The Interactive Minority Game: a Web based investigation of human market interactions
Abstract
The unprecedented access offered by the World Wide Web brings with it the potential to gather huge amounts of data on human activities. Here we exploit this by using a toy model of financial markets, the Minority Game (MG), to investigate human speculative trading behaviour and information capacity. Hundreds of individuals have played a total of tens of thousands of game turns against computer-controlled agents in the Web-based Interactive Minority Game. The analytical understanding of the MG permits fine-tuning of the market situations encountered, allowing for investigation of human behaviour in a variety of controlled environments. In particular, our results indicate a transition in players' decision-making, as the markets become more difficult, between deductive behaviour making use of short-term trends in the market, and highly repetitive behaviour that ignores entirely the market history, yet outperforms random decision-making.Download Info
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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Experimental with number 0402004.Length: 13 pages
Date of creation: 23 Feb 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpex:0402004
Note: Type of Document - pdf; prepared on WinXP; pages: 13; figures: 5
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Web page: http://128.118.178.162
Related research
Keywords: Experimental economics and financial markets; Decision theory and game theory; Information theory;Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2004-02-29 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBE-2004-02-29 (Cognitive & Behavioural Economics)
- NEP-EXP-2004-02-29 (Experimental Economics)
References
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Christian Borghesi & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2007. "Of songs and men: a model for multiple choice with herding," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 41(4), pages 557-568, August.
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