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Mexico’s Industrial Engine of Growth: Cointegration and Causality

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  • Alejandro Diaz-Bautista

    (COLEF)

Abstract

The present study applies the techniques of cointegration and Granger causality to examine the causal relationship between industrial growth and overall economic performance in the Mexican economy. The empirical evidence presented in the paper tries to find support in Mexico for the Kaldor’s engine of economic growth hypothesis.

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File URL: http://128.118.178.162/eps/em/papers/0402/0402010.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Econometrics with number 0402010.

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Length: 12 pages
Date of creation: 18 Feb 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpem:0402010

Note: Type of Document - pdf; to print on Lexmark; pages: 12. I thank two anonymous referees for very valuable comments and suggestions for the study. Published in “ Revista Momento Economico”, UNAM, number 126, march 2003, pages 34-41.
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Web page: http://128.118.178.162

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Keywords: Cointegation; Causality; Economic Growth; Mexico.;

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References

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  1. Granger, C. W. J., 1988. "Some recent development in a concept of causality," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1-2), pages 199-211.
  2. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
  3. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
  4. Kwiatkowski, D. & Phillips, P.C.B. & Schmidt, P., 1990. "Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity Against the Alternative of Unit Root : How Sure are we that Economic Time Series have a Unit Root?," Papers 8905, Michigan State - Econometrics and Economic Theory.
  5. Granger, Clive W J, 1986. "Developments in the Study of Cointegrated Economic Variables," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 48(3), pages 213-28, August.
  6. Skott, Peter, 1999. "Growth and Stagnation in a Two-Sector Model: Kaldor's Mattioli Lectures: Review Article," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(3), pages 353-70, May.
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Cited by:
  1. Tregenna, F., 2009. "Contracting Out of Service Activities and the Effects on Sectoral Employment Patterns in South Africa," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0906, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  2. Tregenna, Fiona, 2011. "Manufacturing Productivity, Deindustrialization, and Reindustrialization," Working Paper Series UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

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