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Mixed Logit Estimation Of Radical Islamic Terrorism In Europe And North America: A Comparative Study

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Author Info
Carlos Barros (ISEG-UTL)
Isabel Proença (ISEG-UTL)

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Abstract

This paper estimates what characteristics (e.g. location, number of casualties, and type of attack) are associated with an Islamic terrorist attack. This is established by identifying the significant determinants of the probability that an attack had been carried out by Islamic terrorists. For Europe, the United States, and Canada, the analysis employs ITERATE data from October 1979 to December 2002 to ascertain the significant characteristics of Islamic terrorist attacks. A random- parameter logit model is used to analyze the probability of such attacks, taking into account the heterogeneity of the sample data. This model outperforms the standard logit model. Some policy implications are presented.

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File URL: http://129.3.20.41/eps/mic/papers/0508/0508005.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Microeconomics with number 0508005.

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Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: 08 Aug 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpmi:0508005

Note: Type of Document - pdf; prepared on windows; pages: 21
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: Islamic radical terrorism; mixed logit model; and public policy;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

Cited by:
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  1. Carlos Pestana Barros & Marilena Vecco & Victor Blanco, 2008. "Addiction At the Biennale of Venice," Working Papers 2008/14, Department of Economics at the School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon.. [Downloadable!]
  2. Ana Bela Santos Bravo & Carlos Manuel Mendes Dias, 2006. "An Empirical Analysis Of Terrorism: Deprivation, Islamism And Geopolitical Factors," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 329-341, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Carlos Pestana Barros & Luis Gil-Alana, 2006. "Eta: A Persistent Phenomenon," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 95-116, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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