The paper develops a theory of biases in decision making. Discovering a strategy for solving a game is a complex problem that may be solved by decomposition; a player decomposing a problem into many simple sub- problems may easily identify the optimal solution to each sub-problem: however it is shown that even though all partial solutions are optimal, the solution to the global problem may be largely sub-optimal. The conditions under which a decomposition process gives rise to a sub- optimal solution are explored, and it is shown that the sub-optimalities ultimately originate from the process of categorization that governs the creation of a decomposition pattern. Decisions based on a strategy discovered by decomposition are therefore frequently biased . The persistence of biased behaviours, observed in many experiments, is explained by showing the stability of different and non optimal representations of the same problem. An application to a simplified version of Rubik cube is finally developed.
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Experimental with number
0309003.
Length: 38 pages Date of creation: 22 Sep 2003 Date of revision:
29 Sep 2003 Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpex:0309003
Note: Type of Document - Pdf; prepared on PC ; to print on PostScript; pages: 38 ; figures: included Contact details of provider: Web page: http://129.3.20.41
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