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Seasonality in house prices

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  • Kajuth, Florian
  • Schmidt, Tobias

Abstract

The contribution of this paper is to offer a rationale for the observed seasonal pattern in house prices. We first document seasonality in house prices for the US and the UK using formal statistical tests and illustrate its quantitative importance. In the second part of the paper we employ a standard model of dynamic optimisation with housing demand and seasonal shocks in non-durables in order to characterise seasonality in house prices as an equilibrium outcome. We provide empirical evidence for seasonality in house prices with our small model using US and UK data.

Suggested Citation

  • Kajuth, Florian & Schmidt, Tobias, 2011. "Seasonality in house prices," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,08, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:201108
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/45488/1/657435813.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Remus Dorel ROȘCA & Sebastian ȘIPOȘ-GUG, 2021. "Demographic And Economic Factors Influencing The Real-Estate Market In Romania," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 30(2), pages 319-328, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    house prices; seasonality; optimal housing consumption;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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