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Policy Synchronization and Staggering in a Dynamic Model of Strategic Trade

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Author Info
Praveen Kujal (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)
Juan Ruiz (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)

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Abstract

This paper studies steady-state, Markov-Perfect strategic trade policy when (infinitely lived) governments are committed to trade policy during two periods. We compare the case in which both governments choose their export subsidies in the same periods (synchronization) versus the case in which they set them in alternate periods (staggering). We find that, under Cournot competition, welfare is higher when both governments synchronize their choice of export-promoting policy, since export subsidies are lower (closer to the cooperative solution) than when governments set them sequentially. Retaliation is therefore stronger and more harmful when governments alternate as (temporary) Stackelberg leaders. Synchronization is the equilibrium of the pre-commitment game in which both governments choose when to set their export subsidies. These results are robust to having stochastic length of commitment period and to allowing predetermined but flexible choice of subsidies by both governments. We also analyze the results of policy-staggering under alternative modes of competition and the possibility of firms investing in R&D.

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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series International Trade with number 0302003.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: 04 Feb 2003
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpit:0302003

Note: Type of Document - pdf file; prepared on Scientific Workplace; to print on any printer; pages: 36 ; figures: included in text
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: Strategic Trade Policy Retaliation Markov Perfect Equilibria Policy-Synchronization.

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies
F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets

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  6. Maskin, Eric & Tirole, Jean, 1988. "A Theory of Dynamic Oligopoly, II: Price Competition, Kinked Demand Curves, and Edgeworth Cycles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(3), pages 571-99, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Bagwell, Kyle & Staiger, Robert W., 1994. "The sensitivity of strategic and corrective R&D policy in oligopolistic industries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1-2), pages 133-150, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Leahy, Dermot & Neary, J Peter, 1996. "International R&D Rivalry and Industrial Strategy without Government Commitment," Review of International Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 4(3), pages 322-38, October.
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  14. Cheng, Leonard K, 1987. "Optimal Trade and Technology Policies: Dynamic Linkages," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 28(3), pages 757-76, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  19. Neary, J Peter, 1991. "Cost Asymmetries in International Subsidy Games: Should Governments Help Winners or Losers?," CEPR Discussion Papers 560, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. De Fraja, Giovanni, 1993. "Staggered vs. synchronised wage setting in oligopoly," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 1507-1522, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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