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Measuring Loss Potential of Hedge Fund Strategies

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Author Info
Marcos Mailoc López de Prado (UBS)
Achim Peijan (UBS)

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Abstract

We measure the loss potential of Hedge Funds by combining three market risk measures: VaR, Draw-Down and Time Under-The-Water. Calculations are carried out considering three different frameworks regarding Hedge Fund returns: i) Normality and time-independence, ii) Non-normality and time- independence and iii) Non-normality and time-dependence. In the case of Hedge Funds, our results clearly state that market risk may be substantially underestimated by those models which assume Normality or, even considering Non-Normality, neglect to model time- dependence. Moreover, VaR is an incomplete measure of market risk whenever the Normality assumption does not hold. In this case, VaR results must be compared with Draw-Down and Time Under-The-Water measures in order to accurately assess about Hedge Funds loss potential.

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File URL: http://129.3.20.41/eps/fin/papers/0503/0503010.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Finance with number 0503010.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: 10 Mar 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0503010

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 25. Journal of Alternative Investments, Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 7-31, Summer 2004
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: Hedge Fund; Value-at-Risk; risk; performance; drawdown; under- the-water; normal returns; non-normal returns; time-dependence; ARMA; Monte Carlo; skewness; kurtosis; mixture of gaussian distributions; survival probability; styles; investment strategies;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G0 - Financial Economics - - General
G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Gaurav Amin & Harry. M Kat, 2002. "Generalization of the Sharpe Ratio and the Arbitrage-Free Pricing of Higher Moments," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2002-15, Henley Business School, Reading University. [Downloadable!]
  2. Chris Brooks & Harry. M Kat, 2001. "The Statistical Properties of Hedge Fund Index Returns," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2001-09, Henley Business School, Reading University. [Downloadable!]
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