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Exchange Rate Bands And Realignments In A Stationary Stochastic Setting

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Author Info

  • MILLER, M.
  • WELLER, P.

Abstract

The extent which exchange rate management can coexist with an independent monetary policy is examined in the context of a model with exchange rate bands. Using a Dornbusch model in which stochastic shocks are added to the Phillips curve, we analyze the implications of assuming that the monetary authorities follow certain simple rules for realigning the band when fundamentals have drifted too far from equilibrium. Assuming that information about whether the bands is to be defended or there is to be a realignment is revealed at the point when the exchange rate hits the edge of the band, we show how the path of the exchange rate can be completely characterized in terms of the solution to a second order nonlinear differential equation - together with jumps in the rate at the edge of the band, which satisfy a zero profit arbitrage condit.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Warwick, Department of Economics in its series The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) with number 317.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: 1988
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wrk:warwec:317

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Keywords: exchange rate ; management ; monetary policy;

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Cited by:
  1. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Samiei, Hossein, 1995. "Limited-dependent rational expectations models with future expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 19(8), pages 1325-1353, November.
  2. Bertola, G. & Svensson, L.E., 1990. "Stochastic Devaluation Risk and the Empirical Fit of Target Zone Models," Papers 481, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
  3. Lars E.O. Svensson, 1990. "The Foreign Exchange Risk Premium in a Target Zone with Devaluation Risk," NBER Working Papers 3466, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. A.J. Hallet, 1998. "When Do Target Zones Work? An Examination of Exchange Rate Targeting as a Device for Coordinating Economic Policies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 115-138, April.
  5. Dean Corbae & Chris Neely & Paul Weller, 1998. "Endogenous realignments and the sustainability of a target," Working Papers 1994-009, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  6. Svensson, L.E.O., 1989. "Target Zones And Interest Rate Variability," Papers 457, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
  7. Michael Hu & Christine Jiang & Christos Tsoukalas, 2004. "The volatility impact of the European monetary system on member and non-member currencies," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(5), pages 313-325.
  8. Dominquez, Kathryn M. & Kenen, Peter B., 1992. "Intramarginal intervention in the EMS and the target-zone model of exchange-rate behavior," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1523-1532, December.
  9. M. Hashem Pesaran & Francisco J. Ruge-Murcia, 1996. "Limited-dependent rational expectations models with jumps," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 111, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.

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