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Monitoring banking sector risks: An applied approach

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  • Weistroffer, Christian
  • Vallés, Veronica

Abstract

Despite abundant empirical evidence on the merits and limits of early-warning systems for banking crises the day-to-day use of such systems seems to be limited. Reluctance to use such systems may partly be explained by the difficulties to operationalise the proposed models, which are often demanding in terms of data requirements and/ or methodologies. We try to overcome these difficulties and show how an early-warning system can be implemented in practice. Drawing on existing empirical work, we develop a model that provides timely and readily digestible information on macroeconomic developments, e.g. booming credit volumes, excessively rising asset prices or exchange rates, which in the past typically preceded banking crises. Our model is tailored to meet the professional needs of an internationally operating private sector financial institution and can be applied across a wide range of industrial countries and emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Weistroffer, Christian & Vallés, Veronica, 2008. "Monitoring banking sector risks: An applied approach," Research Notes 29, Deutsche Bank Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:dbrrns:29
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Graciela L. Kaminsky, 1999. "The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(3), pages 473-500, June.
    2. George Soros, 1999. "The International Financial Crisis," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 58-76, March.
    3. Hutchison, Michael & McDill, Kathleen, 1999. "Are All Banking Crises Alike? The Japanese Experience in International Comparison," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 155-180, September.
    4. Mark Illing & Ying Liu, 2003. "An Index of Financial Stress for Canada," Staff Working Papers 03-14, Bank of Canada.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Lawson, Aidan, 2021. "United Kingdom Asset Resolution Limited (UKAR)," Journal of Financial Crises, Yale Program on Financial Stability (YPFS), vol. 3(2), pages 641-664, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    banking crisis; early-warning system; credit risk management;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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