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Social Security: The Challenge of Financing the Baby-Boom's Retirement

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  • Walter M. Cadette

    (The Jerome Levy Economics Institute)

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    Abstract

    This paper compares and contrasts the two visions of Social Security's future. Its object is to give readers the background they need to understand the arguments made by the two sides, and thus to follow the debate that promises to enfold at the national level in the next few years -- first perhaps in the confines of a presidential commission and later in Congress and the political arena at large. There is no mistaking what is at stake: a choice between pay-as-you-go and advance funding: between social and personal risk; between a defined-benefit and a define-contribution plan. At the outside, the choice is between a communitarian and an individualistic approach to the economic security of the elderly. If Social Security were to be designed from the ground up, the ideal approach may well not be today's program, which has its roots in the economic collapse and the widespread financial insecurity of the 1930s. The task ahead, however, is to make changes in existing institutions, taking into account their history and their effect on the financial planning and decision-making of individual citizens. And it is to make changes for which a consensus can be reached and translated into legislation. On balance, the conclusion is, the nation would be better off keeping Social Security much as it is today. If that is the choice, however, additional tax incentives to promote saving are in order. They would make for faster growth of the capital stock and productivity, and thus ease the transfer of income from a relatively small to a relatively large generation. Savings incentives would also help to soften the inevitably unpopular measures that will be needed to right Social Security's long-term financial imbalance. Financing Medicare and other publicly financed health programs for the elderly poses another, even larger, challenge. That is outside the scope of this paper. Policy decisions with respect to OASDI can be made on their own merits, as can those in the area of health care. Indeed, that is implicate on the separate trust funds set up for OASI, DI, and HI and in the different payroll taxes that finance HI and OASDI. It must be kept in mind, however, that the demographic forces at work in Social Security retirement are among those at work in the health care programs as well. The beneficiaries, more over, are largely the same. And, not least, they draw resources from a common pool.

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    File URL: http://128.118.178.162/eps/mac/papers/9711/9711010.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Macroeconomics with number 9711010.

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    Length: 45 pages
    Date of creation: 25 Nov 1997
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:9711010

    Note: Type of Document - Acrobat PDF; prepared on IBM PC ; to print on PostScript; pages: 45; figures: included
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    Web page: http://128.118.178.162

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    1. Schieber, Sylvester J & Shoven, John B, 1996. "Social Security Reform: Around the World in 80 Ways," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(2), pages 373-77, May.
    2. Marco Santamaria, 1991. "Privatizing social security: the Chilean case," Research Paper 9127, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    3. Richard Disney, 1996. "Can We Afford to Grow Older?," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 026204157x, December.
    4. Zvi Bodie & John B. Shoven, 1983. "Financial Aspects of the United States Pension System," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number bodi83-1.
    5. Gramlich, Edward M, 1996. "Different Approaches for Dealing with Social Security," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(2), pages 358-62, May.
    6. Kotlikoff, Laurence, 1996. "Privatizing School Security at Home and Abroad," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(2), pages 368-72, May.
    7. Olivia S. Mitchell & Stephen P. Zeldes, 1996. "Social Security Privatization: A Structure for Analysis," NBER Working Papers 5512, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Hyman P. Minsky, 1996. "Uncertainty and the Institutional Structure of Capitalist Economies," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_155, Levy Economics Institute.
    9. Jagadeesh Gokhale, 1995. "Should social security be privatized?," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Sep.
    10. David Altig & Jagadeesh Gokhale, 1996. "A simple proposal for privatizing Social Security," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue May.
    11. Peter A. Diamond, 1996. "Proposals to Restructure Social Security," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 10(3), pages 67-88, Summer.
    12. Peter Diamond, 2004. "Social Security," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(1), pages 1-24, March.
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