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Seasonality, Cointegration, and the Forecasting of Energy Demand

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Author Info
Clements, M.P.
Madlener, R.

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Abstract

Much of the short-run movement in energy demand in the UK appears to be seasonal, and the contribution of long-run factors to short-run forecasts is slight. Nevertheless, using a variety of techniques, including a recently developed test that is applicable irrespective of the orders of integration of the data, we obtain a long-run income elasticity of demand of about one third, and we are unable to reject a zero price elasticity.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Warwick, Department of Economics in its series The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) with number 484.

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Length: 34 pages
Date of creation: 1997
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wrk:warwec:484

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Related research
Keywords: COINTEGRATION ; ENERGY ; SEASONAL FLUCTUATIONS;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing
Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-10.

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