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Vergleich langfristiger Bevölkerungsvorausberechnungen für Deutschland

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  • Buslei, Hermann

Abstract

In dieser Arbeit werden die Annahmen, deren Begründungen und die Ergebnisse von vier langfristigen Bevölkerungsvorausberechnungen für Deutschland (BIRG/FLÖTHMANN, BÖRSCH-SUPAN, Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Statistisches Bundesamt) vergleichend gegenübergestellt. Der Vergleich der Ergebnisse beschränkt sich auf den Vergleich der vorausberechneten Gesamtbevölkerung und des Verhältnisses der über 60jährigen und älteren zu den 20- bis 59jährigen.

Suggested Citation

  • Buslei, Hermann, 1995. "Vergleich langfristiger Bevölkerungsvorausberechnungen für Deutschland," ZEW Dokumentationen 95-01, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdok:9501
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zimmermann, Klaus F, 1991. "Ageing and the Labor Market: Age Structure, Cohort Size and Unemployment," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 4(3), pages 177-200, August.
    2. Dudey, Stefan, 1993. "Die langfristige Entwicklung der Rentenversicherung," Wirtschaftsdienst – Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik (1949 - 2007), ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 73(7), pages 363-368.
    3. Verbon, Harrie, 1993. "Public Pensions: The Role of Public Choice and Expectations," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 6(2), pages 123-135, May.
    4. Thon, Manfred, 1991. "Perspektiven des Erwerbspersonenpotentials in Gesamtdeutschland bis zum Jahre 2030," Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 24(4), pages 706-712.
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    1. Stiller, Silvia, 1998. "Konsumeffekte demographischer Veranderungen - Eine Simulationsanalyse fur die Bundesrepublik Deutschland," Discussion Paper Series 26143, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
    2. Stiller, Silvia, 1998. "Konsumeffekte demographischer Veränderungen - Eine Simulationsanalyse für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland," HWWA Discussion Papers 69, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).

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