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Random Walk versus Breaking Trend in Stock Prices: Evidence from Emerging Markets

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Kausik Chaudhuri
Yangru Wu

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Paper provided by University of Sydney, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 2000-3.

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Date of creation: Dec 2000
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Handle: RePEc:wop:syecwp:2000-3

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  1. Engel, Charles & Hamilton, James D, 1990. "Long Swings in the Dollar: Are They in the Data and Do Markets Know It?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(4), pages 689-713, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Phillips, P.C.B., 1986. "Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression," Cahiers de recherche 8633, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
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  3. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Kim, Myung Jig & Nelson, Charles R & Startz, Richard, 1991. "Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(3), pages 515-28, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Matthew Richardson & James H. Stock, 1990. "Drawing Inferences From Statistics Based on Multi-Year Asset Returns," NBER Working Papers 3335, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Ayadi, O. Felix & Pyun, C. S., 1994. "An application of variance ratio test to the Korean securities market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 643-658, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Ng, S. & Perron, P., 1994. "Unit Root Tests ARMA Models with Data Dependent Methods for the Selection of the Truncation Lag," Cahiers de recherche 9423, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
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  8. John Y. Campbell & Pierre Perron, 1991. "Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know About Unit Roots," NBER Technical Working Papers 0100, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Abuaf, Niso & Jorion, Philippe, 1990. " Purchasing Power Parity in the Long Run," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(1), pages 157-74, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Perron, Pierre, 1989. "The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Christiano, Lawrence J, 1992. "Searching for a Break in GNP," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 10(3), pages 237-50, July.
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  12. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Lai, Kon S., 1995. "A search for long memory in international stock market returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 597-615, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 1992. "Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 10(3), pages 251-70, July.
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  14. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1988. "Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(2), pages 246-73, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Perron, Pierre & Vogelsang, Timothy J, 1992. "Nonstationarity and Level Shifts with an Application to Purchasing Power Parity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 10(3), pages 301-20, July.
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  16. Poterba, James M. & Summers, Lawrence H., 1988. "Mean reversion in stock prices : Evidence and Implications," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 27-59, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. Richardson, Matthew & Stock, James H., 1989. "Drawing inferences from statistics based on multiyear asset returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 323-348, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  18. Buckberg, Elaine, 1995. "Emerging Stock Markets and International Asset Pricing," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 51-74, January.
  19. Claessens, Stijn & Dasgupta, Susmita & Glen, Jack, 1995. "Return Behavior in Emerging Stock Markets," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 131-51, January.
  20. Anthony J. Richards, 1996. "Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets: How Do Emerging and Mature Markets Differ?," IMF Working Papers 96/29, International Monetary Fund.
  21. Banerjee, Anindya & Lumsdaine, Robin L & Stock, James H, 1992. "Recursive and Sequential Tests of the Unit-Root and Trend-Break Hypotheses: Theory and International Evidence," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 10(3), pages 271-87, July.
  22. Richardson, Matthew, 1993. "Temporary Components of Stock Prices: A Skeptic's View," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(2), pages 199-207, April.
  23. Andrew W. Lo, A. Craig MacKinlay, 1988. "Stock Market Prices do not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(1), pages 41-66. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2005. "Are the Australian and New Zealand stock prices nonlinear with a unit root?," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(18), pages 2161-2166, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Zisimos Koustas & Jean-Francois Lamarche & Apostolos Serletis, 2006. "Threshold Random Walks in the U.S. Stock Market," Working Papers 0602, Brock University, Department of Economics, revised May 2006. [Downloadable!]
  3. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Russell Smyth, 2005. "Are OECD stock prices characterized by a random walk? Evidence from sequential trend break and panel data models," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(8), pages 547-556, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Samir Saadi & Devinder Gandhi & Khaled Elmawazini, 2006. "On the validity of conventional statistical tests given evidence of non-synchronous trading and non-linear dynamics in returns generating process," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 301-305, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Chanwit Phengpis, 2006. "Are emerging stock market price indices really stationary?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(13), pages 931-939, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Aristeidis Samitas & Dimitris Kenourgios, 2005. "Macroeconomic factors’ influence on “new” European countries stock returns: the case of four transition economies," Finance 0512022, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  7. George Halkos & Ilias Kevork, 2005. "A comparison of alternative unit root tests," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 45-60, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Kian-Ping Lim & Venus Khim-Sen Liew, 2007. "Nonlinear mean reversion in stock prices: evidence from Asian markets," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 25-29, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Chancharat,Surachai & Valadkhani, Abbas, 2007. "An Empirical Analysis of the Thai and Major International Stock Markets," Economics Working Papers wp07-13, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia. [Downloadable!]
  10. Shyh-Wei Chen, 2008. "Non-stationarity and Non-linearity in Stock Prices: Evidence from the OECD Countries," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(11), pages 1-11. [Downloadable!]
  11. Chancharat,Surachai & Valadkhani, Abbas, 2007. "Testing for the Random Walk Hypothesis and Structural Breaks in International Stock Prices," Economics Working Papers wp07-15, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia. [Downloadable!]
  12. Waheed, Muhammad & Alam, Tasneem & Ghauri, Saghir Pervaiz, 2006. "Structural breaks and unit root: evidence from Pakistani macroeconomic time series," MPRA Paper 1797, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  13. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Russell Smyth, 2006. "Random walk versus multiple trend breaks in stock prices: evidence from 15 European markets," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-7, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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