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250 Analysten, 1 Portfolio? Eine ökonometrische Analyse von Empfehlungen zur Gestaltung eines Vermögensportfolios zur Altersvorsorge

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  • Dornau, Robert
  • Szczesny, Andrea
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    Abstract

    Im Oktober 1998 befragte das ZEW rund 250 Finanzexperten aus Banken, Versicherungen, Kapitalanlagegesellschaften und großen Industrieunternehmen nach ihren Empfehlungen zur Gestaltung eines Vermögensportfolios zur Altersvorsorge. Dieses Papier untersucht in einem ersten Schritt, ob in Abhängigkeit der Branchenzugehörigkeit des befragten Experten signifikante Unterschiede in der Struktur seiner Anlageempfehlungen bestehen. Die Unterschiede äußern sich vor allem in der Aufteilung der Anlagen auf europäische Aktien und deutsche Immobilien. Während z.B. Teilnehmer aus Versicherungen und der Industrie mit einem höheren Renten- bzw. Immobilienanteil eher zu den vorsichtigen Anlageberatern gehören, weisen Banken und vor allem Kapitalanlagegesellschaften einen höheren Aktienanteil auf. Das Musterportfolio aus allen Empfehlungen kann somit in unterschiedliche für bestimmte Expertengruppen spezifische Portfolioempfehlungen aufgeteilt werden. -- This study analyzes portfolio recommendations of financial experts, finding significant differences in portfoliostructure depending on the experts' institutional background. The recommendations stem from a survey of 250 financial experts from banks, insurance companies, investment funds and industrial enterprises. The respondents were asked to construct a portfolio of retirement savings using the following assets: European and foreign stocks and bonds, real estate and money market funds. The main differences in asset allocation are found for the shares of European stocks and real estate. Five portfolios constructed from the recommendations are compared using different performance and risk measures.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research in its series ZEW Discussion Papers with number 99-17.

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    Date of creation: 1999
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    Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:5234

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    Keywords: Querschnittsanalyse; Portfolio-Analyse;

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