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Investitionen: Warum wir sie brauchen und wie wir sie kriegen
[Blessed is he who expects nothing? The role of expectations for investment]

Author

Listed:
  • Christl, Michael
  • Köppl-Turyna, Monika
  • Lorenz, Hanno

Abstract

Dieser Beitrag untersucht den Zusammenhang zwischen Investitionswachstum, Zinsen und Erwartungen für Österreich. Basierend auf einem Panel von 73 Wirtschaftssektoren zeigt sich, dass Zinsänderungen nur dann einen positiven Einfluss auf Investitionswachstum haben, wenn die Erwartungen stark zurückgehen. Sind die Erwartungen konstant (gut oder schlecht), so haben Zinsen jedoch kaum einen Einfluss. Ebenso zeigt sich, dass stark steigende Erwartungen einen positiven Effekt auf das Investitionswachstum aufweisen. Außerdem geht ein Anstieg der Produktionsbesteuerung sowie stärkere Kapitalmarktregulierung mit einem negativen Investitionswachstum einher.

Suggested Citation

  • Christl, Michael & Köppl-Turyna, Monika & Lorenz, Hanno, 2016. "Investitionen: Warum wir sie brauchen und wie wir sie kriegen [Blessed is he who expects nothing? The role of expectations for investment]," EconStor Preprints 145294, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:145294
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/145294/1/Investitionen_Endversion.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Mayerhofer, 2016. "Unternehmensinvestitionen in den österreichischen Bundesländern. Entwicklung – Struktur – Funktion regionaler Förderung," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58936, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    investment; interest rate; expectations; Austria;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • H32 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Firm

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