Optimal Experimentation in a Changing Environment
AbstractThis paper studies optimal experimentation by a monopolist who faces an unknown demand curve subject to random changes, and who maximises profits over an infinite horizon in continuous time. We show that there are two qualitatively very different regimes, determined by the discount rate and the intensities of demand curve switching, and the dependence of the optimal policy on these parameters is discontinuous. One regime is characterised by extreme experimentation and good tracking of the prevailing demand curve, the other by moderate experimentation and poor tracking. Moreover, in the latter regime the agent eventually becomes `trapped' into taking actions in a strict subset of the feasible set.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by EconWPA in its series Game Theory and Information with number 9801001.
Length: 57 pages
Date of creation: 20 Jan 1998
Date of revision:
Note: Type of Document - PDF; pages: 57 ; figures: included
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Web page: http://220.127.116.11
Bayesian Learning; Monopoly Experimentation; Optimal Control;
Other versions of this item:
- D42 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure and Pricing - - - Monopoly
- D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search, Learning, and Information
- C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
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