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A Computational Model of Economies of Scale and Market Share Instability

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Author Info
Mariana Mazzucato

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Abstract

Replicator dynamics and computer simulation techniques are used to construct a reduced form model which explores negative and positive feedback processes between firm costs and market shares embodied in the dynamics of (dis)economies of scale. After reproducing the standard equilibrium results for decreasing returns to scale (unique equilibrium) and increasing returns to scale (multiple equilibrium) a more dynamic formulation of returns to scale is introduced where scale affects not the direction of costs but the rate of cost reduction. Here we find that negative feedback does not produce self-correcting stabilizing forces in market shares but rather instability and turbulence. Life-cycle phenomena are explored by combining positive and negative feedback in a firm's cost function. The alternating periods of market share stability and instability which emerge from the simulations are compared to empirical regularities in market share patterns.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Santa Fe Institute in its series Research in Economics with number 97-06-054e.

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Date of creation: Jun 1997
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Handle: RePEc:wop:safire:97-06-054e

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Related research
Keywords: market share; innovation; replicator equations; simulation; industry life-cycle;

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  1. Andrea Bonaccorsi & Paola Giuri, 1999. "Increasing returns and network structure in the evolutionary dynamics of industries," LEM Papers Series 1999/12, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy. [Downloadable!]
  2. Anita Wölfl, 2000. "Spillover Effects and R&D-Cooperations - The Influence of Market Structure," IWH Discussion Papers 122, Halle Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-2.


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