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Der Faktor Zufall im Fußball: Eine empirische Untersuchung für die Saison 2007/08

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  • Quitzau, Jörn
  • Vöpel, Henning
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    Abstract

    Der Zufall kann im Sport durch Fehlentscheidungen der Schiedsrichter, Verletzungen oder abgefälschte Torschüsse eine große Rolle spielen. In der Bundesliga betrug der Einfluss des Zufalls auf den Spielausgang in der Saison 2007/08 im Durchschnitt über 50 Prozent. Wer um die Meisterschaft und wer gegen den Abstieg spielt, ist daher auch eine Frage von Glück und Pech. --

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI) in its series HWWI Research Papers with number 1-22.

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    Date of creation: 2009
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    Handle: RePEc:zbw:hwwirp:1-22

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    4. Vöpel, Henning, 2006. "Ein ZIDANE-Clustering-Theorem und Implikationen für den Finanzausgleich in der Bundesliga," HWWI Research Papers 1-3, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
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    10. Quitzau, Jörn, 2005. "Faktor Zufall als Spielverderber: zur Prognostizierbarkeit von Fußballergebnissen – Wettmärkte als effizienter Informationslieferant," Research Notes 18, Deutsche Bank Research.
    11. Figlewski, Stephen, 1979. "Subjective Information and Market Efficiency in a Betting Market," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(1), pages 75-88, February.
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    15. Golec, Joseph & Tamarkin, Maurry, 1991. "The degree of inefficiency in the football betting market : Statistical tests," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 311-323, December.
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