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Bayesian estimation of Cox model with non-nested random effects : an application to the ratification of ILO conventions by developing countries

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Author Info
Horney, Guillaume
Boockmann, Bernhard
Djurdjevic, Dragana
Laisney, Francois

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Abstract

We use a multivariate hazard model for the analysis of data on the timing of ratifications of different conventions. The model accounts for two random effects, one at the country level and the other at the convention level. We use a semi-parametric Bayesian approach, based on the partial likelihood. Our findings confirm the results of preceding studies that ratification behaviour varies substantially across members states and conventions. Furthermore, the results yield insights on the impact of unobserved heterogeneity on the ratification process. --

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research in its series ZEW Discussion Papers with number 05-23.

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Date of creation: 2005
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:3180

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Related research
Keywords: gibbs sampling; partial likelihood; frailties; duration analysis;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D78 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Positive Analysis of Policy-Making and Implementation
C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis
O19 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
J80 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor Standards - - - General
C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods
C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Bayesian Analysis

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  1. Bolstad W. M & Manda S. O, 2001. "Investigating Child Mortality in Malawi Using Family and Community Random Effects: A Bayesian Analysis," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 12-19, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Honore, Bo E, 1993. "Identification Results for Duration Models with Multiple Spells," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 60(1), pages 241-46, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Ridder, Geert & Tunali, Insan, 1999. "Stratified partial likelihood estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 193-232, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Guillaume Horny., 2009. "Inference in Mixed Proportional Hazard Models with K Random Effects," Documents de Travail 248, Banque de France. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Van den Berg, Gerard J., 2001. "Duration models: specification, identification and multiple durations," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 55, pages 3381-3460 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Bernhard Boockmann, 2001. "The ratification of ILO conventions: A hazard rate analysis," Economics and Politics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 13(3), pages 281-309, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. מחקר - ביטוח לאומי, 1996. "Volume 4," Working Papers 65, National Insurance Institute of Israel. [Downloadable!]
  8. Elbers, Chris & Ridder, Geert, 1982. "True and Spurious Duration Dependence: The Identifiability of the Proportional Hazard Model," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(3), pages 403-09, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Lancaster, Tony, 1979. "Econometric Methods for the Duration of Unemployment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(4), pages 939-56, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Carine Milcent, 2003. "Ownership, System of reimbursement and Mortality rate relationships," DELTA Working Papers 2003-18, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure). [Downloadable!]
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