeconomic variables for variance prediction A GARCH-MIDAS approach,"
Knut Wicksell Working Paper Series
2013/4, Knut Wicksell Centre for Financial Studies, Lund University.
- Xu Cheng & Bruce E. Hansen, 2012.
"Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Regression: A Frequentist Model Averaging Approach,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
12-046, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Marco Buchmann, 2011.
"Corporate bond spreads and real activity in the euro area - Least Angle Regression forecasting and the probability of the recession,"
Working Paper Series
1286, European Central Bank.
- Mazzi, Gian Luigi & Mathieu, Catherine & Charpin, Françoise, 2008.
"Construction of coincident indicators for euro area key macroeconomic variables. 28th International Symposium on Forecasting, Nice, June 23 2008,"
Open Access publications from Sciences Po
info:hdl:2441/9676, Sciences Po.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés gonzález & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012.
"Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
009884, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Barbara Guardabascio & Alain Hecq, 2012.
"A General to Specific Approach for Constructing Composite Business Cycle Indicators,"
CEIS Research Paper
224, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 27 Feb 2012.
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2010.
"Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
970, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Hendry, David F. & Hubrich, Kirstin, 2011.
"Combining Disaggregate Forecasts or Combining Disaggregate Information to Forecast an Aggregate,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 29(2), pages 216-227.
- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011.
"Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment,"
Working Papers
201101, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011.
"Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment,"
Working papers
2011-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2012.
- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011.
"Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Sectoral Employment,"
Working Papers
1106, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
- Andersson, Michael K & Karlsson, Sune, 2007.
"Bayesian Forecast Combination for VAR Models,"
Working Papers
2007:13, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Gelper, Sarah & Croux, Christophe, 2008.
"Least angle regression for time series forecasting with many predictors,"
Open Access publications from Katholieke Universiteit Leuven
urn:hdl:123456789/164224, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven.
- Lasse Bork & Hans Dewachter & Romain Houssa, 2009.
"Identification of Macroeconomic Factors in Large Panels,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-43, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
- Lasse BORK & Hans DEWACHTER & Romain HOUSSA, 2009.
"Identification of macroeconomic factors in large panels,"
Center for Economic Studies - Discussion papers
ces09.18, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Centrum voor Economische Studiën.
- Romain Houssa & Lasse Bork & Hans Dewachter, 2008.
"Identification of Macroeconomic Factors in Large Panels,"
Working Papers
1010, University of Namur, Department of Economics.
- Bork, Lasse & Dewachter, Hans & Houssa, Romain, 2009.
"Identification of macroeconomic factors in large panels,"
Open Access publications from Katholieke Universiteit Leuven
urn:hdl:123456789/251011, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven.
- Jushan Bai & Chihwa Kao & Serena Ng, 2007.
"Panel Cointegration with Global Stochastic Trends,"
Center for Policy Research Working Papers
90, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
- Jon Faust & Abhishek Gupta, 2012.
"Posterior Predictive Analysis for Evaluating DSGE Models,"
NBER Working Papers
17906, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nadezhda Malysheva & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, 2009.
"Heterogeneity in sectoral employment and the business cycle,"
Economic Quarterly,
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 335-355.
- Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2009.
"Macro Factors in Bond Risk Premia,"
Review of Financial Studies,
Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(12), pages 5027-5067, December.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2004.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables for the Acceding Countries,"
Working Papers
260, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Jörg Breitung & Sandra Eickmeier, 2006.
"Dynamic factor models,"
AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis,
Springer, vol. 90(1), pages 27-42, March.
- Pablo A. Guerron-Quintana, 2012.
"Common and idiosyncratic disturbances in developed small open economies,"
Working Papers
12-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2002.
"Estimating multi-country VAR models,"
Economics Working Papers
920, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 2008.
- Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2007.
"Estimating Multi-country VAR models,"
Discussion Papers
7_2007, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Fabio Canova, 2006.
"Estimating Multi-country VAR models,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
478, Society for Computational Economics.
- Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2006.
"Estimating multi-country VAR models,"
Working Paper Series
603, European Central Bank.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009.
"Analyzing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy : A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore,"
Macroeconomics Working Papers
22074, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Fan, Jianqing & Liao, Yuan & Shi, Xiaofeng, 2013.
"Risks of large portfolios,"
MPRA Paper
44206, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Peter Sandholt Jensen & Allan H. Würtz, 2006.
