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Ehrbarer Staat? Die Generationenbilanz - Update 2008: Migration und Nachhaltigkeit


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  • Hagist, Christian
  • Moog, Stefan
  • Raffelhüschen, Bernd
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    Um die fiskalische Nachhaltigkeit der Politik bzw. einzelner Reformmaßnahmen zu messen, hat die Wirtschaftswissenschaft in den letzten Jahren mehrere Instrumente eingeführt. Hierzu zählt auch die Generationenbilanz, die Anfang der 1990er-Jahre in den USA entwickelt wurde. Der vorliegende Beitrag präsentiert die Ergebnisse der Generationenbilanzierung des Basisjahres 2006. Dabei stehen auf Grundlage isolierter Analysen primär die sozialen Sicherungssysteme als Ursache für die langfristige Schieflage der deutschen Fiskalpolitik im Vordergrund. Zudem wird anhand aktueller Daten der Beitrag der Zuwanderung für die Nachhaltigkeit der deutschen Fiskalpolitik untersucht. --

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    Paper provided by Research Center for Generational Contracts (FZG), University of Freiburg in its series FZG Discussion Papers with number 30.

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    Date of creation: 2008
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    Handle: RePEc:zbw:fzgdps:30

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    1. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1991. "Generational Accounts: A Meaningful Alternative to Deficit Accounting," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 5, pages 55-110 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Bonin, Holger, 2001. "Fiskalische Effekte der Zuwanderung nach Deutschland - Eine Generationenbilanz," IZA Discussion Papers 305, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
    3. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1992. "Social security and Medicare policy from the perspective of generational accounting," Working Paper 9206, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    4. Holger Bonin & Bernd Raffelhüschen & Jan Walliser, . "Can Immigration Alleviate the Demographic Burden?," EPRU Working Paper Series 99-17, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    5. Hagist, Christian & Heidler, Matthias & Raffelhüschen, Bernd & Schoder, Jörg, 2007. "Die Generationenbilanz - Brandmelder der Zukunft, Update 2007: Demografie trifft Konjunktur," FZG Discussion Papers 17, Research Center for Generational Contracts (FZG), University of Freiburg.
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