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Contagion at the interbank market with stochastic LGD

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  • Memmel, Christoph
  • Sachs, Angelika
  • Stein, Ingrid

Abstract

This paper investigates contagion at the German interbank market under the assumption of a stochastic loss given default (LGD). We combine a unique data set about the LGD of interbank loans with data about interbank exposures. We find that the frequency distribution of the LGD is u-shaped. Under the assumption of a stochastic LGD, simulation results show a more fragile banking system than under the assumption of a constant LGD. There are three types of banks concerning their tendency to trigger contagion: banks with strongly varying impact, banks whose impact is relatively constant, and banks with no direct impact. --

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre in its series Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies with number 2011,06.

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Date of creation: 2011
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdp2:201106

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Keywords: interbank market; contagion; stochastic LGD;

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References

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  1. Jorge A. Chan-Lau, 2010. "Balance Sheet Network Analysis of too-Connected-To-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems," IMF Working Papers 10/107, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Juan Sole & Marco A Espinosa-Vega, 2010. "Cross-Border Financial Surveillance," IMF Working Papers 10/105, International Monetary Fund.
  3. Lelyveld, Iman van & Liedorp, Franka, 2004. "Interbank Contagion in the Dutch Banking Sector," MPRA Paper 651, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Jul 2005.
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Cited by:
  1. Nicolas Arregui & Mohamed Norat & Antonio Pancorbo & Jodi G. Scarlata & Eija Holttinen & Fabiana Melo & Jay Surti & Christopher Wilson & Rodolfo Wehrhahn & Mamoru Yanase, 2013. "Addressing Interconnectedness," IMF Working Papers 13/199, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Memmel, Christoph & Sachs, Angelika, 2011. "Contagion in the interbank market and its determinants," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2011,17, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
  3. Alesia Kalbaska, 2013. "From Sovereigns to Banks: Evidence on Cross-border Contagion (2006-2011)," Department of Economics University of Siena 680, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
  4. Bosma, Jakob & Koetter, Michael & Wedow, Michael, 2012. "Credit risk connectivity in the financial industry and stabilization effects of government bailouts," Discussion Papers 16/2012, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.

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