"On determining the importance of a regressor with small and undersized samples,"
Economics Working Papers
2006-08, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
- Harun Mirza & Lidia Storjohann, 2011.
"Making a Weak Instrument Set Stronger: Factor-Based Estimation of the Taylor Rule,"
Bonn Econ Discussion Papers
bgse13_2012, University of Bonn, Germany.
- Pang, Iris Ai Jao, 2010.
"Were Fed’s active monetary policy actions necessary?,"
MPRA Paper
32496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Lemke, Wolfgang & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2011.
"Classical time-varying FAVAR models - Estimation, forecasting and structural analysis,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
8321, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- U. Michael Bergman & Lars Jonung, 2011.
"Business Cycle Synchronization In Europe: Evidence From The Scandinavian Currency Union,"
Manchester School,
University of Manchester, vol. 79(2), pages 268-292, 03.
- Chang, Kuang Liang & Chen, Nan Kuang & Leung, Charles Ka Yui, 2011.
"In the Shadow of the United States: The International Transmission Effect of Asset Returns,"
MPRA Paper
32776, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Massimiliano Marcellino, 2005.
"Pooling-based Data Interpolation and Backdating,"
Working Papers
299, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Huiyu Huang & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2006.
"To Combine Forecasts or to Combine Information?,"
Working Papers
200806, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2009.
- Sandra Eickmeier & Tim Ng, 2009.
"Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: an application to New Zealand,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2009/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Ng, Tim, 2011.
"Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: An application to New Zealand,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 496-511.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Ng, Tim, 2011.
"Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: An application to New Zealand,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 496-511, April.
- Francisco Dias & Maximiano Pinheiro & António Rua, 2010.
"Forecasting using targeted diffusion indexes,"
Journal of Forecasting,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 341-352.
- Jeroen Klomp & Jacob de Haan (DNB), 2010.
"Banking risk and regulation: Does one size fit all?,"
CPB Discussion Paper
164, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- António Rua, 2011.
"A wavelet approach for factor‐augmented forecasting,"
Journal of Forecasting,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(7), pages 666-678, November.
- Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert & Wei, Min, 2007.
"Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1163-1212, May.
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2005.
"Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?,"
NBER Working Papers
11538, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2006.
"Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2006-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009.
"Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals,"
Working papers
2009-42, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- David F. Hendry & Kirstin Hubrich, 2006.
"Forecasting economic aggregates by disaggregates,"
Working Paper Series
589, European Central Bank.
- Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Bernd Schwaab, 2008.
"Forecasting Cross-Sections of Frailty-Correlated Default,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
08-029/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Eric Zivot, 2008.
"Extracting a Robust U.S. Business Cycle Using a Time-Varying Multivariate Model-Based Bandpass Filter,"
Working Papers
UWEC-2008-15-FC, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
- Huyn Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2011.
"Forecasting Financial and Macroeconomic Variables Using Data Reduction Methods: New Empirical Evidence,"
Departmental Working Papers
201119, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2009.
"Model selection criteria for factor-augmented regressions,"
Staff Reports
363, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Jana Eklund & Sune Karlsson, 2007.
"An Embarrassment of Riches: Forecasting Using Large Panels,"
Economics
wp34, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
- Nathan Bedock & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2012.
"An Empirical Study of Credit Shock Transmission in a Small Open Economy,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2012s-16, CIRANO.
- Bork, Lasse, 2009.
"Estimating US Monetary Policy Shocks Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression: An EM Algorithm Approach,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2009-03, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & James Stock & Mark Watson, 2005.
"A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series,"
Working Papers
285, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Eliana González, 2011.
"Forecasting With Many Predictors. An Empirical Comparison,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
007996, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
- Gary Koop, 2013.
"Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables,"
Working Papers
1303, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- repec:eca:wpaper:2009_004 is not listed on IDEAS
- andrés M. Alonso & Carolina Garcia-Martos & Julio Rodriguez & Maria Jesus Sanchez, 2008.
"Seasonal dynamic factor analysis and bootstrap inference : application to electricity market forecasting,"
Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers
ws081406, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría.
- Yannick Le Pen & Benoît Sévi, 2013.
"Futures Trading and the Excess Comovement of Commodity Prices,"
AMSE Working Papers
1301, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, Marseille, France, revised Jan 2013.
