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Gains from Synchronization

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Author Info

  • William Barnett

    (University of Kansas)

  • Mehmet Dalkir

    (University of Kansas)

Abstract

This paper investigates the transmission mechanisms of noise and volatility between economies through trade links, and the effects of synchronization on business cycles. We investigate the transmission of outside noise and the fluctuations that the noise generates. We identify conditions under which international economic links reduce the economic output noise emanating from noise within the individual economies. Under certain conditions, devaluation of a country's currency causes reduction in the business cycle noise and volatility as seen by that country's exporters, while increased valuation of a country's currency produces higher noise and volatility, as seen by the country's importers.

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File URL: http://128.118.178.162/eps/it/papers/0504/0504004.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by EconWPA in its series International Trade with number 0504004.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: 12 Apr 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpit:0504004

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 26
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Web page: http://128.118.178.162

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Keywords: business cycles; synchronization; international trade; stochastic systems;

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References

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  1. Feenstra, Robert C, 2002. "Border Effects and the Gravity Equation: Consistent Methods for Estimation," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 49(5), pages 491-506, December.
  2. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 2003. "Global Implications of Self-Oriented National Monetary Rules," Macroeconomics 0303018, EconWPA.
  3. Selover David D. & Jensen Roderick V. & Kroll John, 2003. "Industrial Sector Mode-Locking and Business Cycle Formation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(3), pages 1-39, October.
  4. William Barnett & Yijun He, 2012. "Stabilization Policy as Bifurcation Selection: Would Keynesian Policy Work if the World Really Were Keynesian?," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201228, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
  5. Glenn Otto & Graham Voss & Luke Willard, 2001. "Understanding OECD Output Correlations," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2001-05, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  6. Barnett,William A. & Kirman,Alan P. & Salmon,Mark, 1997. "Nonlinear Dynamics and Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521471411, October.
  7. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2003. "Has the business cycle changed?," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 9-56.
  8. Maliar, Lilia & Maliar, Serguei, 2004. "Endogenous Growth And Endogenous Business Cycles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(05), pages 559-581, November.
  9. William Barnett & Apostolos Serletis, 2012. "Martingales, Nonlinearity, And Chaos," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201225, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
  10. Grandmont Jean-michel, 1983. "On endogenous competitive business cycles," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 8316, CEPREMAP.
  11. Michael D. Bordo & Thomas Helbling, 2003. "Have National Business Cycles Become More Synchronized?," NBER Working Papers 10130, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  12. Barnett, William A. & He, Yijun, 2002. "Stabilization Policy As Bifurcation Selection: Would Stabilization Policy Work If The Economy Really Were Unstable?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(05), pages 713-747, November.
  13. repec:cup:macdyn:v:8:y:2004:i:5:p:559-81 is not listed on IDEAS
  14. repec:cup:macdyn:v:6:y:2002:i:5:p:713-47 is not listed on IDEAS
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