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Balance of Payments Crisis: The Role of Short-Term Debt

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  • Michael Kumhof

Abstract

June 2000 (Revised) This paper presents a dynamic general equilibrium model of balance of payments crises to analyze the role of sterilization policies during speculative attacks. It is shown that if domestic bond interest rates are not allowed to rise real money balances increase and the attack takes place entirely in the domestic bond market, leading to a sharp increase in central bank domestic credit. Data for the 1994 Mexican crisis are consistent with this theory. Keywords: intellectual property rights, copyright, sui generis protection of expressive material, economics of information-goods, open science, "fair use," scientific databases. JEL Classification: H4, K39, O31, O34 -->

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Paper provided by Stanford University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 00019.

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Handle: RePEc:wop:stanec:00019

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Keywords: intellectual property rights; copyright; sui generis protection of expressive material; economics of information-goods; open science;

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Cited by:
  1. Bhattacharya, Utpal, 2005. "Financial liberalization and the stability of currency pegs," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(1-2), pages 351-374, March.
  2. Giancarlo Corsetti & Paolo Pesenti & Nouriel Roubini, 1998. "Paper Tigers? A Model of the Asian Crisis," NBER Working Papers 6783, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Menzie D. Chinn & Kenneth M. Kletzer, 1999. "International capital inflows, domestic financial intermediation and financial crises under imperfect information," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Sep.
  4. Kenneth Kletzer & Robert Dekle, 2001. "Domestic Bank Regulation and Financial Crises," IMF Working Papers 01/63, International Monetary Fund.
  5. Robert Dekle & Kenneth M. Kletzer, 2001. "Domestic Bank Regulation and Financial Crises: Theory and Empirical Evidence from East Asia," NBER Working Papers 8322, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Amartya Lahiri & Carlos A. Vegh, 2000. "Delaying the Inevitable: Optimal Interest Rate Policy and BOP Crises," NBER Working Papers 7734, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Kumhof, Michael, 2000. "A quantitative exploration of the role of short-term domestic debt in balance of payments crises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 195-215, June.

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