- Filippo Altissimo & Riccardo Cristadoro & Mario Forni & Marco Lippi & Giovanni Veronese, 2007.
"New Eurocoin: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
631, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Mario Forni & Filippo Altissimo & Riccardo Cristadoro & Marco Lippi & Giovanni Veronese., 2008.
"New Eurocoin: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time,"
Center for Economic Research (RECent)
020, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics.
- Altissimo, Filippo & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Forni, Mario & Lippi, Marco & Veronese, Giovanni, 2006.
"New EuroCOIN: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5633, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Herwartz, Helmut & Golosnoy, Vasyl, 2007.
"Semiparametric Approaches to the Prediction of Conditional Correlation Matrices in Finance,"
Economics Working Papers
2007,23, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- D''Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico, 2007.
"Comparing Alternative Predictors Based on Large-Panel Factor Models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6564, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jushan Bai & Chihwa Kao, 2005.
"On the Estimation and Inference of a Panel Cointegration Model with Cross-Sectional Dependence,"
Center for Policy Research Working Papers
75, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
- In Choi & Jorg Breitung, 2011.
"Factor models,"
Working Papers
1121, Research Institute for Market Economy, Sogang University, revised Dec 2011.
- Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2011.
"Identification of Slowdowns and Accelerations for the Euro Area Economy,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 73(3), pages 335-364, 06.
- Darné, Olivier & Ferrara, Laurent, 2009.
"Identification of slowdowns and accelerations for the euro area economy,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7376, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Darné, O. & Ferrara, L., 2009.
"Identification of slowdowns and accelerations for the euro area economy,"
Working papers
239, Banque de France.
- Francisco Craveiro Dias & Cláudia Duarte & António Rua, 2008.
"Inflation expectations in the euro area: Are consumers rational?,"
Working Papers
w200823, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- J. Beirlant & G. Claeskens & C. Croux & H. Degryse & H. Dewachter & G. Dhaene & J. Dhaene & I. Gijbels & M. Goovaerts & M. Hubert & F. Roodhooft & W. Schouten & M. Willekens, 2005.
"Managing Uncertainty: Financial, Actuarial and Statistical Modeling,"
Review of Business and Economics,
Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen, vol. 0(1), pages 23-48.
- Beirlant, Jan & Claeskens, Gerda & Croux, Christophe & Degryse, Hans & Dewachter, Hans & Dhaene, Geert & Dhaene, Jan & Gijbels, Irène & Goovaerts, Marc & Hubert, Mia & Roodhooft, Filip & Schoutens, W, 2005.
"Managing uncertainty:financial, actuarial and statistical modelling,"
Open Access publications from Katholieke Universiteit Leuven
urn:hdl:123456789/120754, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven.
- Guenter W. Beck & Kirstin Hubrich & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2011.
"On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting,"
Working Paper Series
1334, European Central Bank.
- Gilchrist, Simon & Yankov, Vladimir & Zakrajsek, Egon, 2009.
"Credit market shocks and economic fluctuations: Evidence from corporate bond and stock markets,"
Journal of Monetary Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 471-493, May.
- De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006.
"Forecasting using a large number of predictors: is Bayesian regression a valid alternative to principal components?,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2006,32, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
- Christine De Mol & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008.
"Forecasting using a large number of predictors: is Bayesian shrinkage a valid alternative to principal components?,"
ULB Institutional Repository
2013/6411, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2006.
"Forecasting Using a Large Number of Predictors: Is Bayesian Regression a Valid Alternative to Principal Components?,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5829, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christine De Mol & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2006.
"Forecasting using a large number of predictors - Is Bayesian regression a valid alternative to principal components?,"
Working Paper Series
700, European Central Bank.
- Jan Jacobs & Pieter Otter & Ard den Reijer, 2007.
"Information, data dimension and factor structure,"
DNB Working Papers
150, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Lada M. Kyj & Peter Malec, 2011.
"The Merit of High-Frequency Data in Portfolio Allocation,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
SFB649DP2011-059, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Andreas Beyer & Roger E. A. Farmer & Jér�me Henry & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008.
"Factor analysis in a model with rational expectations,"
Econometrics Journal,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(2), pages 271-286, 07.
- Miguel Jerez & José Casals & Sonia Sotoca, 2009.
"Likelihood stabilization for ill-conditioned vector GARCH models,"
Computational Statistics,
Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 15-35, February.
