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Assessing the Impact of Real Shocks on Small Dollarized Economies

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Author Info
René Cabral-Torres
Abstract

This paper compares the impact of real shocks on small open economies operating under two opposite corner solutions: flexible exchange rates and official dollarization. Using an asymmetric two-country model of policy coordination, we show that although a pegged regime like dollarization is an effective device to achieve price stability, small open economies might be better off under a flexible exchange rate regime than under dollarization following any symmetric or asymmetric real shock. We also consider the claim that many small economies have only a limited ability to use their own monetary policy effectively and contrast the dollarization regime with one in which a small open economy follows "fear of floating" practices. In this case, we observe that unless its size is trivial, maintaining monetary policy sovereignty--even if it is not fully exploited--allows the domestic economy to experience lower losses from stabilization in the face of symmetric shocks. Only when an economy is negligibly small, are the costs of stabilization following "fear of floating" practices the same as those under dollarization.

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Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of York in its series Discussion Papers with number 05/27.

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Handle: RePEc:yor:yorken:05/27

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Keywords: Credibility problems; dollarization; fear of floating; real shocks;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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  1. Guillermo A. Calvo & Carmen M. Reinhart, 2002. "Fear Of Floating," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 117(2), pages 379-408, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Martin, Philippe, 1995. "Free-riding, convergence and two-speed monetary unification in Europe," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 1345-1364, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Roberto Chang, 2000. "Dollarization: a scorecard," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Q3, pages 1-12. [Downloadable!]
  4. Canzoneri, Matthew B & Gray, Jo Anna, 1985. "Monetary Policy Games and the Consequences of Non-cooperative Behavior," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 26(3), pages 547-64, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Ghironi, Fabio & Giavazzi, Francesco, 1998. "Currency areas, international monetary regimes, and the employment-inflation tradeoff," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 259-296, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Martin, Philippe, 1998. "The Exchange Rate Policy of the Euro: A Matter of Size?," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 455-482, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Eichengreen, Barry, 2001. "What problems can dollarization solve?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 267-277, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Alberto Alesina & Robert J. Barro, 2001. "Dollarization," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 381-385, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Guillermo A. Calvo, 2002. "On dollarization," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 10(2), pages 393-403, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Matthew B. Canzoneri & Dale W. Henderson, 1991. "Monetary Policy in Interdependent Economies: A Game-Theoretic Approach," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262031787, December.
  11. Barry Eichengreen & Fabio Ghironi, 2002. "Transatlantic Trade-Offs in the Age of Balanced Budgets and European Monetary Union," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 381-411, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Dennis W. Jansen & Ming-Jang Weng, 1999. "A K% Money Growth Leadership Rule In An International Monetary Policy Game," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 17(4), pages 506-516, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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