Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Economic development and changes in car ownership patterns

Contents:

Author Info

  • Anna Matas

    ()
    (Grup d'Anàlisi Econòmica Aplicada (GEAP), Departament d'Economia Aplicada, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)

  • Josep Lluís Raymond

    ()
    (Grup d'Anàlisi Econòmica Aplicada (GEAP), Departament d'Economia i Història Econòmica, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)

Registered author(s):

    Abstract

    The contributions of this paper are twofold: On the one hand, the paper analyses the factors determining the growth in car ownership in Spain over the last two decades, and, on the other, the paper provides empirical evidence for a controversial methodological issue. From a methodological point of view, the paper compares the two alternative decision mechanisms used for modelling car ownership: ordered-response versus unordered-response mechanisms. A discrete choice model is estimated at three points in time: 1980, 1990 and 2000. The study concludes that on the basis of forecasting performance, the multinomial logit model and the ordered probit model are almost undistinguishable. As for the empirical results, it can be emphasised that income elasticity is not constant and declines as car ownership increases. Besides, households living in rural areas are less sensitive than those living in urban areas. Car ownership is also sensitive to the quality of public transport for those living in the largest cities. The results also confirmed the existence of a generation effect, which will vanish around the year 2020, a weak life-cycle effect, and a positive effect of employment on the number of cars per household. Finally, the change in the estimated coefficients over time reflects an increase in mobility needs and, consequently, an increase in car ownership.

    Download Info

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
    File URL: http://www.pcb.ub.es/xreap/aplicacio/fitxers/CREAP2006-01.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2006
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.pcb.ub.es/xreap/aplicacio/fitxers/CREAP2006-01.pdf
    File Function: Revised version, 2006
    Download Restriction: no

    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Xarxa de Referència en Economia Aplicada (XREAP) in its series Working Papers with number CREAP2006-01.

    as in new window
    Length: 34 pages
    Date of creation: Jun 2006
    Date of revision: Jun 2006
    Handle: RePEc:xrp:wpaper:creap2006-01

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: Espai de Recerca en Economia, Facultat de Ciències Econòmiques i Empresarials, Universitat de Barcelona, c/ Tinent Coronel Valenzuela, 1-11, 08034 Barcelona
    Phone: +34+934039653
    Email:
    Web page: http://www.pcb.ub.edu/xreap
    More information through EDIRC

    Related research

    Keywords: Car ownership; ordered probit model; multinomial logit model.;

    References

    No references listed on IDEAS
    You can help add them by filling out this form.

    Citations

    Lists

    This item is featured on the following reading lists or Wikipedia pages:
    1. Studies on the automobile industry

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:xrp:wpaper:creap2006-01. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: () The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask to update the entry or send us the correct address.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.