On the Causal Relationship between Government Expenditure and Tax Revenue in Pakistan

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On the Causal Relationship between Government Expenditure and Tax Revenue in Pakistan

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M. Haider Hussain (Social Policy & Development Center)

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M. Haider Hussain

Abstract

This paper applies the technique of Granger Causality to determine the relationship between total government expenditures and total tax revenue using annual revised estimates. The analysis discovers a firm unidirectional effect from expenditure to revenue suggesting the preference of controlling the spending decisions to reduce the tax revenue-expenditure deficit.

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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Macroeconomics with number 0509014.

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Length: 12 pages
Date of creation: 07 Sep 2005
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0509014

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 12
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E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

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Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
von Furstenberg, George M & Green, R Jeffrey & Jeong, Jin-Ho, 1986. "Tax and Spend, or Spend and Tax?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 68(2), pages 179-88, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Barro, Robert J, 1974. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(6), pages 1095-1117, Nov.-Dec.. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

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