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The performance of German firms in the business-related service sectors : a dynamic analysis

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Author Info
Phu, Nguyen van
Kaiser, Ulrich
Laisney, Francois

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Abstract

We analyze the performance of firms in the German business-related services sector. A quarterly business survey provides the panel data base of our study. Firm performance is measured by the survey respondents’ ordinal indication of their changes in total sales. We use a firstorder Markov chain and a multinomial logit specification to model the transition probabilitites. Three variants of the model are estimated: a linear index model with and without unobserved firm heterogeneity and a semiparametric model. Main results are that firm size has a positive effect on firm performance, that young firms outperform older competitors, that a bank-relationship with a single creditor has a stabilizing effect and that the degree of diversification has a negative impact on firm performance. The legal status appears to have no significant effect.

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Paper provided by ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research in its series ZEW Discussion Papers with number 00-32.

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Date of creation: 2000
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:5315

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Keywords: Markov chain service sector business survey firm performance multinomial logit model generalized additive model

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods
C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data
L89 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Other

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