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Modeling Credit Risk by Affine Processes

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Author Info
Li Chen (Princeton University)
Damir Filipovic (Princeton University)

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Abstract

In this paper, the treasury rates and the credit migrations are jointly modeled by multi-dimensional affine processes. In order to capture the entire information, including credit migrations and default events, we construct non-conservative regular affine processes to model credit migrations and characterize the default by the death of the processes. In particular, two specific cases: purely jump affine models and affine diffusion models with potentials, are discussed. This affine approach not only produces the explicit formulas for the prices of corporate bonds and other credit derivatives, but also directly incorporates the credit rating information as a parameter into the pricing formulas. Moreover, our affine models allow to consider the joint credit migrations within an analytically tractable framework in order to capture the correlations of credit movements between firms. Finally, the empirical testing results of a simple affine model are presented to support the effectiveness of our models.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Finance with number 0303006.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: 29 Mar 2003
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0303006

Note: Type of Document - pdf; prepared on IBM PC - PC-TEX/UNIX Sparc TeX; to print on HP/PostScript/Franciscan monk; pages: 25; figures: none. We never published this piece and now we would like to reduce our mailing and xerox cost by posting it.
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Related research
Keywords: Credit Risk Models; Credit Migrations; Affine Processes;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C39 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Other

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Cox, John C & Ingersoll, Jonathan E, Jr & Ross, Stephen A, 1985. "A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(2), pages 385-407, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Duffee, Gregory R, 1999. "Estimating the Price of Default Risk," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(1), pages 197-226.
  3. Darrell Duffie & Jun Pan & Kenneth Singleton, 2000. "Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-Diffusions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(6), pages 1343-1376, November.
  4. Li Chen & H. Vincent Poor, 2003. "Markovian Quadratic Term Structure Models For Risk-free And Defaultable Rates," Finance 0303008, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Li Chen & Damir Filipovic, 2003. "Pricing Credit Default Swaps Under Default Correlations and Counterparty Risk," Finance 0303009, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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