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The long-run effect of foreign direct investment on total factor productivity in developing countries: A panel cointegration analysis

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  • Herzer, Dierk

Abstract

This paper examines the long-run effect of the level of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the level of total factor productivity (TFP) for 70 developing countries for the period 1981-2011 using panel cointegration techniques. It is found that (i) FDI has, on average, a negative long-run effect on TFP in developing countries; (ii) causality runs in only one direction, from FDI to TFP, and (iii) the long-run effect of FDI of TFP differs between selected groups of countries: while the estimated long-run FDI-TFP coefficients are significantly negative for subsamples of countries with lower levels of human capital, financial development, and trade openness, the coefficients are insignificant or significantly positive for subgroups of countries with higher levels of human capital, financial development, and trade openness.

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  • Herzer, Dierk, 2015. "The long-run effect of foreign direct investment on total factor productivity in developing countries: A panel cointegration analysis," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112827, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:vfsc15:112827
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    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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