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Die Krise in Südeuropa oder die Angst vor dem Dominoeffekt: Griechenland, Portugal und Spanien im Krisentest

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  • Schrader, Klaus
  • Laaser, Claus-Friedrich
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    Abstract

    Konkret wird in der nachfolgenden Analyse versucht, die tatsächliche wirtschaftliche Situation in den drei Ländern transparent zu machen und das wirtschaftliche Potenzial zur Krisenbewältigung einzuschätzen. Mit einem Vergleich der realwirtschaftlichen Rahmenbedingungen soll geklärt werden, wie gerechtfertigt es ist, diese Länder in einen Topf zu werfen und Dominoeffekte zu unterstellen. In Abschnitt 2 werden die bisherigen Entwicklungslinien Griechenlands, Portugals und Spanien bis zum aktuellen Rand nachgezeichnet sowie Problemfelder identifiziert. In Abschnitt 3 werden ausführlich Ursachen und Ausmaß der außenwirtschaftlichen Schieflage der drei Länder analysiert und ihre internationale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit auf den Prüfstand gestellt. In Abschnitt 4 wird abschließend resümiert, wie ernst die Krise in den einzelnen Ländern einzuschätzen ist. Es wird diskutiert, welche wirtschaftspolitischen Reformen für eine Gesundung der drei Volkswirtschaften geeignet erscheinen. --

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) in its series Kiel Discussion Papers with number 500/501.

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    Date of creation: 2012
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    Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkdp:500-501

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    1. International Monetary Fund, 2011. "Greece," IMF Staff Country Reports 11/175, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Laaser, Claus-Friedrich, 1997. "Ordnungspolitik und Strukturwandel im Integrationsprozeß : das Beispiel Griechenlands, Portugals und Spaniens," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 978, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    3. Schrader, Klaus & Laaser, Claus-Friedrich, 2009. "Globalisierung in der Wirtschaftskrise: wie sicher sind die Jobs in Deutschland?," Kiel Discussion Papers 465, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    4. Donges, Juergen Bernhard & Krieger-Boden, Christiane & Langhammer, Rolf J. & Schatz, Klaus-Werner & Thoroe, Carsten S., 1982. "The second enlargement of the European Community : adjustment requirements and challenges for policy reform," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 441, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    5. Jens Boysen-Hogrefe & Dominik Groll, 2010. "The German Labour Market Miracle," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 214(1), pages R38-R50, October.
    6. Jerome L. Stein, 2011. "The Diversity of Debt Crises in Europe," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 31(2), pages 199-215, Spring/Su.
    7. Klodt, Henning, 1987. "Wettlauf um die Zukunft : Technologiepolitik im internationalen Vergleich," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 372, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    8. International Monetary Fund, 2010. "Greece," IMF Staff Country Reports 10/110, International Monetary Fund.
    9. International Monetary Fund, 2010. "Greece," IMF Staff Country Reports 10/111, International Monetary Fund.
    10. International Monetary Fund, 2011. "Portugal," IMF Staff Country Reports 11/127, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Heitger, Bernhard & Schrader, Klaus & Bode, Eckhardt, 1992. "Die mittel- und osteuropäischen Länder als Unternehmensstandort," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 760, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    12. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Groll, Dominik, 2010. "Weltkonjunktur im Frühjahr 2011," Kiel Discussion Papers 488/489, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
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