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Question de causalité entre développement réel et développement financier : Une notion encore embarrassée

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Author Info
Hamdi KHALFAOUI (Faculté des Sciences Economiques et de Getion de Tunis)
Abstract

Bien que les études théoriques et empiriques convergent sur la dimension financière dans la croissance économique, elles n’apportent pas une réponse commune à la question de l’interaction entre la libéralisation financière et la croissance économique. D'une part, la libéralisation financière, qui est imposée à certains pays en développement sous l'égide des organisations internationales et l'impulsion de la puissante vague de transactions financières internationales, a contribué à la hausse de l'investissement et par conséquent à l'accélération de la croissance, et d'autre part, elle peut être analysée comme étant le fruit du développement économique. En outre, les interactions croisées entre la sphère réelle et la sphère financière, laisse la question de causalité se pose avec plus d'acuité et devient de plus en plus incertaine, à savoir est-ce que le développement financier entraîne la croissance ou est-ce que le développement réel conduit à un développement financier. Qui à raison Schumpeter qui argue que : 'les institutions financières sont nécessaires à l’innovation technologique qui sous-tend la croissance' ou Robinson qui affirme : 'Là où la croissance conduit, la finance le suit' La problématique posée se trouve alors à l’intersection de deux domaines à savoir la finance et l’économie. Afin de tenir compte des spécificités individuelles et a- temporelles des phénomènes de croissance, nous utiliserons en amont des tests de spécification pour mieux estimer le sens de la causalité par pays et en aval des statistiques descriptives pour mieux appréhender ce sens par club de pays (UMA et PED).

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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Development and Comp Systems with number 0512020.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: 21 Dec 2005
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpdc:0512020

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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: Libéralisation Financière Croissance PanelCointégration Causalité PMA

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
O16 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment
O40 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing

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    Other versions:
  3. Henry, Peter Blair, 2000. "Do stock market liberalizations cause investment booms?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(1-2), pages 301-334. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. King, Robert G & Levine, Ross, 1993. "Finance and Growth: Schumpeter Might Be Right," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 108(3), pages 717-37, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Menzie D. Chinn & Hiro Ito, 2002. "Capital Account Liberalization, Institutions and Financial Development: Cross Country Evidence," NBER Working Papers 8967, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Roubini, Nouriel & Sala-i-Martin, Xavier, 1992. "Financial repression and economic growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 5-30, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Levine, Ross, 2001. "International Financial Liberalization and Economic Growth," Review of International Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 9(4), pages 688-702, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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