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Vulnerability in a Stochastic Dynamic Model

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Author Info
Chris Elbers (Free University Amsterdam)
Jan Willem Gunning (Free University Amsterdam)

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Abstract

Most measures of vulnerability are a-theoretic and essentially static. In this paper we use a stochastic Ramsey model to find a household's optimal welfare and we measure vulnerability as the shortfall from the welfare attained if the household consumed permanently at the poverty line. The results indicate that vulnerability is very sensitive to the time horizon considered. We find that the accuracy of existing regression-based vulnerability measures can be greatly improved by including asset measures in the regression.

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File URL: http://129.3.20.41/eps/dev/papers/0409/0409003.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Development and Comp Systems with number 0409003.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: 08 Sep 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpdc:0409003

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 30
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: vulnerability; expected poverty; risk; Ramsey model; consumption regressions;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth
P - Economic Systems

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  1. Md. Shafiul Azam & Katsushi Imai, 2009. "Vulnerability and Poverty in Bangladesh," The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 0905, Economics, The University of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. David Bardey & Samir Kiuhan & Julio César Suárez, 2009. "Seguros De Desempleo: Revisión De Literatura Y Propuesta Para Colombia," DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO 005739, UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO - FACULTAD DE ECONOMÍA. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-9.


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