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Intertemporal Insurance

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Author Info
Bryan Ellickson
José Penalva-Zuasti
Abstract

This paper develops a discrete-time general equilibrium model of insurance using standard techniques of intertemporal finance. The underlying source of uncertainty is modeled as a marked point process. The paper begins by characterizing Walrasian equilibrium on the event tree generated by the accident process. The corresponding Arrow-Debreu-Radner contingent-commodity prices allow the pricing of insurance contracts. A transformation of the underlying probability measure gives an alternative characterization of insurance contract prices plus accumulated payouts as martingales. A direct application of the usual dynamic spanning argument demonstrates that one insurance contract for each type of accident suffices, at least generically, to achieve market completeness. The theory is illustrated by a simple example in which consumers have Cobb-Douglas preferences and experience accidents at a rate which varies across individuals but remains constant over time, the traditional setting for much of insurance theory.

This paper was presented at the Financial Institutions Center's May 1996 conference on "

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Paper provided by Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania in its series Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers with number 96-19.

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Date of creation: May 1996
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Handle: RePEc:wop:pennin:96-19

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  1. Malinvaud, E., 1972. "The allocation of individual risks in large markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 312-328, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Malinvaud, E, 1973. "Markets for an Exchange Economy with Individual Risks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(3), pages 383-410, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Duffie, J Darrell & Huang, Chi-fu, 1985. "Implementing Arrow-Debreu Equilibria by Continuous Trading of Few Long-lived Securities," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1337-56, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Harrison, J. Michael & Kreps, David M., 1979. "Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 381-408, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Radner, Roy, 1972. "Existence of Equilibrium of Plans, Prices, and Price Expectations in a Sequence of Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 40(2), pages 289-303, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. David M. Kreps, 1982. "Multiperiod Securities and the Efficient Allocation of Risk: A Comment on the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Information and Uncertainty, pages 203-232 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
  7. Cass, David & Chichilnisky, Graciela & Wu, Ho-Mou, 1996. "Individual Risk and Mutual Insurance," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(2), pages 333-41, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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