- Nii Ayi Armah & Norman Swanson, 2010.
"Seeing Inside the Black Box: Using Diffusion Index Methodology to Construct Factor Proxies in Large Scale Macroeconomic Time Series Environments,"
Econometric Reviews,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(5-6), pages 476-510.
- Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan, 2012.
"Leverage as a predictor for real activity and volatility,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,
Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1267-1283.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2011.
"Forecasting under Model Uncertainty,"
Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis
48723, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Stéphane Dées & Matthias Burgert, 2008.
"Forecasting world trade. Direct versus "bottom-up" approaches,"
Working Paper Series
882, European Central Bank.
- repec:eca:wpaper:2013/97304 is not listed on IDEAS
- Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2007.
"Modelling and Testing for Structural Changes in Panel Cointegration Models with Common and Idiosyncratic Stochastic Trend,"
Center for Policy Research Working Papers
92, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
- Wright, Jonathan H., 2008.
"Bayesian Model Averaging and exchange rate forecasts,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 329-341, October.
- Norman R. Swanson & Nii Ayi Armah, 2011.
"Some Variables are More Worthy Than Others: New Diffusion Index Evidence on the Monitoring of Key Economic Indicators,"
Departmental Working Papers
201115, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Mazzi, Gian Luigi & Mathieu, Catherine & Charpin, Françoise, 2008.
"Construction of coincident indicators for the euro area. 5th EUROSTAT Colloquium on Modern Tools For Business Cycle Analysis, Luxembourg, 29th September – 1st October 2008,"
Open Access publications from Sciences Po
info:hdl:2441/9802, Sciences Po.
- Raúl Ibarra-Ramírez, 2010.
"Forecasting Inflation in Mexico Using Factor Models: Do Disaggregated CPI Data Improve Forecast Accuracy?,"
Working Papers
2010-01, Banco de México.
- Pang, Iris Ai Jao, 2010.
"Forecasting Hong Kong economy using factor augmented vector autoregression,"
MPRA Paper
32495, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dagum, Estela Bee, 2010.
"Business Cycles and Current Economic Analysis/Los ciclos económicos y el análisis económico actual,"
Estudios de Economía Aplicada,
Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 28, pages 577-594, Diciembre.
- Eliana González, .
"Bayesian Model Averaging. An Application to Forecast Inflation in Colombia,"
Borradores de Economia
604, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Beyer, Andreas & Farmer, Roger E A & Henry, Jérôme & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2005.
"Factor Analysis in a New-Keynesian Model,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5266, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Proietti, Tommaso, 2010.
"Trend Estimation,"
MPRA Paper
21607, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Prasad S Bhattacharya & Dimitrios D Thomakos, 2011.
"Improving forecasting performance by window and model averaging,"
Economics Series
2011_1, Deakin University, Faculty of Business and Law, School of Accounting, Economics and Finance.
- Günter W. Beck & Kirstin Hubrich & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2006.
"Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US,"
Working Paper Series
681, European Central Bank.
- Marcus Kappler, 2011.
"Business Cycle Co-movement and Trade Intensity in the Euro Area: is there a Dynamic Link?,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik),
Justus-Liebig University Giessen, Department of Statistics and Economics, vol. 231(2), pages 247-265, April.
- Henzel, Steffen R. & Mayr, Johannes, 2013.
"The mechanics of VAR forecast pooling—A DSGE model based Monte Carlo study,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance,
Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 1-24.
- Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2008.
"Extremum Estimation when the Predictors are Estimated from Large Panels,"
Annals of Economics and Finance,
Society for AEF, vol. 9(2), pages 201-222, November.
- de Silva, Ashton J, 2010.
"Forecasting Australian Macroeconomic variables, evaluating innovations state space approaches,"
MPRA Paper
27411, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Rafal Weron, 2013.
"Forecasting of daily electricity spot prices by incorporating intra-day relationships: Evidence form the UK power market,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/13/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- Ivan Kitov, 2007.
"Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Counties,"
Mechonomics
mechonomics7, Socionet.
- Scott Brave & R. Andrew Butters, 2010.
"Gathering insights on the forest from the trees: a new metric for financial conditions,"
Working Paper Series
WP-2010-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Eliana González, .
"Forecasting With Many Predictors. An Empirical Comparison,"
Borradores de Economia
643, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Ard H.J. den Reijer, 2005.
