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A Bayesian approach to determine the impact of institutions on the unemployment rate

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  • Sachs, Andreas

Abstract

Labor and product market regulations affect the unemployment rate of a country without doubt. Econometricians, however, have yet to establish an unequivocal significance of this impact. Model mis-specification, one of the main underlying problems, is overcome by adopting a Bayesian Model Averaging approach. I apply this method to a panel data set that covers 17 OECD countries for the time period from 1982 to 2005 and for up to 20 potential explanatory variables. 8 institutional indicators are identified as significant determinants of unemployment. Endogeneity due to reverse causality is also considered by applying an instrumental variable estimation approach. --

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Paper provided by ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research in its series ZEW Discussion Papers with number 10-058.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:10058

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Keywords: unemployment; institutions; labor and product markets; model averaging;

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Cited by:
  1. Friedrich Schneider & Stefan Haigner & Stefan Jenewein & Florian Wakolbinger, 2014. "Institutions of conflict management and economic growth revisited: a short note," Empirica, Springer, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 577-587, August.
  2. Sachs, Andreas, 2011. "Institutions and unemployment: Do interactions matter?," ZEW Discussion Papers 11-057, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.

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