Ivo Welch () (Yale University, International Center for Finance) Antonio Bernardo () (University of California, Los Angeles, Anderson School of Management, Finance Area)
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We model a run on a financial market, in which each risk-neutral investor fears having to liquidate shares after a run, but before prices can recover back to fundamental values. To avoid having to possibly liquidate shares at the marginal post-run price - in which case the risk-averse market-making sector will already hold a lot of share inventory and thus be more reluctant to absorb additional shares - each investor may prefer selling today at the average in-run price, thereby causing the run itself. Liquidity runs and crises are not caused by liquidity shocks per se, but by the fear of future liquidity shocks.
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Markus K. Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2004.
"Predatory Trading,"
NBER Working Papers
10755, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Markus K Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pederson, 2003.
"Predatory Trading,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp441, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Brunnermeier, Markus K & Pedersen, Lasse Heje, 2004.
"Predatory Trading,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4639, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Markus K. Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2005.
"Predatory Trading,"
Journal of Finance,
American Finance Association, vol. 60(4), pages 1825-1863, 08.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)