"Forecasting Dutch GDP using Large Scale Factor Models,"
DNB Working Papers
028, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Nikolay Gospodinov & Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti, 2012.
"Robust inference in linear asset pricing models,"
Working Paper
2012-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2008.
"Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore,"
Economic Growth centre Working Paper Series
0802, Nanyang Technolgical University, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Economic Growth centre.
- Chen, Pu, 2010.
"A Grouped Factor Model,"
MPRA Paper
28083, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Jan 2011.
- Jan J.J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008.
"Revisiting Useful Approaches to Data-Rich Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
Working Papers
624, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008.
"Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise,"
Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series
1, Bank of Lithuania.
- Barhoumi, K. & Rünstler, G. & Cristadoro, R. & Den Reijer, A. & Jakaitiene, A. & Jelonek, P. & Rua, A. & Ruth, K. & Benk, S. & Van Nieuwenhuyze, C., 2008.
"Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise,"
Working papers
215, Banque de France.
- K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008.
"Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise,"
Working Paper Research
133, National Bank of Belgium.
- Karim Barhoumi & Szilard Benk & Riccardo Cristadoro & Ard Den Reijer & Audrone Jakaitiene & Piotr Jelonek & António Rua & Gerhard Rünstler & Karsten Ruth & Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008.
"Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets - a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise,"
Occasional Paper Series
84, European Central Bank.
- Ron Bird & Richard Gerlach, 2006.
"A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach to Enhance Value Investment,"
International Journal of Business and Economics,
College of Business, and College of Finance, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 5(2), pages 111-127, August.
- Kemal Bagzibagli, 2012.
"Monetary Transmission Mechanism and Time Variation in the Euro Area,"
Discussion Papers
12-12, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Francisco Craveiro Dias & Maximiano Pinheiro & António Rua, 2008.
"Determining the number of factors in approximate factor models with global and group-specific factors,"
Working Papers
w200809, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2008/17, European University Institute.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2008.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6706, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change,"
Working Papers
334, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
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"GDP Modelling with Factor Model: an Impact of Nested Data on Forecasting Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
30211, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jonathan H. Wright, 2009.
"Forecasting US inflation by Bayesian model averaging,"
Journal of Forecasting,
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"Understanding global liquidity,"
Discussion Papers
03/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
- Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul & Jyh-Lin Wu, 2012.
"Exchange Rates as Exchange Rate Common Factors,"
Working Papers
212012, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Yannick Le Pen & Benoît Sévi, 2013.
"Futures Trading and the Excess Comovement of Commodity Prices,"
Working Papers
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"Econometric analyses with backdated data - unified Germany and the euro area,"
Working Paper Series
752, European Central Bank.
- Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2006.
"A Stochastic Discount Factor Approach to Asset Pricing Using Panel Data,"
Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
628, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
- M. Hashem Pesaran & Andreas Pick & Allan Timmermann, 2009.
"Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
2543, CESifo Group Munich.
- Pesaran, M Hashem & Pick, Andreas & Timmermann, Allan G, 2009.
"Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7139, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Pesaran, M.H. & Pick, A. & Timmermann, A., 2009.
"Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0901, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach, 2009.
"Common fluctuations in OECD budget balances,"
Working Papers
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"Expected and unexpected bond excess returns: Macroeconomic and market microstructure effects,"
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Leibniz Universität Hannover
dp-493, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
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- Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2006.
"The Asymptotics for Panel Models with Common Shocks,"
Center for Policy Research Working Papers
77, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
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"Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts using a Large Realtime Dataset,"
NBER Working Papers
13397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"How Useful is Bagging in Forecasting Economic Time Series? A Case Study of US CPI Inflation,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5304, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2009.
"Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2009/31, European University Institute.
- Branimir, Jovanovic & Magdalena, Petrovska, 2010.
"Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting,"
MPRA Paper
43162, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Russell Smyth & Qingguo Zhai & Xiaoxu Li, 2009.
"Determinants of turnover intentions among Chinese off farm migrants,"
Economic Change and Restructuring,
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- Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009.
"Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States,"
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2009-13, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2009.
"Boosting diffusion indices,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
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- Eliana González, 2010.
"Bayesian Model Averaging. An Application to Forecast Inflation in Colombia,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
007015, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
- Eric Ghysels & Casidhe Horan & Emanuel Moench, 2012.
