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Evaluating the temporal and the spatial heterogeneity of the European convergence process, 1980-1999

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Author Info
Julie Le Gallo (IERSO IFReDE-GRES)
Sandy Dall'erba (CATT)

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Abstract

In this paper, we suggest a general framework that allows testing simultaneously for temporal heterogeneity, spatial heterogeneity and spatial autocorrelation in beta-convergence models. Based on a sample of 145 European regions over the 1980-1999 period, we estimate a Seemingly Unrelated Regression model with spatial regimes and spatial autocorrelation for two sub-periods: 1980-1989 and 1989-1999. The assumption of temporal independence between the two periods is rejected and the estimation results highlight the presence of spatial error autocorrelation in both sub-periods and spatial instability in the second sub-period, indicating the formation of a convergence club between the peripheral regions of the European Union.

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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Urban/Regional with number 0401003.

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Date of creation: 23 Jan 2004
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpur:0401003

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Keywords: beta-convergence models; spatial autocorrelation; convergence clubs; temporal instability;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods
O52 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe
R11 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Analysis of Growth, Development, and Changes
R15 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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  1. repec:att:wimass:1919983 is not listed on IDEAS
  2. Sala-i-Martin, Xavier X, 1996. "The Classical Approach to Convergence Analysis," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 106(437), pages 1019-36, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Aadne Cappelen & Fulvio Castellacci & Jan Fagerberg & Bart Verspagen, 2003. "The Impact of EU Regional Support on Growth and Convergence in the European Union," Journal of Common Market Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41, pages 621-644, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Gouyette, Claudine & Neven, Damien J, 1994. "Regional Convergence in the European Community," CEPR Discussion Papers 914, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Durlauf, Steven N & Johnson, Paul A, 1995. "Multiple Regimes and Cross-Country Growth Behaviour," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(4), pages 365-84, Oct.-Dec.. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Enrique Lopez Bazo & Esther Vaya Valcarce & Antonio Jose Mora & Jordi Surinach Caralt, 1997. "Regional economic dynamics and convergence in the european union," Working Papers in Economics 12, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia. [Downloadable!]
  7. Quah, Danny, 1993. "Galton's Fallacy and Tests of the Convergence Hypothesis," CEPR Discussion Papers 820, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Jonathan Temple, 1999. "The New Growth Evidence," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(1), pages 112-156, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Florax, Raymond J. G. M. & Folmer, Hendrik & Rey, Sergio J., 2003. "Specification searches in spatial econometrics: the relevance of Hendry's methodology," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 557-579, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Jan Fagerberg & Bart Verspagen, 1996. "Heading for Divergence? Regional Growth in Europe Reconsidered," Journal of Common Market Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 34(3), pages 431-448, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Anselin, Luc, 1988. "A test for spatial autocorrelation in seemingly unrelated regressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 335-341. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Friedman, Milton, 1992. "Do Old Fallacies Ever Die?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 30(4), pages 2129-32, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. Barro, R.J. & Sala-I-Martin, X., 1991. "Convergence Across States and Regions," Papers 629, Yale - Economic Growth Center.
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Hans-Friedrich Eckey & Thomas Döring & Matthias Türck, 2006. "Convergence of Regions from 23 EU Member States," Discussion Papers in Economics 86/06, University of Kassel, Institute of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Hans-Friedrich Eckey & Matthias Türck, 2006. "Convergence of EU-Regions. A Literature Report," Discussion Papers in Economics 80/06, University of Kassel, Institute of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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