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Küreselleşme ve Enflasyon: Küresel Çıktı Açığı Hipotezi-Türkiye Örneği

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Author Info

  • Ercan Eren

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Yildiz Technical University)

  • Serkan Çiçek

Abstract

The aim of paper to search whether there is a change in relationship between inflation rate and domestic economic activity in Turkey and to test whether an increase in the level of globalization has an impact on this changing. The findings point out that the slope of Phillips Curve has declined in Turkey. The effect of globalization that is foreseen the reason of flattening, is tested by global output gap hypothesis. The results show that globalization has an impact on domestic inflation rate -especially on traded goods inflation rate. özet Çalışmanın amacı Türkiye’de enflasyon oranı ile yurtiçi ekonomik aktivite arasındaki ilişkinin seyri noktasında bir değişimin olup olmadığını araştırmak ve küreselleşme düzeyinde yaşanan artışın bu değişim üzerinde etkili olup olmadığını sınamaktır. Elde edilen bulgular Türkiye’de Phillips eğrisinin eğiminin azaldığına işaret etmektedir. Azalışın nedeni olarak öngörülen küreselleşmenin etkisi, küresel çıktı açığı hipotezi çerçevesinde sınanmıştır. Tahmin sonuçları küreselleşmenin Türkiye’deki enflasyon oranı üzerinde –özellikle ticarete konu olan malların enflasyon oranı üzerinde– etkili olduğunu göstermiştir.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0014.

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Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: 2009
Date of revision: 2009
Handle: RePEc:yil:wpaper:0014

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Keywords: Central Banks; Monetary Policy; Globalization; Inflation;

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