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The performance of German firms in the business-related service sectors : a dynamic analysis

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  • van Phu, Nguyen
  • Kaiser, Ulrich
  • Laisney, François

Abstract

We analyze the performance of firms in the German business-related services sector. A quarterly business survey provides the panel data base of our study. Firm performance is measured by the survey respondents? ordinal indication of their changes in total sales. We use a firstorder Markov chain and a multinomial logit specification to model the transition probabilitites. Three variants of the model are estimated: a linear index model with and without unobserved firm heterogeneity and a semiparametric model. Main results are that firm size has a positive effect on firm performance, that young firms outperform older competitors, that a bank-relationship with a single creditor has a stabilizing effect and that the degree of diversification has a negative impact on firm performance. The legal status appears to have no significant effect. --

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research in its series ZEW Discussion Papers with number 00-32.

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Date of creation: 2000
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:5315

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Related research

Keywords: Markov chain; service sector; business survey; firm performance; multinomial logit model; generalized additive model;

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