"Forecasting through the rear-view mirror: data revisions and bond return predictability,"
Staff Reports
581, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Lutz Kilian & Atsushi Inoue, 2004.
"Bagging Time Series Models,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings
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- Proietti, Tommaso, 2008.
"Estimation of Common Factors under Cross-Sectional and Temporal Aggregation Constraints: Nowcasting Monthly GDP and its Main Components,"
MPRA Paper
6860, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Norman R. Swanson & Nii Ayi Armah, 2011.
"Diffusion Index Models and Index Proxies: Recent Results and New Directions,"
Departmental Working Papers
201114, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Rachida Ouysse, 2011.
"Comparison of Bayesian moving Average and Principal Component Forecast for Large Dimensional Factor Models,"
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"Forecasting Aggregate Productivity using Information from Firm-Level Data,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
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- Wei-Choun Yu, 2008.
"Macroeconomic and financial market volatilities: an empirical evidence of factor model,"
Economics Bulletin,
AccessEcon, vol. 3(33), pages 1-18.
- Chevallier, Julien, 2010.
"Volatility forecasting of carbon prices using factor models,"
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"Efficient Estimation of Nonstationary Factor Models,"
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"Bayesian Model Averaging. An Application to Forecast Inflation in Colombia,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
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"Revisiting the excess co-movements of commodity prices in a data-rich environment,"
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urn:hdl:123456789/6800, Université Paris-Dauphine.
- Salvador Barrios & Per Iversen & Magdalena Lewandowska & Ralph Setzer, 2009.
"Determinants of intra-euro area government bond spreads during the financial crisis,"
European Economy - Economic Papers
388, Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012.
"Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models,"
MPRA Paper
36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman, 2008.
"Likelihood-based Analysis for Dynamic Factor Models,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
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"Bayesian Model Averaging. An Application to Forecast Inflation in Colombia,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
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"Financial liberalization, financial sector development and growth: Evidence from Malaysia,"
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"Principal Components and Factor Analysis. A Comparative Study,"
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"Improving forecasting performance by window and model averaging,"
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- Guenter Beck & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2006.
"Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area and a Comparison with the US,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
338, Society for Computational Economics.
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"Disclosure Risk from Interactions and Saturated Models in Remote Access,"
IAW Discussion Papers
73, Institut für Angewandte Wirtschaftsforschung (IAW).
- Song Song & Wolfgang K. Härdle & Ya'acov Ritov, 2010.
"High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series Modelling with Generalized Dynamic Semiparametric Factor Model,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
SFB649DP2010-039, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Edda Claus & Iris Claus, 2007.
"Six Leading Indexes Of New Zealand Employment,"
CAMA Working Papers
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- Christian Gayer & Julien Genet, 2006.
"Using factor models to construct composite indicators from BCS data - a comparison with European Commission confidence indicators,"
European Economy - Economic Papers
240, Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Forni, Mario & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2003.
"Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models versus Structural VARs,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4133, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"Estimating High Dimensional Covariance Matrices and its Applications,"
Annals of Economics and Finance,
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- Bettina Becker & Stephen G. Hall, 2007.
"A New Look at Economic Convergence in Europe: A Common Factor Approach,"
Discussion Paper Series
2007_09, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Feb 2007.
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- Konstantins Benkovskis & Andrejs Bessonovs & Martin Feldkircher & Julia Wörz, 2011.
"The Transmission of Euro Area Monetary Shocks to the Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary: Evidence from a FAVAR Model,"
Focus on European Economic Integration,
Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 8-36.
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"Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2009,05, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
- Laurent Maurin & Matthieu Darracq Pariès, 2008.
"The role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro area manufacturing production. Perspective from Large Panel factor models,"
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894, European Central Bank.
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"Nonlinear Time Series in Financial Forecasting,"
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200803, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2008.
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"The Resolution of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Survey Forecast,"
CREATES Research Papers
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"Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary: Results from a Large Bayesian VAR,"
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"Estimating pure inflation in the Polish economy,"
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37, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
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"Forecasting monthly industrial production in real-time: from single equations to factor-based models,"
Empirical Economics,
Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 303-336, October.
- Pedro Cerqueira, 2011.
"How Pervasive is the World Business Cycle?,"
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"Ciclos E Previsão Cíclica: Um Modelo De Indicadores Antecedentes Para A Economia Brasileira,"
Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting]
13, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].